PGNY

Progyny, Inc.

75
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation72/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

PGNY has the edge over UNH overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

UNH

UnitedHealth Group Incorporated

62
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation56/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

UNH has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

PGNY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

PGNY's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

UNH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Healthy

UNH's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

PGNY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x64x97x129x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x64x97x129x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward24x$36.58—
Cheap32x$34.56-5.5%
Current34x$36.58—
Fair43x$46.46+27%
Expensive91x$98.79+170%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PGNY has the edge over UNH in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

UNH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward18x$405—
Cheap19x$325-20%
Fair23x$410+1.2%
Current23x$405—
Expensive30x$526+30%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UNH's PE is in its fair range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

PGNY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

PGNY has the edge over UNH on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

UNH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect UNH's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

PGNY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+47%$53.86
Downside-19%$29.56

Calculated from the latest close: $36.58 on Nov 12.

PGNY trails UNH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

UNH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$550.65
Downside-15%$346.07

Calculated from the latest close: $405.13 on Nov 12.

UNH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than PGNY, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

PGNY Earnings Per Share

Q2 2024: $0.63Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $0.57Q1 2025: $0.57Q2 2025: $0.59Q3 2025: $0.63Q4 2025: $0.65Q1 2026: $0.77Q2 2026: $0.92Q3 2026: $1.09Forward: $1.54
Q2 2024: $0.63Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $0.57Q1 2025: $0.57Q2 2025: $0.59Q3 2025: $0.63Q4 2025: $0.65Q1 2026: $0.77Q2 2026: $0.92Q3 2026: $1.09Forward: $1.54
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.54+41%
Q3 2026$1.09+73%
Q2 2026$0.92+56%
Q1 2026$0.77+35%
Q4 2025$0.65+14%
Q3 2025$0.63+8.6%
Q2 2025$0.59-6.3%
Q1 2023$0.43-23%
Q4 2022$0.30-55%

PGNY has the edge over UNH on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

UNH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$22.65+29%
Q3 2026$17.55-8.5%
Q2 2026$15.58-33%
Q1 2026$13.28-44%
Q4 2025$13.23-15%
Q3 2025$19.17+25%
Q2 2025$23.09+53%
Q1 2025$23.89+46%
Q4 2024$15.51-35%

UNH's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $17.55 over the past year, against $23.89 in early 2025.

PGNY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $270MQ1 2024: $278MQ2 2024: $304MQ3 2024: $287MQ4 2024: $298MQ1 2025: $324MQ2 2025: $333MQ3 2025: $313MQ4 2025: $318MQ1 2026: $329MQ2 2026: $351MQ3 2026: $341M
Q4 2023: $270MQ1 2024: $278MQ2 2024: $304MQ3 2024: $287MQ4 2024: $298MQ1 2025: $324MQ2 2025: $333MQ3 2025: $313MQ4 2025: $318MQ1 2026: $329MQ2 2026: $351MQ3 2026: $341M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$341.3M+8.9%
Q2 2026$350.5M+5.3%
Q1 2026$328.5M+1.4%
Q4 2025$318.4M+6.7%
Q3 2025$313.3M+9.3%
Q2 2025$332.9M+9.5%
Q1 2025$324M+17%
Q4 2024$298.4M+11%

PGNY has the edge over UNH on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

UNH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$112.7B-0.4%
Q2 2026$112B+0.4%
Q1 2026$111.7B+2%
Q4 2025$113.2B+12%
Q3 2025$113.2B+12%
Q2 2025$111.6B+13%
Q1 2025$109.6B+9.8%
Q4 2024$100.8B+6.8%

UNH's revenue has held roughly level: $113B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

PGNY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $37MQ1 2024: $25MQ2 2024: $56MQ3 2024: $43MQ4 2024: $50MQ1 2025: $47MQ2 2025: $50MQ3 2025: $46MQ4 2025: $49MQ1 2026: $40MQ2 2026: $44MQ3 2026: $47M
Q4 2023: $37MQ1 2024: $25MQ2 2024: $56MQ3 2024: $43MQ4 2024: $50MQ1 2025: $47MQ2 2025: $50MQ3 2025: $46MQ4 2025: $49MQ1 2026: $40MQ2 2026: $44MQ3 2026: $47M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$47.2M+2.7%
Q2 2026$44.2M-12%
Q1 2026$39.6M-16%
Q4 2025$48.6M-3.3%
Q3 2025$46M+7.6%
Q2 2025$50.2M-10%
Q1 2025$47M+89%
Q4 2024$50.3M+36%

PGNY generated $180M in free cash flow over the past year, down 7.1% from the year before.

