PEN

Penumbra, Inc.

71
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential69/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

PEN's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks cheap: trading at 81x earnings, about a third of its usual 225x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

PEN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Strong

PEN's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

PEN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE559x1118x1677x2236x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE559x1118x1677x2236x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward55x$321—
Cheap76x$300-6.4%
Current81x$321—
Fair222x$883+175%
Expensive648x$2,574+702%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PEN's PE is in its cheap range at 81x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 55x next year's earnings.

PEN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for PEN, with profitability improving.

PEN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$411.07
Downside-13%$280.33

Calculated from the latest close: $320.77 on Nov 12.

PEN's one-year upside scenario is more than twice its downside: +28% against −13%.

PEN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.31Q1 2024: $2.37Q2 2024: $0.34Q3 2024: $0.86Q4 2024: $0.36Q1 2025: $1.08Q2 2025: $3.78Q3 2025: $4.20Q4 2025: $4.52Q1 2026: $4.34Q2 2026: $4.07Q3 2026: $3.97Forward: $5.82
Q4 2023: $2.31Q1 2024: $2.37Q2 2024: $0.34Q3 2024: $0.86Q4 2024: $0.36Q1 2025: $1.08Q2 2025: $3.78Q3 2025: $4.20Q4 2025: $4.52Q1 2026: $4.34Q2 2026: $4.07Q3 2026: $3.97Forward: $5.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.82+47%
Q3 2026$3.97-5.5%
Q2 2026$4.07+7.7%
Q1 2026$4.34+302%
Q4 2025$4.52+1156%
Q3 2025$4.20+388%
Q2 2025$3.78+1012%
Q1 2025$1.08-54%
Q4 2024$0.36-84%

PEN earned $3.97 per share over the past year, down 5.5% from the year before.

PEN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $285MQ1 2024: $279MQ2 2024: $299MQ3 2024: $301MQ4 2024: $316MQ1 2025: $324MQ2 2025: $339MQ3 2025: $355MQ4 2025: $385MQ1 2026: $375MQ2 2026: $390MQ3 2026: $410M
Q4 2023: $285MQ1 2024: $279MQ2 2024: $299MQ3 2024: $301MQ4 2024: $316MQ1 2025: $324MQ2 2025: $339MQ3 2025: $355MQ4 2025: $385MQ1 2026: $375MQ2 2026: $390MQ3 2026: $410M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$410.1M+16%
Q2 2026$390M+15%
Q1 2026$374.8M+16%
Q4 2025$385.4M+22%
Q3 2025$354.7M+18%
Q2 2025$339.5M+13%
Q1 2025$324.1M+16%
Q4 2024$315.5M+11%

PEN's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $410M last quarter, up 16% from the same quarter a year ago.

PEN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $33MQ1 2024: $32MQ2 2024: $18MQ3 2024: $51MQ4 2024: $46MQ1 2025: $36MQ2 2025: $29MQ3 2025: $42MQ4 2025: $68MQ1 2026: $73MQ2 2026: $33MQ3 2026: $26M
Q4 2023: $33MQ1 2024: $32MQ2 2024: $18MQ3 2024: $51MQ4 2024: $46MQ1 2025: $36MQ2 2025: $29MQ3 2025: $42MQ4 2025: $68MQ1 2026: $73MQ2 2026: $33MQ3 2026: $26M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$26.4M-37%
Q2 2026$32.5M+11%
Q1 2026$73.3M+106%
Q4 2025$68.1M+49%
Q3 2025$42M-18%
Q2 2025$29.4M+62%
Q1 2025$35.5M+9.3%
Q4 2024$45.7M+40%

PEN generated $200M in free cash flow over the past year, up 31% from the year before.

PEN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 39MQ1 2024: 39MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 39MQ4 2024: 39MQ1 2025: 39MQ2 2025: 39MQ3 2025: 39MQ4 2025: 39MQ1 2026: 40MQ2 2026: 40MQ3 2026: 40M
Q4 2023: 39MQ1 2024: 39MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 39MQ4 2024: 39MQ1 2025: 39MQ2 2025: 39MQ3 2025: 39MQ4 2025: 39MQ1 2026: 40MQ2 2026: 40MQ3 2026: 40M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+48.2K shares
1 year+0.8%+318K shares
3 years+1%+400K shares
5 years+5.3%+2M shares
Available history+9.1%+3.3M shares

PEN has 40M diluted shares, up 0.8% from a year ago.

PEN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.7xQ1 2024: -2.1xQ2 2024: -36.4xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -9.8xQ1 2025: -6.4xQ2 2025: -2.4xQ3 2025: -1.7xQ4 2025: -0.9xQ1 2026: -1.2xQ2 2026: -1.0xQ3 2026: -1.2x
Q4 2023: -1.7xQ1 2024: -2.1xQ2 2024: -36.4xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -9.8xQ1 2025: -6.4xQ2 2025: -2.4xQ3 2025: -1.7xQ4 2025: -0.9xQ1 2026: -1.2xQ2 2026: -1.0xQ3 2026: -1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.7xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q4 2024-9.8xNet Cash

PEN has more cash than debt.

PEN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.7Neutral
Stochastic27.1Neutral

PEN's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

PEN PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricPENSector medianRelative
PE81x26x213% above
PE %26293 pts below

PEN is trading at 81x earnings, a 213% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

PEN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$320.00.2% above
20 week MA$320.60.1% above
50 week MA$325.61.5% below
100 week MA$294.78.8% above
200 week MA$267.720% above

PEN's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 20% above its 200-week average.

PEN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$164.1$187.4+14%
2021$187.4$275.6+47%
2022$275.6$219.6-20%
2023$219.6$251.5+15%
2024$251.5$239.9-4.6%
2025$239.9$317.0+32%
2026 YTD$317.0$320.8+1.2%

PEN has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 1.2% so far in 2026.

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