PENN
PENN Entertainment, Inc.
PENN has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RIVN
Rivian Automotive, Inc.
RIVN has the edge over PENN overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
PENN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable |
PENN's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.
RIVN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
PENN PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.5x | $0.65 | -96% |
| Forward | 11x | $17.53 | — |
| Fair | 22x | $2.25 | -87% |
| Expensive | 29x | $2.94 | -83% |
| Current | 175x | $17.53 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
PENN's PE is in its expensive range at 175x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 11x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
RIVN PE Valuation
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
PENN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for PENN, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
RIVN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect RIVN's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
PENN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.60 | +1503% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.10 | +$6.44 |
| Q2 2026 | -$6.17 | -$5.62 |
| Q1 2026 | -$6.53 | -$5.92 |
| Q4 2025 | -$5.83 | -$3.78 |
| Q3 2025 | -$6.34 | -$3.21 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.55 | +$7.14 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.61 | +$6.42 |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.05 | +$1.17 |
PENN has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RIVN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.25 | +$0.83 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.58 | +$0.62 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.92 | +$0.77 |
| Q4 2025 | -$3.07 | +$1.62 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.08 | +$2.52 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.20 | +$2.76 |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.69 | +$2.08 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.69 | +$1.05 |
RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.
PENN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.8B | +7.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.9B | +5.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.8B | +6.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.8B | +8.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.7B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.8B | +6.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.7B | +4.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.7B | +20% |
PENN's revenue has grown year over year for nine quarters in a row: $1.8B last quarter, up 7.1% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 6.9% | +52 points |
| Q2 2026 | 7.1% | +2.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.5% | +2.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | -1% | +1.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | -45% | -49 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.4% | -0.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.6% | +3.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | -2.9% | +19 points |
PENN has the edge over RIVN on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RIVN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.2B | +38% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.7B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | -26% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.6B | +78% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B | +3% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.7B | +32% |
RIVN's revenue is growing: $2.2B last quarter, up 38% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -41% | +22 points |
| Q2 2026 | -50% | +35 points |
| Q1 2026 | -64% | -11 points |
| Q4 2025 | -65% | -27 points |
| Q3 2025 | -63% | +71 points |
| Q2 2025 | -86% | +33 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +70 points |
| Q4 2024 | -38% | +82 points |
RIVN's operating margin was −41% last quarter, up 22 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2021.
PENN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $204.1M | +2389% |
| Q2 2026 | $143.3M | +662% |
| Q1 2026 | $27.8M | +$111.1M |
| Q4 2025 | -$83.2M | +$34.9M |
| Q3 2025 | $8.2M | -81% |
| Q2 2025 | $18.8M | -70% |
| Q1 2025 | -$83.3M | +$26.8M |
| Q4 2024 | -$118.1M | +$118.9M |
PENN has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RIVN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.1B | -$703M |
| Q2 2026 | -$849M | -$451M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -$549M |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -234% |
| Q3 2025 | -$421M | +$732M |
| Q2 2025 | -$398M | +$639M |
| Q1 2025 | -$526M | +$997M |
| Q4 2024 | $856M | +$2.3B |
RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.
PENN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.2% | -1.7M shares |
| 1 year | -5.6% | -8.1M shares |
| 3 years | -10% | -15.5M shares |
| 5 years | -22% | -37.3M shares |
| Available history | +15% | +17.6M shares |
PENN has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $85M |
| Q3 2025 | $154.1M |
| Q2 2025 | $90.3M |
| Q1 2025 | $25M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
PENN spent $85M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 68% from the year before.
RIVN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +9.1% | +121M shares |
| 1 year | +19% | +226M shares |
| 3 years | +52% | +494M shares |
RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | $6M |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
PENN Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 3.7x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 3.6x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 4.1x | High |
| Q3 2024 | 7.7x | High |
| Q3 2023 | 4.3x | High |
| Q2 2023 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q1 2023 | 1.0x | Healthy |
PENN's net debt is about 2.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 7.7 years a year ago.
RIVN Net Leverage
RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
PENN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 52.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 44.0 | Neutral |
PENN's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 44 (neutral).
RIVN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 25.6 | Neutral |
RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
PENN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | PENN | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 175x | 18x | 873% above |
| PE % | 100 | 47 | 53 pts above |
PENN is trading at 175x earnings, a 873% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
PENN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $15.8 | 11% above |
| 20 week MA | $17.8 | 1.6% below |
| 50 week MA | $16.6 | 5.8% above |
| 100 week MA | $17.1 | 2.4% above |
| 200 week MA | $19.8 | 12% below |
PENN has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RIVN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $13.3 | 3.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $15.9 | 19% below |
| 100 week MA | $14.7 | 13% below |
| 200 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.
PENN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $25.7 | $94.7 | +268% |
| 2021 | $94.7 | $51.4 | -46% |
| 2022 | $51.4 | $30.5 | -41% |
| 2023 | $30.5 | $26.0 | -15% |
| 2024 | $26.0 | $18.7 | -28% |
| 2025 | $18.7 | $15.1 | -19% |
| 2026 YTD | $15.1 | $17.5 | +16% |
PENN has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
RIVN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $130.0 | $96.8 | -25% |
| 2022 | $96.8 | $19.1 | -80% |
| 2023 | $19.1 | $23.5 | +23% |
| 2024 | $23.5 | $13.7 | -42% |
| 2025 | $13.7 | $20.9 | +53% |
| 2026 YTD | $20.9 | $12.8 | -39% |
RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.