PLTR

Palantir Technologies Inc.

90
Fundamentals95/ 100
Valuation88/ 100
Upside potential84/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

PLTR has the edge over SMCI overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

SMCI

Super Micro Computer, Inc.

85
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential90/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

SMCI offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

PLTR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

PLTR's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

SMCI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Weak
Strong

SMCI's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently strong, but its cash flow is weak.

PLTR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE174x349x523x698x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE174x349x523x698x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward75x$172—
Current120x$172—
Cheap165x$236+37%
Fair251x$359+109%
Expensive452x$646+277%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PLTR's PE is in its cheap range at 120x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 75x next year's earnings.

SMCI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE23x46x70x93x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE23x46x70x93x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward4.3x$26.99—
Current5.7x$26.99—
Cheap13x$61.50+128%
Fair19x$88.86+229%
Expensive26x$125+363%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SMCI has the edge over PLTR in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

PLTR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for PLTR, with profitability improving.

SMCI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for SMCI, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

PLTR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+112%$364.26
Downside-21%$136.16

Calculated from the latest close: $171.58 on Nov 12.

PLTR trails SMCI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SMCI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+268%$99.45
Downside-29%$19.23

Calculated from the latest close: $26.99 on Nov 12.

SMCI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than PLTR, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

PLTR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.09Q1 2024: $0.12Q2 2024: $0.17Q3 2024: $0.20Q4 2024: $0.19Q1 2025: $0.23Q2 2025: $0.30Q3 2025: $0.42Q4 2025: $0.63Q1 2026: $0.89Q2 2026: $1.17Q3 2026: $1.43Forward: $2.30
Q4 2023: $0.09Q1 2024: $0.12Q2 2024: $0.17Q3 2024: $0.20Q4 2024: $0.19Q1 2025: $0.23Q2 2025: $0.30Q3 2025: $0.42Q4 2025: $0.63Q1 2026: $0.89Q2 2026: $1.17Q3 2026: $1.43Forward: $2.30
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.30+61%
Q3 2026$1.43+240%
Q2 2026$1.17+290%
Q1 2026$0.89+287%
Q4 2025$0.63+232%
Q3 2025$0.42+110%
Q2 2025$0.30+76%
Q1 2025$0.23+92%
Q4 2024$0.19+111%

PLTR has the edge over SMCI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SMCI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.28Q1 2024: $1.78Q2 2024: $1.92Q3 2024: $2.32Q4 2024: $2.32Q1 2025: $1.83Q2 2025: $1.68Q3 2025: $1.27Q4 2025: $1.36Q1 2026: $1.91Q2 2026: $3.26Q3 2026: $4.75Forward: $6.22
Q4 2023: $1.28Q1 2024: $1.78Q2 2024: $1.92Q3 2024: $2.32Q4 2024: $2.32Q1 2025: $1.83Q2 2025: $1.68Q3 2025: $1.27Q4 2025: $1.36Q1 2026: $1.91Q2 2026: $3.26Q3 2026: $4.75Forward: $6.22
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.22+31%
Q3 2026$4.75+274%
Q2 2026$3.26+94%
Q1 2026$1.91+4.4%
Q4 2025$1.36-41%
Q3 2025$1.27-45%
Q2 2025$1.68-13%
Q1 2025$1.83+2.8%
Q4 2024$2.32+81%

SMCI's earnings per share have jumped to their highest in seven years: $4.75 over the past year, up from $1.27 the year before.

PLTR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $608MQ1 2024: $634MQ2 2024: $678MQ3 2024: $726MQ4 2024: $828MQ1 2025: $884MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2.3B
Q4 2023: $608MQ1 2024: $634MQ2 2024: $678MQ3 2024: $726MQ4 2024: $828MQ1 2025: $884MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.3B+96%
Q2 2026$1.9B+93%
Q1 2026$1.6B+85%
Q4 2025$1.4B+70%
Q3 2025$1.2B+63%
Q2 2025$1B+48%
Q1 2025$883.9M+39%
Q4 2024$827.5M+36%

PLTR's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $2.3B last quarter, up 96% from the same quarter a year ago.

SMCI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3.7BQ1 2024: $3.9BQ2 2024: $5.4BQ3 2024: $5.9BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $5.8BQ3 2025: $5BQ4 2025: $12.7BQ1 2026: $10.2BQ2 2026: $11.1BQ3 2026: $19.9B
Q4 2023: $3.7BQ1 2024: $3.9BQ2 2024: $5.4BQ3 2024: $5.9BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $5.8BQ3 2025: $5BQ4 2025: $12.7BQ1 2026: $10.2BQ2 2026: $11.1BQ3 2026: $19.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$19.9B+298%
Q2 2026$11.1B+93%
Q1 2026$10.2B+123%
Q4 2025$12.7B+123%
Q3 2025$5B-15%
Q2 2025$5.8B+7.5%
Q1 2025$4.6B+19%
Q4 2024$5.7B+55%

SMCI's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $19.9B last quarter, up 298% from the same quarter a year ago.

