PHM
PulteGroup, Inc.
PHM trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.
RIVN
Rivian Automotive, Inc.
RIVN has the edge over PHM overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
PHM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
PHM's balance sheet is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable, but its revenue is under pressure.
RIVN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
PHM PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 5.8x | $54.71 | -57% |
| Fair | 8.8x | $82.04 | -35% |
| Expensive | 11x | $99.83 | -21% |
| Current | 14x | $127 | — |
| Forward | 14x | $127 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
PHM's PE is in its expensive range at 13.6x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 13.7x.
RIVN PE Valuation
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
PHM Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect PHM's profitability to weaken, with its earnings and revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
RIVN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
RIVN has the edge over PHM on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
PHM Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $9.29 | -0.7% |
| Q3 2026 | $9.36 | -28% |
| Q2 2026 | $9.79 | -27% |
| Q1 2026 | $10.34 | -27% |
| Q4 2025 | $11.12 | -24% |
| Q3 2025 | $12.97 | -4.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.36 | +2.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $14.16 | +14% |
| Q4 2024 | $14.69 | +25% |
PHM has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RIVN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.25 | +$0.83 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.58 | +$0.62 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.92 | +$0.77 |
| Q4 2025 | -$3.07 | +$1.62 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.08 | +$2.52 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.20 | +$2.76 |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.69 | +$2.08 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.69 | +$1.05 |
RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.
PHM Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4B | -9.8% |
| Q2 2026 | $4B | -9.6% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.4B | -12% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.6B | -6.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.4B | -1.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.4B | -4.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.9B | -1.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.9B | +15% |
PHM's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $4B last quarter, down 9.8% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 16% | -1.7 points |
| Q2 2026 | 16% | -2.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 13% | -4.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 14% | -9.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 17% | -2.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 18% | -4.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 18% | -4.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 24% | +2 points |
PHM has the edge over RIVN on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RIVN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.2B | +38% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.7B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | -26% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.6B | +78% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B | +3% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.7B | +32% |
RIVN has the edge over PHM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -41% | +22 points |
| Q2 2026 | -50% | +35 points |
| Q1 2026 | -64% | -11 points |
| Q4 2025 | -65% | -27 points |
| Q3 2025 | -63% | +71 points |
| Q2 2025 | -86% | +33 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +70 points |
| Q4 2024 | -38% | +82 points |
RIVN's operating margin was −41% last quarter, up 22 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2021.
PHM Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $437.2M | -33% |
| Q2 2026 | -$12.9M | -105% |
| Q1 2026 | $134.4M | +28% |
| Q4 2025 | $739.8M | +36% |
| Q3 2025 | $651.1M | +56% |
| Q2 2025 | $253M | -35% |
| Q1 2025 | $104.6M | -51% |
| Q4 2024 | $543.1M | +106% |
PHM has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RIVN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.1B | -$703M |
| Q2 2026 | -$849M | -$451M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -$549M |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -234% |
| Q3 2025 | -$421M | +$732M |
| Q2 2025 | -$398M | +$639M |
| Q1 2025 | -$526M | +$997M |
| Q4 2024 | $856M | +$2.3B |
RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.
PHM Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | 0.0x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
PHM's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
RIVN Net Leverage
RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
PHM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 53.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 66.1 | Neutral |
PHM's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 66 (neutral).
RIVN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 25.6 | Neutral |
RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
PHM PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | PHM | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14x | 18x | 25% below |
| PE % | 99 | 47 | 52 pts above |
PHM is trading at 14x earnings, a 25% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
PHM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $120.8 | 5% above |
| 20 week MA | $124.3 | 2.1% above |
| 50 week MA | $124.4 | 2% above |
| 100 week MA | $118.8 | 6.8% above |
| 200 week MA | $107.7 | 18% above |
PHM has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RIVN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $13.3 | 3.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $15.9 | 19% below |
| 100 week MA | $14.7 | 13% below |
| 200 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.
PHM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $38.8 | $45.2 | +17% |
| 2021 | $45.2 | $54.7 | +21% |
| 2022 | $54.7 | $45.8 | -16% |
| 2023 | $45.8 | $103.2 | +125% |
| 2024 | $103.2 | $109.5 | +6.1% |
| 2025 | $109.5 | $119.2 | +8.8% |
| 2026 YTD | $119.2 | $126.9 | +6.5% |
PHM has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
RIVN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $130.0 | $96.8 | -25% |
| 2022 | $96.8 | $19.1 | -80% |
| 2023 | $19.1 | $23.5 | +23% |
| 2024 | $23.5 | $13.7 | -42% |
| 2025 | $13.7 | $20.9 | +53% |
| 2026 YTD | $20.9 | $12.8 | -39% |
RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.