PLTR

Palantir Technologies Inc.

90
Fundamentals95/ 100
Valuation88/ 100
Upside potential84/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

PLTR has the edge over PRGS overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

PRGS

Progress Software Corporation

70
Fundamentals79/ 100
Valuation74/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

PRGS has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

PLTR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

PLTR's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

PRGS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Under pressure

PRGS's profitability and cash flow are currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

PLTR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE174x349x523x698x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE174x349x523x698x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward75x$172—
Current120x$172—
Cheap165x$236+37%
Fair251x$359+109%
Expensive452x$646+277%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PLTR has the edge over PRGS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

PRGS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE20x40x61x81x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE20x40x61x81x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward6.7x$43.44—
Current20x$43.44—
Cheap25x$53.38+23%
Fair31x$66.66+53%
Expensive38x$81.69+88%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PRGS's PE is in its cheap range at 20x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 6.7x next year's earnings.

PLTR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

PLTR has the edge over PRGS on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

PRGS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Strong growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for PRGS, but weaker profitability.

PLTR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+112%$364.26
Downside-21%$136.16

Calculated from the latest close: $171.58 on Nov 12.

PLTR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than PRGS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

PRGS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$57.92
Downside-20%$34.96

Calculated from the latest close: $43.44 on Nov 12.

PRGS trails PLTR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

PLTR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.09Q1 2024: $0.12Q2 2024: $0.17Q3 2024: $0.20Q4 2024: $0.19Q1 2025: $0.23Q2 2025: $0.30Q3 2025: $0.42Q4 2025: $0.63Q1 2026: $0.89Q2 2026: $1.17Q3 2026: $1.43Forward: $2.30
Q4 2023: $0.09Q1 2024: $0.12Q2 2024: $0.17Q3 2024: $0.20Q4 2024: $0.19Q1 2025: $0.23Q2 2025: $0.30Q3 2025: $0.42Q4 2025: $0.63Q1 2026: $0.89Q2 2026: $1.17Q3 2026: $1.43Forward: $2.30
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.30+61%
Q3 2026$1.43+240%
Q2 2026$1.17+290%
Q1 2026$0.89+287%
Q4 2025$0.63+232%
Q3 2025$0.42+110%
Q2 2025$0.30+76%
Q1 2025$0.23+92%
Q4 2024$0.19+111%

PLTR has the edge over PRGS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PRGS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.57Q1 2024: $1.55Q2 2024: $1.65Q3 2024: $1.88Q4 2024: $1.54Q1 2025: $1.27Q2 2025: $1.29Q3 2025: $1.08Q4 2025: $1.66Q1 2026: $1.95Q2 2026: $2.06Q3 2026: $2.17Forward: $6.46
Q4 2023: $1.57Q1 2024: $1.55Q2 2024: $1.65Q3 2024: $1.88Q4 2024: $1.54Q1 2025: $1.27Q2 2025: $1.29Q3 2025: $1.08Q4 2025: $1.66Q1 2026: $1.95Q2 2026: $2.06Q3 2026: $2.17Forward: $6.46
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.46+198%
Q3 2026$2.17+101%
Q2 2026$2.06+60%
Q1 2026$1.95+54%
Q4 2025$1.66+7.8%
Q3 2025$1.08-43%
Q2 2025$1.29-22%
Q1 2025$1.27-18%
Q4 2024$1.54-1.9%

PRGS earned $2.17 per share over the past year, up 101% from the year before.

PLTR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $608MQ1 2024: $634MQ2 2024: $678MQ3 2024: $726MQ4 2024: $828MQ1 2025: $884MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2.3B
Q4 2023: $608MQ1 2024: $634MQ2 2024: $678MQ3 2024: $726MQ4 2024: $828MQ1 2025: $884MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.3B+96%
Q2 2026$1.9B+93%
Q1 2026$1.6B+85%
Q4 2025$1.4B+70%
Q3 2025$1.2B+63%
Q2 2025$1B+48%
Q1 2025$883.9M+39%
Q4 2024$827.5M+36%

PLTR has the edge over PRGS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PRGS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $177MQ1 2024: $185MQ2 2024: $175MQ3 2024: $179MQ4 2024: $215MQ1 2025: $238MQ2 2025: $237MQ3 2025: $250MQ4 2025: $253MQ1 2026: $248MQ2 2026: $253MQ3 2026: $246M
Q4 2023: $177MQ1 2024: $185MQ2 2024: $175MQ3 2024: $179MQ4 2024: $215MQ1 2025: $238MQ2 2025: $237MQ3 2025: $250MQ4 2025: $253MQ1 2026: $248MQ2 2026: $253MQ3 2026: $246M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$246M-1.5%
Q2 2026$253.5M+6.8%
Q1 2026$247.8M+4.1%
Q4 2025$252.7M+18%
Q3 2025$249.8M+40%
Q2 2025$237.4M+36%
Q1 2025$238M+29%
Q4 2024$215M+21%

PRGS's revenue is growing: $246M last quarter, down 1.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

PLTR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $296MQ1 2024: $127MQ2 2024: $141MQ3 2024: $416MQ4 2024: $457MQ1 2025: $304MQ2 2025: $532MQ3 2025: $501MQ4 2025: $764MQ1 2026: $892MQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $296MQ1 2024: $127MQ2 2024: $141MQ3 2024: $416MQ4 2024: $457MQ1 2025: $304MQ2 2025: $532MQ3 2025: $501MQ4 2025: $764MQ1 2026: $892MQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+139%
Q2 2026$1.2B+126%
Q1 2026$891.8M+193%
Q4 2025$764M+67%
Q3 2025$500.9M+20%
Q2 2025$531.6M+276%
Q1 2025$304.1M+140%
Q4 2024$457.2M+54%

