PFE

Pfizer Inc.

38
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation8/ 100
Upside potential21/ 100
Risk potential33/ 100

PFE trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

UNH

UnitedHealth Group Incorporated

62
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation56/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

UNH has the edge over PFE overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

PFE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Strong
Weak

PFE's cash flow is currently strong, and its revenue and profitability are stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

UNH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Healthy

UNH's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

PFE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE20x39x59x79x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE20x39x59x79x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.7x$6.78-76%
Forward10x$28.83—
Fair15x$10.59-63%
Expensive24x$16.53-43%
Current41x$28.83—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PFE's PE is in its expensive range at 41x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 10x, in its cheap range.

UNH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward18x$405—
Cheap19x$325-20%
Fair23x$410+1.2%
Current23x$405—
Expensive30x$526+30%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UNH has the edge over PFE in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

PFE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Stable
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect PFE's profitability to improve, with its earnings and revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

UNH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
Low

UNH has the edge over PFE on the outlook, with more favorable earnings expectations.

PFE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+9%$31.40
Downside-33%$19.21

Calculated from the latest close: $28.83 on Nov 12.

PFE trails UNH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

UNH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$550.65
Downside-15%$346.07

Calculated from the latest close: $405.13 on Nov 12.

UNH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than PFE, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

PFE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $-0.05Q2 2024: $-0.45Q3 2024: $0.75Q4 2024: $1.41Q1 2025: $1.38Q2 2025: $1.88Q3 2025: $1.72Q4 2025: $1.36Q1 2026: $1.31Q2 2026: $0.76Q3 2026: $0.70Forward: $2.83
Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $-0.05Q2 2024: $-0.45Q3 2024: $0.75Q4 2024: $1.41Q1 2025: $1.38Q2 2025: $1.88Q3 2025: $1.72Q4 2025: $1.36Q1 2026: $1.31Q2 2026: $0.76Q3 2026: $0.70Forward: $2.83
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.83+304%
Q3 2026$0.70-59%
Q2 2026$0.76-60%
Q1 2026$1.31-5.1%
Q4 2025$1.36-3.5%
Q3 2025$1.72+129%
Q2 2025$1.88+$2.33
Q1 2025$1.38+$1.43
Q4 2024$1.41+281%

PFE has the edge over UNH on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

UNH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$22.65+29%
Q3 2026$17.55-8.5%
Q2 2026$15.58-33%
Q1 2026$13.28-44%
Q4 2025$13.23-15%
Q3 2025$19.17+25%
Q2 2025$23.09+53%
Q1 2025$23.89+46%
Q4 2024$15.51-35%

UNH's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $17.55 over the past year, against $23.89 in early 2025.

PFE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $14.2BQ1 2024: $14.9BQ2 2024: $13.3BQ3 2024: $17.7BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: $13.7BQ2 2025: $14.7BQ3 2025: $16.7BQ4 2025: $17.6BQ1 2026: $14.5BQ2 2026: $15BQ3 2026: $16.6B
Q4 2023: $14.2BQ1 2024: $14.9BQ2 2024: $13.3BQ3 2024: $17.7BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: $13.7BQ2 2025: $14.7BQ3 2025: $16.7BQ4 2025: $17.6BQ1 2026: $14.5BQ2 2026: $15BQ3 2026: $16.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$16.6B-0.4%
Q2 2026$15B+2.6%
Q1 2026$14.5B+5.4%
Q4 2025$17.6B-1.2%
Q3 2025$16.7B-5.9%
Q2 2025$14.7B+10%
Q1 2025$13.7B-7.8%
Q4 2024$17.8B+25%

PFE's revenue fell from its 2022 peak and has held roughly level since: $16.6B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

UNH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$112.7B-0.4%
Q2 2026$112B+0.4%
Q1 2026$111.7B+2%
Q4 2025$113.2B+12%
Q3 2025$113.2B+12%
Q2 2025$111.6B+13%
Q1 2025$109.6B+9.8%
Q4 2024$100.8B+6.8%

UNH has the edge over PFE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PFE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $4.2BQ1 2024: $386MQ2 2024: −$2.4BQ3 2024: $6.1BQ4 2024: $5.8BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: −$1.2BQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $4.5BQ1 2026: $2.2BQ2 2026: $302MQ3 2026: $4.8B
Q4 2023: $4.2BQ1 2024: $386MQ2 2024: −$2.4BQ3 2024: $6.1BQ4 2024: $5.8BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: −$1.2BQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $4.5BQ1 2026: $2.2BQ2 2026: $302MQ3 2026: $4.8B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4.8B+20%
Q2 2026$302M+$1.5B
Q1 2026$2.2B+23%
Q4 2025$4.5B-22%
Q3 2025$4B-34%
Q2 2025-$1.2B+$1.2B
Q1 2025$1.8B+359%
Q4 2024$5.8B+38%

