PDLB

Ponce Financial Group, Inc.

79
Fundamentals81/ 100
Valuation85/ 100
Upside potential91/ 100
Risk potential6/ 100

PDLB's fundamentals are strong and it looks cheap: trading at 12x earnings, about half its usual 22x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

PDLB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

PDLB's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like PDLB.

PDLB PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE23x45x68x91x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE23x45x68x91x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward11x$22.20—
Current12x$22.20—
Cheap15x$27.86+26%
Fair22x$42.18+90%
Expensive38x$72.93+229%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PDLB's PE is in its cheap range at 12x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 11x next year's earnings.

PDLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for PDLB, with profitability holding steady.

PDLB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$34.37
Downside-6%$20.93

Calculated from the latest close: $22.20 on Nov 12.

PDLB's one-year upside scenario is about ten times its downside: +55% against −5.7%.

PDLB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.15Q1 2024: $0.25Q2 2024: $0.39Q3 2024: $0.37Q4 2024: $0.46Q1 2025: $0.60Q2 2025: $0.71Q3 2025: $0.88Q4 2025: $1.20Q1 2026: $1.31Q2 2026: $1.41Q3 2026: $1.90Forward: $1.99
Q4 2023: $0.15Q1 2024: $0.25Q2 2024: $0.39Q3 2024: $0.37Q4 2024: $0.46Q1 2025: $0.60Q2 2025: $0.71Q3 2025: $0.88Q4 2025: $1.20Q1 2026: $1.31Q2 2026: $1.41Q3 2026: $1.90Forward: $1.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.99+4.7%
Q3 2026$1.90+116%
Q2 2026$1.41+99%
Q1 2026$1.31+118%
Q4 2025$1.20+161%
Q3 2025$0.88+138%
Q2 2025$0.71+82%
Q1 2025$0.60+140%
Q4 2024$0.46+207%

PDLB's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $1.90 over the past year, up 116% from the year before, and higher year over year every quarter since late 2023.

PDLB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $18MQ1 2024: $21MQ2 2024: $20MQ3 2024: $20MQ4 2024: $23MQ1 2025: $25MQ2 2025: $26MQ3 2025: $27MQ4 2025: $31MQ1 2026: $30MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $35M
Q4 2023: $18MQ1 2024: $21MQ2 2024: $20MQ3 2024: $20MQ4 2024: $23MQ1 2025: $25MQ2 2025: $26MQ3 2025: $27MQ4 2025: $31MQ1 2026: $30MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $35M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$34.8M+30%
Q2 2026$31.6M+19%
Q1 2026$30.3M+23%
Q4 2025$31.4M+38%
Q3 2025$26.7M+33%
Q2 2025$26.5M+31%
Q1 2025$24.6M+20%
Q4 2024$22.8M+24%

PDLB's revenue has grown year over year for eight quarters in a row: $35M last quarter, up 30% from the same quarter a year ago.

PDLB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $32MQ1 2024: −$315,000Q2 2024: −$3MQ3 2024: −$15MQ4 2024: $22MQ1 2025: $13MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $786,000Q4 2025: $35MQ1 2026: $14MQ2 2026: $8MQ3 2026: $13M
Q4 2023: $32MQ1 2024: −$315,000Q2 2024: −$3MQ3 2024: −$15MQ4 2024: $22MQ1 2025: $13MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $786,000Q4 2025: $35MQ1 2026: $14MQ2 2026: $8MQ3 2026: $13M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$13.4M+1603%
Q2 2026$8M+36%
Q1 2026$13.8M+7%
Q4 2025$35M+56%
Q3 2025$786K+$15.7M
Q2 2025$5.9M+$8.5M
Q1 2025$12.9M+$13.2M
Q4 2024$22.4M-30%

PDLB's free cash flow was $70M over the past year, up 67% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like PDLB.

PDLB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 22MQ1 2024: 22MQ2 2024: 22MQ3 2024: 23MQ4 2024: 23MQ1 2025: 23MQ2 2025: 23MQ3 2025: 23MQ4 2025: 23MQ1 2026: 23MQ2 2026: 24MQ3 2026: 24M
Q4 2023: 22MQ1 2024: 22MQ2 2024: 22MQ3 2024: 23MQ4 2024: 23MQ1 2025: 23MQ2 2025: 23MQ3 2025: 23MQ4 2025: 23MQ1 2026: 23MQ2 2026: 24MQ3 2026: 24M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+142K shares
1 year+2.2%+515K shares
3 years+5.8%+1.3M shares

PDLB has 24M diluted shares, up 2.2% from a year ago.

PDLB Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 52.5xQ1 2024: 41.4xQ2 2024: 32.2xQ3 2024: 25.1xQ4 2024: 22.3xQ1 2025: 15.5xQ2 2025: 14.4xQ3 2025: 11.0xQ4 2025: 10.9xQ1 2026: 9.7xQ2 2026: 9.6xQ3 2026: 10.5x
Q4 2023: 52.5xQ1 2024: 41.4xQ2 2024: 32.2xQ3 2024: 25.1xQ4 2024: 22.3xQ1 2025: 15.5xQ2 2025: 14.4xQ3 2025: 11.0xQ4 2025: 10.9xQ1 2026: 9.7xQ2 2026: 9.6xQ3 2026: 10.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202610.5xHigh
Q2 20269.6xHigh
Q1 20269.7xHigh
Q4 202510.9xHigh
Q3 202511.0xHigh
Q2 202514.4xHigh
Q1 202515.5xHigh
Q4 202422.3xHigh

PDLB's net debt is about 11 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 11 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like PDLB.

PDLB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI70.4Overbought
Stochastic76.7Neutral

PDLB's weekly RSI is 70 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 77 (neutral).

PDLB PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricPDLBSector medianRelative
PE12x13x10% below
PE %16362 pts below

PDLB is trading at 12x earnings, a 10% discount to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

PDLB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$21.05.8% above
20 week MA$20.67.8% above
50 week MA$18.619% above
100 week MA$16.138% above
200 week MA$12.775% above

PDLB is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 75% above its 200-week average.

PDLB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$14.8$10.4-30%
2021$10.4$14.7+42%
2022$14.7$9.51-35%
2023$9.51$9.76+2.6%
2024$9.76$12.8+31%
2025$12.8$16.8+32%
2026 YTD$16.8$22.2+32%

PDLB has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 32% so far in 2026.

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