PCAR
PACCAR Inc
PCAR has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RDW
Redwire Corporation
RDW has the edge over PCAR overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
PCAR Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable |
PCAR's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
RDW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Unavailable |
RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
PCAR PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 12x | $61.46 | -42% |
| Fair | 14x | $74.66 | -30% |
| Forward | 16x | $106 | — |
| Current | 20x | $106 | — |
| Expensive | 22x | $118 | +11% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
PCAR's PE is in its expensive range at 20x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 16x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
RDW PE Valuation
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
PCAR Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for PCAR, with profitability improving.
RDW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect RDW's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
PCAR Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.63 | +26% |
| Q3 2026 | $5.25 | +2.9% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.76 | -18% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.70 | -29% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.51 | -43% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.10 | -43% |
| Q2 2025 | $5.83 | -38% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.59 | -32% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.90 | -9.8% |
PCAR has the edge over RDW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RDW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.17 | +$2.01 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.37 | +$1.89 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.59 | -$0.32 |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.28 | +$0.07 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.18 | -$1.97 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.26 | -$2.28 |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.27 | -$1.55 |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.35 | -$1.62 |
RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.
PCAR Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $7.9B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $7.5B | +0.5% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.8B | -8.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $6.8B | -14% |
| Q3 2025 | $6.7B | -19% |
| Q2 2025 | $7.5B | -14% |
| Q1 2025 | $7.4B | -15% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.9B | -13% |
PCAR's revenue has held roughly level: $7.9B last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 14% | +2.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 13% | +0.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 11% | +2.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 10% | -4.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 11% | -4.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 12% | -4.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 8.6% | -8.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | -3.5 points |
PCAR has the edge over RDW on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RDW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $109M | +5.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $117.1M | +90% |
| Q1 2026 | $97M | +58% |
| Q4 2025 | $108.8M | +56% |
| Q3 2025 | $103.4M | +51% |
| Q2 2025 | $61.8M | -21% |
| Q1 2025 | $61.4M | -30% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6M | +9.6% |
RDW has the edge over PCAR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -24% | +16 points |
| Q2 2026 | -19% | +130 points |
| Q1 2026 | -72% | -49 points |
| Q4 2025 | -75% | -48 points |
| Q3 2025 | -40% | -22 points |
| Q2 2025 | -149% | -140 points |
| Q1 2025 | -23% | -19 points |
| Q4 2024 | -27% | -17 points |
RDW's operating margin was −24% last quarter, up 16 points from the same quarter a year ago.
PCAR Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $710.9M | -48% |
| Q2 2026 | $555.4M | -9.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $824.6M | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $954.4M | -21% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.4B | +25% |
| Q2 2025 | $611.3M | +178% |
| Q1 2025 | $745.2M | -42% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.2B | +23% |
PCAR has the edge over RDW on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RDW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$65.3M | -$38.5M |
| Q2 2026 | -$33.5M | +$57.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$11.4M | +$35.5M |
| Q4 2025 | -$26.5M | -659% |
| Q3 2025 | -$26.9M | -$7.6M |
| Q2 2025 | -$90.6M | -$80.2M |
| Q1 2025 | -$46.9M | -3996% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.7M | -65% |
RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.
PCAR Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +100K shares |
| 1 year | +0.2% | +1M shares |
| 3 years | +0.5% | +2.4M shares |
| 5 years | +1% | +5.3M shares |
| Available history | +1.2% | +6.5M shares |
PCAR has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $800,000 |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $4.8M |
| Q4 2025 | $900,000 |
| Q3 2025 | $200,000 |
| Q2 2025 | $30.7M |
| Q1 2025 | $4.3M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
PCAR has spent almost nothing on buybacks in the past year.
RDW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +13% | +29.6M shares |
| 1 year | +179% | +160M shares |
| 3 years | +289% | +186M shares |
| 5 years | +319% | +190M shares |
RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
PCAR Net Leverage
RDW Net Leverage
RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
PCAR Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 9.5 | Oversold |
PCAR's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).
RDW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.1 | Oversold |
RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
PCAR PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | PCAR | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20x | 24x | 16% below |
| PE % | 76 | 58 | 18 pts above |
PCAR is trading at 20x earnings, a 16% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
RDW PE vs Industrials Sector
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
PCAR Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $107.1 | 0.7% below |
| 20 week MA | $118.8 | 10% below |
| 50 week MA | $118.4 | 10% below |
| 100 week MA | $108.7 | 2.2% below |
| 200 week MA | $101.1 | 5.1% above |
PCAR has the edge over RDW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RDW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.06 | 11% below |
| 20 week MA | $10.1 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $10.6 | 24% below |
| 100 week MA | $11.6 | 31% below |
| 200 week MA | $8.07 | 0.5% below |
RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.
PCAR Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $52.9 | $57.4 | +8.4% |
| 2021 | $57.4 | $56.6 | -1.4% |
| 2022 | $56.6 | $67.0 | +18% |
| 2023 | $67.0 | $97.7 | +46% |
| 2024 | $97.7 | $104.6 | +7.1% |
| 2025 | $104.6 | $111.8 | +6.9% |
| 2026 YTD | $111.8 | $106.3 | -4.9% |
PCAR has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 4.9% so far in 2026.
RDW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $10.2 | $7.34 | -28% |
| 2022 | $7.34 | $1.92 | -74% |
| 2023 | $1.92 | $2.85 | +48% |
| 2024 | $2.85 | $17.1 | +501% |
| 2025 | $17.1 | $7.15 | -58% |
| 2026 YTD | $7.15 | $8.03 | +12% |
RDW has the edge over PCAR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.