PBYI

Puma Biotechnology, Inc.

48
Fundamentals49/ 100
Valuation23/ 100
Upside potential51/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

PBYI trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

UNH

UnitedHealth Group Incorporated

62
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation56/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

UNH has the edge over PBYI overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

PBYI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Strong
Strong

PBYI's cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

UNH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Healthy

UNH's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

PBYI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE23x46x69x92x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE23x46x69x92x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.4x$2.49-69%
Fair12x$5.71-29%
Current18x$8.08—
Expensive22x$10.08+25%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PBYI's PE is in its expensive range at 18x.

UNH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward18x$405—
Cheap19x$325-20%
Fair23x$410+1.2%
Current23x$405—
Expensive30x$526+30%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UNH has the edge over PBYI in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

PBYI Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for PBYI to show an outlook.

UNH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect UNH's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

PBYI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+40%$11.34
Downside-38%$5.00

Calculated from the latest close: $8.08 on Nov 12.

PBYI trails UNH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

UNH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$550.65
Downside-15%$346.07

Calculated from the latest close: $405.13 on Nov 12.

UNH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than PBYI, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

PBYI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.45Q1 2024: $0.32Q2 2024: $0.18Q3 2024: $0.47Q4 2024: $0.62Q1 2025: $0.78Q2 2025: $0.99Q3 2025: $0.75Q4 2025: $0.61Q1 2026: $0.48Q2 2026: $0.52Q3 2026: $0.46
Q4 2023: $0.45Q1 2024: $0.32Q2 2024: $0.18Q3 2024: $0.47Q4 2024: $0.62Q1 2025: $0.78Q2 2025: $0.99Q3 2025: $0.75Q4 2025: $0.61Q1 2026: $0.48Q2 2026: $0.52Q3 2026: $0.46
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.46-39%
Q2 2026$0.52-47%
Q1 2026$0.48-38%
Q4 2025$0.61-1.6%
Q3 2025$0.75+60%
Q2 2025$0.99+450%
Q1 2025$0.78+144%
Q4 2024$0.62+38%

PBYI has the edge over UNH on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

UNH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$22.65+29%
Q3 2026$17.55-8.5%
Q2 2026$15.58-33%
Q1 2026$13.28-44%
Q4 2025$13.23-15%
Q3 2025$19.17+25%
Q2 2025$23.09+53%
Q1 2025$23.89+46%
Q4 2024$15.51-35%

UNH's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $17.55 over the past year, against $23.89 in early 2025.

PBYI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $72MQ1 2024: $44MQ2 2024: $47MQ3 2024: $81MQ4 2024: $59MQ1 2025: $46MQ2 2025: $52MQ3 2025: $54MQ4 2025: $75MQ1 2026: $45MQ2 2026: $57MQ3 2026: $55M
Q4 2023: $72MQ1 2024: $44MQ2 2024: $47MQ3 2024: $81MQ4 2024: $59MQ1 2025: $46MQ2 2025: $52MQ3 2025: $54MQ4 2025: $75MQ1 2026: $45MQ2 2026: $57MQ3 2026: $55M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$55.1M+1.1%
Q2 2026$56.5M+7.8%
Q1 2026$44.8M-2.6%
Q4 2025$75.5M+28%
Q3 2025$54.5M-32%
Q2 2025$52.4M+11%
Q1 2025$46M+5.1%
Q4 2024$59.1M-18%

PBYI's revenue is growing: $55M last quarter, up 1.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

UNH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$112.7B-0.4%
Q2 2026$112B+0.4%
Q1 2026$111.7B+2%
Q4 2025$113.2B+12%
Q3 2025$113.2B+12%
Q2 2025$111.6B+13%
Q1 2025$109.6B+9.8%
Q4 2024$100.8B+6.8%