PLTR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $296MQ1 2024: $127MQ2 2024: $141MQ3 2024: $416MQ4 2024: $457MQ1 2025: $304MQ2 2025: $532MQ3 2025: $501MQ4 2025: $764MQ1 2026: $892MQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $296MQ1 2024: $127MQ2 2024: $141MQ3 2024: $416MQ4 2024: $457MQ1 2025: $304MQ2 2025: $532MQ3 2025: $501MQ4 2025: $764MQ1 2026: $892MQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+139%
Q2 2026$1.2B+126%
Q1 2026$891.8M+193%
Q4 2025$764M+67%
Q3 2025$500.9M+20%
Q2 2025$531.6M+276%
Q1 2025$304.1M+140%
Q4 2024$457.2M+54%

PLTR has the edge over SMCI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

SMCI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$610MQ1 2024: −$1.6BQ2 2024: −$656MQ3 2024: $365MQ4 2024: −$267MQ1 2025: $594MQ2 2025: $841MQ3 2025: −$950MQ4 2025: −$45MQ1 2026: −$6.7BQ2 2026: $719MQ3 2026: −$476M
Q4 2023: −$610MQ1 2024: −$1.6BQ2 2024: −$656MQ3 2024: $365MQ4 2024: −$267MQ1 2025: $594MQ2 2025: $841MQ3 2025: −$950MQ4 2025: −$45MQ1 2026: −$6.7BQ2 2026: $719MQ3 2026: −$476M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$475.6M+$474.2M
Q2 2026$718.7M-15%
Q1 2026-$6.7B-1227%
Q4 2025-$45.1M+$222.2M
Q3 2025-$949.8M-360%
Q2 2025$840.9M+$1.5B
Q1 2025$594.1M+$2.2B
Q4 2024-$267.3M+$342.5M

SMCI's free cash flow was −$6.5B over the past year, against $218M the year before.

PLTR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.3BQ1 2024: 2.4BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.5BQ4 2024: 2.5BQ1 2025: 2.6BQ2 2025: 2.6BQ3 2025: 2.6BQ4 2025: 2.6BQ1 2026: 2.6BQ2 2026: 2.6BQ3 2026: 2.6B
Q4 2023: 2.3BQ1 2024: 2.4BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.5BQ4 2024: 2.5BQ1 2025: 2.6BQ2 2025: 2.6BQ3 2025: 2.6BQ4 2025: 2.6BQ1 2026: 2.6BQ2 2026: 2.6BQ3 2026: 2.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+5.2M shares
1 year+0.1%+2.9M shares
3 years+11%+248M shares
5 years+31%+610M shares
Available history+184%+1.7B shares

PLTR has the edge over SMCI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SMCI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 581MQ1 2024: 614MQ2 2024: 602MQ3 2024: 639MQ4 2024: 636MQ1 2025: 622MQ2 2025: 628MQ3 2025: 663MQ4 2025: 694MQ1 2026: 692MQ2 2026: 697MQ3 2026: 749M
Q4 2023: 581MQ1 2024: 614MQ2 2024: 602MQ3 2024: 639MQ4 2024: 636MQ1 2025: 622MQ2 2025: 628MQ3 2025: 663MQ4 2025: 694MQ1 2026: 692MQ2 2026: 697MQ3 2026: 749M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.5%+52M shares
1 year+13%+86.1M shares
3 years+31%+178M shares
5 years+42%+220M shares
Available history+44%+229M shares

SMCI has 749M diluted shares, up 13% from a year ago.

PLTR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -5.4xQ1 2024: -2.3xQ2 2024: -1.6xQ3 2024: -1.9xQ4 2024: -6.1xQ1 2025: -2.3xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -1.9xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -5.4xQ1 2024: -2.3xQ2 2024: -1.6xQ3 2024: -1.9xQ4 2024: -6.1xQ1 2025: -2.3xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -1.9xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-6.1xNet Cash

PLTR has the edge over SMCI on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

SMCI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.7xQ1 2024: -1.7xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: -1.0xQ3 2026: -0.5x
Q4 2023: -0.7xQ1 2024: -1.7xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: -1.0xQ3 2026: -0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.0xNet Cash
Q1 20262.2xModerate
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 20240.2xVery low

SMCI has more cash than debt.

PLTR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.4Neutral
Stochastic47.4Neutral

PLTR's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 47 (neutral).

SMCI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.8Neutral
Stochastic19.1Oversold

SMCI's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

PLTR PE vs Technology Sector

MetricPLTRSector medianRelative
PE120x28x331% above
PE %13837 pts below

PLTR is trading at 120x earnings, a 331% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

SMCI PE vs Technology Sector

MetricSMCISector medianRelative
PE5.7x28x80% below
PE %03535 pts below

SMCI has the edge over PLTR on valuation relative to its sector.

PLTR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$185.87.6% below
20 week MA$167.62.4% above
50 week MA$157.19.2% above
100 week MA$143.819% above
200 week MA$83.3106% above

PLTR has the edge over SMCI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SMCI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$35.323% below
20 week MA$34.221% below
50 week MA$32.317% below
100 week MA$36.927% below
200 week MA$39.832% below

SMCI is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 32% below its 200-week average.

PLTR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.20$27.8+202%
2021$27.8$18.9-32%
2022$18.9$6.29-67%
2023$6.29$17.2+173%
2024$17.2$79.1+361%
2025$79.1$188.7+139%
2026 YTD$188.7$171.6-9.1%

PLTR has the edge over SMCI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SMCI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$2.41$3.05+27%
2021$3.05$4.27+40%
2022$4.27$8.22+93%
2023$8.22$28.4+246%
2024$28.4$32.0+12%
2025$32.0$30.6-4.2%
2026 YTD$30.6$27.0-12%

SMCI has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 12% so far in 2026.

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