PLTR has the edge over PRGS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PRGS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $31MQ1 2024: $70MQ2 2024: $63MQ3 2024: $57MQ4 2024: $17MQ1 2025: $68MQ2 2025: $30MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $96MQ2 2026: $77MQ3 2026: $86M
Q4 2023: $31MQ1 2024: $70MQ2 2024: $63MQ3 2024: $57MQ4 2024: $17MQ1 2025: $68MQ2 2025: $30MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $96MQ2 2026: $77MQ3 2026: $86M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$86.3M+19%
Q2 2026$77M+161%
Q1 2026$95.9M+42%
Q4 2025$59.9M+257%
Q3 2025$72.4M+28%
Q2 2025$29.5M-53%
Q1 2025$67.7M-3.6%
Q4 2024$16.8M-45%

PRGS's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $319M over the past year, up 71% from the year before.

PLTR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.3BQ1 2024: 2.4BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.5BQ4 2024: 2.5BQ1 2025: 2.6BQ2 2025: 2.6BQ3 2025: 2.6BQ4 2025: 2.6BQ1 2026: 2.6BQ2 2026: 2.6BQ3 2026: 2.6B
Q4 2023: 2.3BQ1 2024: 2.4BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.5BQ4 2024: 2.5BQ1 2025: 2.6BQ2 2025: 2.6BQ3 2025: 2.6BQ4 2025: 2.6BQ1 2026: 2.6BQ2 2026: 2.6BQ3 2026: 2.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+5.2M shares
1 year+0.1%+2.9M shares
3 years+11%+248M shares
5 years+31%+610M shares
Available history+184%+1.7B shares

PLTR has 2.6B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

PRGS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 45MQ1 2024: 45MQ2 2024: 44MQ3 2024: 44MQ4 2024: 44MQ1 2025: 45MQ2 2025: 44MQ3 2025: 44MQ4 2025: 44MQ1 2026: 43MQ2 2026: 42MQ3 2026: 41M
Q4 2023: 45MQ1 2024: 45MQ2 2024: 44MQ3 2024: 44MQ4 2024: 44MQ1 2025: 45MQ2 2025: 44MQ3 2025: 44MQ4 2025: 44MQ1 2026: 43MQ2 2026: 42MQ3 2026: 41M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2%-832K shares
1 year-5.1%-2.2M shares
3 years-7.8%-3.5M shares
5 years-6.8%-3M shares
Available history-8.5%-3.9M shares

PRGS has the edge over PLTR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

PLTR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -5.4xQ1 2024: -2.3xQ2 2024: -1.6xQ3 2024: -1.9xQ4 2024: -6.1xQ1 2025: -2.3xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -1.9xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -5.4xQ1 2024: -2.3xQ2 2024: -1.6xQ3 2024: -1.9xQ4 2024: -6.1xQ1 2025: -2.3xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -1.9xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-6.1xNet Cash

PLTR has the edge over PRGS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

PRGS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: -0.6xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.0xQ4 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: 5.9xQ2 2025: 3.9xQ3 2025: 3.5xQ4 2025: 4.3xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.7xQ3 2026: 3.5x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: -0.6xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.0xQ4 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: 5.9xQ2 2025: 3.9xQ3 2025: 3.5xQ4 2025: 4.3xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.7xQ3 2026: 3.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.5xElevated
Q2 20263.7xElevated
Q1 20263.9xElevated
Q4 20254.3xHigh
Q3 20253.5xElevated
Q2 20253.9xElevated
Q1 20255.9xHigh
Q4 2024-0.5xNet Cash

PRGS's net debt is about 3.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

PLTR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.4Neutral
Stochastic47.4Neutral

PLTR's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 47 (neutral).

PRGS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.4Neutral
Stochastic73.9Neutral

PRGS's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 74 (neutral).

PLTR PE vs Technology Sector

MetricPLTRSector medianRelative
PE120x28x331% above
PE %13837 pts below

PLTR is trading at 120x earnings, a 331% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

PRGS PE vs Technology Sector

MetricPRGSSector medianRelative
PE20x28x28% below
PE %83527 pts below

PRGS has the edge over PLTR on valuation relative to its sector.

PLTR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$185.87.6% below
20 week MA$167.62.4% above
50 week MA$157.19.2% above
100 week MA$143.819% above
200 week MA$83.3106% above

PLTR has the edge over PRGS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

PRGS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$41.93.7% above
20 week MA$41.54.7% above
50 week MA$37.815% above
100 week MA$45.54.5% below
200 week MA$51.115% below

PRGS has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 15% below its 200-week average.

PLTR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.20$27.8+202%
2021$27.8$18.9-32%
2022$18.9$6.29-67%
2023$6.29$17.2+173%
2024$17.2$79.1+361%
2025$79.1$188.7+139%
2026 YTD$188.7$171.6-9.1%

PLTR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +361% in 2024 to −67% in 2022. It's down 9.1% so far in 2026.

PRGS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$41.7$44.2+6%
2021$44.2$48.3+9.3%
2022$48.3$50.5+4.4%
2023$50.5$54.3+7.6%
2024$54.3$65.5+21%
2025$65.5$43.5-34%
2026 YTD$43.5$43.4-0.2%

PRGS has the edge over PLTR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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