PFE has the edge over UNH on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

UNH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4.3B-16%
Q2 2026$10.3B+63%
Q1 2026$8.1B+79%
Q4 2025$160M-89%
Q3 2025$5.1B-61%
Q2 2025$6.3B+6.9%
Q1 2025$4.6B+1037%
Q4 2024$1.5B+$7.6B

UNH still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2022 peak: $22.8B over the past year.

PFE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 5.7BQ1 2024: 5.7BQ2 2024: 5.7BQ3 2024: 5.7BQ4 2024: 5.7BQ1 2025: 5.7BQ2 2025: 5.7BQ3 2025: 5.7BQ4 2025: 5.7BQ1 2026: 5.7BQ2 2026: 5.7BQ3 2026: 5.8B
Q4 2023: 5.7BQ1 2024: 5.7BQ2 2024: 5.7BQ3 2024: 5.7BQ4 2024: 5.7BQ1 2025: 5.7BQ2 2025: 5.7BQ3 2025: 5.7BQ4 2025: 5.7BQ1 2026: 5.7BQ2 2026: 5.7BQ3 2026: 5.8B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.9%+52M shares
1 year+0.6%+37M shares
3 years+1.9%+105M shares
5 years+0.5%+26M shares
Available history-3.9%-230M shares

PFE has 5.8B diluted shares, up 0.6% from a year ago.

UNH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-4M shares
1 year-0.7%-6M shares
3 years-3.6%-34M shares
5 years-5.5%-53M shares
Available history-6.6%-64M shares

UNH has the edge over PFE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

PFE Net Leverage

Q2 2024: 27.0xQ3 2024: 6.2xQ4 2024: 4.2xQ1 2025: 4.3xQ2 2025: 3.5xQ3 2025: 3.8xQ4 2025: 4.5xQ1 2026: 4.3xQ2 2026: 5.8xQ3 2026: 5.7x
Q2 2024: 27.0xQ3 2024: 6.2xQ4 2024: 4.2xQ1 2025: 4.3xQ2 2025: 3.5xQ3 2025: 3.8xQ4 2025: 4.5xQ1 2026: 4.3xQ2 2026: 5.8xQ3 2026: 5.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20265.7xHigh
Q2 20265.8xHigh
Q1 20264.3xHigh
Q4 20254.5xHigh
Q3 20253.8xElevated
Q2 20253.5xElevated
Q1 20254.3xHigh
Q4 20244.2xHigh

PFE's net debt is about 5.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.8 years a year ago.

UNH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.7xHealthy
Q2 20261.7xHealthy
Q1 20262.2xModerate
Q4 20252.3xModerate
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.5xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.4xHealthy

UNH has the edge over PFE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

PFE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.8Neutral
Stochastic72.5Neutral

PFE's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

UNH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.4Neutral
Stochastic60.0Neutral

UNH's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 60 (neutral).

PFE PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricPFESector medianRelative
PE41x26x59% above
PE %972968 pts above

PFE is trading at 41x earnings, a 59% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

UNH PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricUNHSector medianRelative
PE23x26x11% below
PE %472918 pts above

UNH has the edge over PFE on valuation relative to its sector.

PFE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$29.11.1% below
20 week MA$27.54.9% above
50 week MA$26.87.7% above
100 week MA$25.812% above
200 week MA$29.00.4% below

PFE's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 0.4% below its 200-week average.

UNH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$394.22.8% above
20 week MA$400.51.2% above
50 week MA$361.212% above
100 week MA$376.07.8% above
200 week MA$446.69.3% below

UNH has the edge over PFE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

PFE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$37.3$37.30%
2021$37.3$58.7+58%
2022$58.7$51.8-12%
2023$51.8$28.8-44%
2024$28.8$26.6-7.5%
2025$26.6$25.1-5.7%
2026 YTD$25.1$28.8+15%

PFE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's up 15% so far in 2026.

UNH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$296.0$340.8+15%
2021$340.8$495.4+45%
2022$495.4$531.3+7.3%
2023$531.3$526.5-0.9%
2024$526.5$510.0-3.1%
2025$510.0$331.8-35%
2026 YTD$331.8$405.1+22%

UNH has the edge over PFE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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