PENN
PENN Entertainment, Inc.
PENN has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
TSLA
Tesla, Inc.
TSLA has a slight edge over PENN overall, supported by stronger valuation.
PENN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable |
PENN's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.
TSLA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
PENN PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.5x | $0.65 | -96% |
| Forward | 11x | $17.53 | — |
| Fair | 22x | $2.25 | -87% |
| Expensive | 29x | $2.94 | -83% |
| Current | 175x | $17.53 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
PENN's PE is in its expensive range at 175x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 11x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
TSLA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 60x | $54.70 | -86% |
| Fair | 174x | $158 | -60% |
| Forward | 196x | $397 | — |
| Expensive | 415x | $378 | -4.9% |
| Current | 437x | $397 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TSLA has the edge over PENN in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
PENN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
PENN has the edge over TSLA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
TSLA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TSLA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
PENN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.60 | +1503% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.10 | +$6.44 |
| Q2 2026 | -$6.17 | -$5.62 |
| Q1 2026 | -$6.53 | -$5.92 |
| Q4 2025 | -$5.83 | -$3.78 |
| Q3 2025 | -$6.34 | -$3.21 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.55 | +$7.14 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.61 | +$6.42 |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.05 | +$1.17 |
PENN has the edge over TSLA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
TSLA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.03 | +123% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.91 | -39% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.08 | -38% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.09 | -40% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.08 | -47% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.50 | -59% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.73 | -51% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.82 | -53% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.04 | -53% |
TSLA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.91 over the past year, against $4.30 in late 2023.
PENN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.8B | +7.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.9B | +5.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.8B | +6.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.8B | +8.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.7B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.8B | +6.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.7B | +4.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.7B | +20% |
PENN has the edge over TSLA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 6.9% | +52 points |
| Q2 2026 | 7.1% | +2.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.5% | +2.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | -1% | +1.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | -45% | -49 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.4% | -0.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.6% | +3.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | -2.9% | +19 points |
PENN has the edge over TSLA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
TSLA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $28B | -0.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $28.2B | +26% |
| Q1 2026 | $22.4B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $24.9B | -3.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $28.1B | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $22.5B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $19.3B | -9.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $25.7B | +2.1% |
TSLA's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $28B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.6% | -3.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.4% | -2.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4.2% | +2.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5.7% | -0.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5.8% | -5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.1% | -2.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.1% | -3.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 6.2% | -2 points |
TSLA's operating margin was 2.6% last quarter, down 3.2 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
PENN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $204.1M | +2389% |
| Q2 2026 | $143.3M | +662% |
| Q1 2026 | $27.8M | +$111.1M |
| Q4 2025 | -$83.2M | +$34.9M |
| Q3 2025 | $8.2M | -81% |
| Q2 2025 | $18.8M | -70% |
| Q1 2025 | -$83.3M | +$26.8M |
| Q4 2024 | -$118.1M | +$118.9M |
PENN has the edge over TSLA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
TSLA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.5B | -62% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.1B | -848% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +117% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.4B | -30% |
| Q3 2025 | $4B | +46% |
| Q2 2025 | $146M | -89% |
| Q1 2025 | $664M | +$3.2B |
| Q4 2024 | $2B | -1.6% |
TSLA still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $3.3B over the past year.
PENN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.2% | -1.7M shares |
| 1 year | -5.6% | -8.1M shares |
| 3 years | -10% | -15.5M shares |
| 5 years | -22% | -37.3M shares |
| Available history | +15% | +17.6M shares |
PENN has the edge over TSLA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $85M |
| Q3 2025 | $154.1M |
| Q2 2025 | $90.3M |
| Q1 2025 | $25M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
PENN spent $85M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 68% from the year before.
TSLA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +15M shares |
| 3 years | +1.4% | +48M shares |
| 5 years | +5.1% | +172M shares |
| Available history | +33% | +886M shares |
TSLA has 3.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
PENN Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 3.7x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 3.6x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 4.1x | High |
| Q3 2024 | 7.7x | High |
| Q3 2023 | 4.3x | High |
| Q2 2023 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q1 2023 | 1.0x | Healthy |
PENN's net debt is about 2.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 7.7 years a year ago.
TSLA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
TSLA has the edge over PENN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
PENN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 52.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 44.0 | Neutral |
PENN's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 44 (neutral).
TSLA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 72.6 | Neutral |
TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).
PENN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | PENN | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 175x | 18x | 873% above |
| PE % | 100 | 47 | 53 pts above |
PENN has the edge over TSLA on valuation relative to its sector.
TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | TSLA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 437x | 18x | 2,324% above |
| PE % | 84 | 47 | 37 pts above |
TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
PENN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $15.8 | 11% above |
| 20 week MA | $17.8 | 1.6% below |
| 50 week MA | $16.6 | 5.8% above |
| 100 week MA | $17.1 | 2.4% above |
| 200 week MA | $19.8 | 12% below |
PENN's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 12% below its 200-week average.
TSLA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $376.0 | 5.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $364.0 | 9.2% above |
| 50 week MA | $393.6 | 1% above |
| 100 week MA | $372.1 | 6.8% above |
| 200 week MA | $296.9 | 34% above |
TSLA has the edge over PENN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
PENN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $25.7 | $94.7 | +268% |
| 2021 | $94.7 | $51.4 | -46% |
| 2022 | $51.4 | $30.5 | -41% |
| 2023 | $30.5 | $26.0 | -15% |
| 2024 | $26.0 | $18.7 | -28% |
| 2025 | $18.7 | $15.1 | -19% |
| 2026 YTD | $15.1 | $17.5 | +16% |
PENN has the edge over TSLA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
TSLA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $28.7 | $220.6 | +669% |
| 2021 | $220.6 | $355.7 | +61% |
| 2022 | $355.7 | $123.2 | -65% |
| 2023 | $123.2 | $248.5 | +102% |
| 2024 | $248.5 | $431.7 | +74% |
| 2025 | $431.7 | $475.2 | +10% |
| 2026 YTD | $475.2 | $397.5 | -16% |
TSLA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +669% in 2020 to −65% in 2022. It's down 16% so far in 2026.