UNH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4.3B-16%
Q2 2026$10.3B+63%
Q1 2026$8.1B+79%
Q4 2025$160M-89%
Q3 2025$5.1B-61%
Q2 2025$6.3B+6.9%
Q1 2025$4.6B+1037%
Q4 2024$1.5B+$7.6B

UNH has the edge over PGNY on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PGNY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 101MQ1 2024: 101MQ2 2024: 98MQ3 2024: 94MQ4 2024: 89MQ1 2025: 89MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 90MQ4 2025: 89MQ1 2026: 85MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 81M
Q4 2023: 101MQ1 2024: 101MQ2 2024: 98MQ3 2024: 94MQ4 2024: 89MQ1 2025: 89MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 90MQ4 2025: 89MQ1 2026: 85MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 81M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-969K shares
1 year-10%-9.1M shares
3 years-20%-19.7M shares
5 years-19%-19.2M shares
Available history+26%+17M shares

PGNY has the edge over UNH on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

UNH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-4M shares
1 year-0.7%-6M shares
3 years-3.6%-34M shares
5 years-5.5%-53M shares
Available history-6.6%-64M shares

UNH has 902M diluted shares, down 0.7% from a year ago, with $5B in buybacks over the past year.

PGNY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.5xQ1 2024: -1.7xQ2 2024: -1.3xQ3 2024: -1.3xQ4 2024: -2.3xQ1 2025: -1.4xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -1.5xQ4 2025: -1.2xQ1 2026: -1.3xQ2 2026: -1.3xQ3 2026: -0.9x
Q4 2023: -1.5xQ1 2024: -1.7xQ2 2024: -1.3xQ3 2024: -1.3xQ4 2024: -2.3xQ1 2025: -1.4xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -1.5xQ4 2025: -1.2xQ1 2026: -1.3xQ2 2026: -1.3xQ3 2026: -0.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.2xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.3xNet Cash

PGNY has the edge over UNH on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

UNH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.7xHealthy
Q2 20261.7xHealthy
Q1 20262.2xModerate
Q4 20252.3xModerate
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.5xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.4xHealthy

UNH's net debt is about 1.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

PGNY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI73.2Overbought
Stochastic84.8Overbought

PGNY's weekly RSI is 73 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).

UNH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.4Neutral
Stochastic60.0Neutral

UNH's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 60 (neutral).

PGNY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricPGNYSector medianRelative
PE34x26x30% above
PE %21298 pts below

PGNY is trading at 34x earnings, a 30% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

UNH PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricUNHSector medianRelative
PE23x26x11% below
PE %472918 pts above

UNH has the edge over PGNY on valuation relative to its sector.

PGNY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$29.425% above
20 week MA$28.827% above
50 week MA$25.046% above
100 week MA$23.357% above
200 week MA$27.334% above

PGNY has the edge over UNH on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

UNH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$394.22.8% above
20 week MA$400.51.2% above
50 week MA$361.212% above
100 week MA$376.07.8% above
200 week MA$446.69.3% below

UNH has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20-, 50- and 100-week averages, but 9.3% below its 200-week average.

PGNY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.0$42.2+51%
2021$42.2$51.5+22%
2022$51.5$30.8-40%
2023$30.8$37.2+21%
2024$37.2$16.9-55%
2025$16.9$25.8+53%
2026 YTD$25.8$36.6+42%

PGNY has the edge over UNH on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

UNH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$296.0$340.8+15%
2021$340.8$495.4+45%
2022$495.4$531.3+7.3%
2023$531.3$526.5-0.9%
2024$526.5$510.0-3.1%
2025$510.0$331.8-35%
2026 YTD$331.8$405.1+22%

UNH has finished three years in a row lower, and it's up 22% so far in 2026.

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