PHIN

PHINIA Inc.

73
Fundamentals68/ 100
Valuation77/ 100
Upside potential76/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

PHIN has the edge over RIVN overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

PHIN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy

PHIN's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

PHIN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.6x17x26x34x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.6x17x26x34x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward10x$72.51—
Current15x$72.51—
Cheap19x$92.38+27%
Fair22x$110+52%
Expensive25x$121+67%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PHIN's PE is in its cheap range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 10x next year's earnings.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

PHIN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for PHIN, with profitability improving.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RIVN's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

PHIN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+41%$102.00
Downside-13%$63.39

Calculated from the latest close: $72.51 on Nov 12.

PHIN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RIVN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN trails PHIN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

PHIN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.08Q1 2024: $2.30Q2 2024: $1.87Q3 2024: $2.33Q4 2024: $1.76Q1 2025: $1.77Q2 2025: $2.60Q3 2025: $2.23Q4 2025: $3.24Q1 2026: $3.57Q2 2026: $3.48Q3 2026: $4.95Forward: $6.94
Q4 2023: $2.08Q1 2024: $2.30Q2 2024: $1.87Q3 2024: $2.33Q4 2024: $1.76Q1 2025: $1.77Q2 2025: $2.60Q3 2025: $2.23Q4 2025: $3.24Q1 2026: $3.57Q2 2026: $3.48Q3 2026: $4.95Forward: $6.94
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.94+40%
Q3 2026$4.95+122%
Q2 2026$3.48+34%
Q1 2026$3.57+102%
Q4 2025$3.24+84%
Q3 2025$2.23-4.3%
Q2 2025$2.60+39%
Q1 2025$1.77-23%
Q4 2024$1.76-15%

PHIN has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.

PHIN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $882MQ1 2024: $863MQ2 2024: $868MQ3 2024: $839MQ4 2024: $833MQ1 2025: $796MQ2 2025: $890MQ3 2025: $908MQ4 2025: $889MQ1 2026: $878MQ2 2026: $940MQ3 2026: $912M
Q4 2023: $882MQ1 2024: $863MQ2 2024: $868MQ3 2024: $839MQ4 2024: $833MQ1 2025: $796MQ2 2025: $890MQ3 2025: $908MQ4 2025: $889MQ1 2026: $878MQ2 2026: $940MQ3 2026: $912M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$912M+0.4%
Q2 2026$940M+5.6%
Q1 2026$878M+10%
Q4 2025$889M+6.7%
Q3 2025$908M+8.2%
Q2 2025$890M+2.5%
Q1 2025$796M-7.8%
Q4 2024$833M-5.6%

PHIN's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $912M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN has the edge over PHIN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PHIN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $29MQ1 2024: −$12MQ2 2024: $92MQ3 2024: $70MQ4 2024: $53MQ1 2025: $5MQ2 2025: $23MQ3 2025: $93MQ4 2025: $67MQ1 2026: $21MQ2 2026: $69MQ3 2026: $70M
Q4 2023: $29MQ1 2024: −$12MQ2 2024: $92MQ3 2024: $70MQ4 2024: $53MQ1 2025: $5MQ2 2025: $23MQ3 2025: $93MQ4 2025: $67MQ1 2026: $21MQ2 2026: $69MQ3 2026: $70M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$70M-25%
Q2 2026$69M+200%
Q1 2026$21M+320%
Q4 2025$67M+26%
Q3 2025$93M+33%
Q2 2025$23M-75%
Q1 2025$5M+$17M
Q4 2024$53M+83%

PHIN has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.

PHIN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 47MQ1 2024: 47MQ2 2024: 46MQ3 2024: 44MQ4 2024: 45MQ1 2025: 42MQ2 2025: 40MQ3 2025: 40MQ4 2025: 40MQ1 2026: 39MQ2 2026: 38MQ3 2026: 37M
Q4 2023: 47MQ1 2024: 47MQ2 2024: 46MQ3 2024: 44MQ4 2024: 45MQ1 2025: 42MQ2 2025: 40MQ3 2025: 40MQ4 2025: 40MQ1 2026: 39MQ2 2026: 38MQ3 2026: 37M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.4%-900K shares
1 year-6.3%-2.5M shares
3 years-21%-10M shares

PHIN has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

PHIN Net Leverage

Q2 2024: 1.1xQ3 2024: 1.1xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 1.5xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.6xQ4 2025: 1.5xQ1 2026: 1.6xQ2 2026: 1.6xQ3 2026: 1.4x
Q2 2024: 1.1xQ3 2024: 1.1xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 1.5xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.6xQ4 2025: 1.5xQ1 2026: 1.6xQ2 2026: 1.6xQ3 2026: 1.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.4xHealthy
Q2 20261.6xHealthy
Q1 20261.6xHealthy
Q4 20251.5xHealthy
Q3 20251.6xHealthy
Q2 20251.5xHealthy
Q1 20251.5xHealthy
Q4 20241.2xHealthy

PHIN's net debt is about 1.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.6 years a year ago.

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

PHIN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.2Neutral
Stochastic55.5Neutral

PHIN's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 55 (neutral).

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

PHIN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricPHINSector medianRelative
PE15x18x19% below
PE %13534 pts below

PHIN is trading at 15x earnings, a 19% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

PHIN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$62.416% above
20 week MA$68.65.6% above
50 week MA$70.23.3% above
100 week MA$59.622% above

PHIN has stronger trend alignment. PHIN is above 4 of 4 weekly averages versus RIVN above 0 of 5.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

PHIN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2023$31.5$30.3-3.8%
2024$30.3$48.2+59%
2025$48.2$61.4+27%
2026 YTD$61.4$72.5+18%

PHIN has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.

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