UNH has the edge over PBYI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PBYI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: $11MQ2 2024: --Q3 2024: $11MQ4 2024: $16MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: $14MQ3 2025: $10MQ4 2025: $14MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: $15M
Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: $11MQ2 2024: --Q3 2024: $11MQ4 2024: $16MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: $14MQ3 2025: $10MQ4 2025: $14MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: $15M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$14.6M+51%
Q2 2026$1.6M-88%
Q1 2026$15.4M+334%
Q4 2025$14.5M-7.3%
Q3 2025$9.7M-12%
Q1 2025$3.6M-68%
Q4 2024$15.6M+50%
Q3 2024$11M+4.1%

PBYI has the edge over UNH on cash flow, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

UNH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4.3B-16%
Q2 2026$10.3B+63%
Q1 2026$8.1B+79%
Q4 2025$160M-89%
Q3 2025$5.1B-61%
Q2 2025$6.3B+6.9%
Q1 2025$4.6B+1037%
Q4 2024$1.5B+$7.6B

UNH still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2022 peak: $22.8B over the past year.

PBYI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 48MQ1 2024: 48MQ2 2024: 48MQ3 2024: 49MQ4 2024: 49MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 50MQ3 2025: 51MQ4 2025: 51MQ1 2026: 51MQ2 2026: 53MQ3 2026: 53M
Q4 2023: 48MQ1 2024: 48MQ2 2024: 48MQ3 2024: 49MQ4 2024: 49MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 50MQ3 2025: 51MQ4 2025: 51MQ1 2026: 51MQ2 2026: 53MQ3 2026: 53M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1%+520K shares
1 year+4.3%+2.2M shares
3 years+11%+5.3M shares
5 years+30%+12.3M shares
Available history+36%+14.1M shares

PBYI has 53M diluted shares, up 4.3% from a year ago.

UNH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-4M shares
1 year-0.7%-6M shares
3 years-3.6%-34M shares
5 years-5.5%-53M shares
Available history-6.6%-64M shares

UNH has the edge over PBYI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

PBYI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.3xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.7xQ3 2024: 0.3xQ4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.2xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: -0.2xQ1 2026: -0.6xQ2 2026: -0.9xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: 0.3xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.7xQ3 2024: 0.3xQ4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.2xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: -0.2xQ1 2026: -0.6xQ2 2026: -0.9xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.6xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.1xNet Cash

PBYI has the edge over UNH on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

UNH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.7xHealthy
Q2 20261.7xHealthy
Q1 20262.2xModerate
Q4 20252.3xModerate
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.5xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.4xHealthy

UNH's net debt is about 1.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

PBYI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.6Neutral
Stochastic35.7Neutral

PBYI's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 36 (neutral).

UNH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.4Neutral
Stochastic60.0Neutral

UNH's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 60 (neutral).

PBYI PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricPBYISector medianRelative
PE18x26x32% below
PE %702941 pts above

PBYI has the edge over UNH on valuation relative to its sector.

UNH PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricUNHSector medianRelative
PE23x26x11% below
PE %472918 pts above

UNH is trading at 23x earnings, a 11% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

PBYI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.6516% below
20 week MA$9.1111% below
50 week MA$7.655.6% above
100 week MA$5.7241% above
200 week MA$4.6972% above

PBYI has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 72% above its 200-week average.

UNH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$394.22.8% above
20 week MA$400.51.2% above
50 week MA$361.212% above
100 week MA$376.07.8% above
200 week MA$446.69.3% below

UNH has the edge over PBYI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

PBYI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$8.66$11.4+32%
2021$11.4$3.46-70%
2022$3.46$4.12+19%
2023$4.12$4.33+5.1%
2024$4.33$3.08-29%
2025$3.08$6.16+100%
2026 YTD$6.16$8.08+31%

PBYI has the edge over UNH on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

UNH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$296.0$340.8+15%
2021$340.8$495.4+45%
2022$495.4$531.3+7.3%
2023$531.3$526.5-0.9%
2024$526.5$510.0-3.1%
2025$510.0$331.8-35%
2026 YTD$331.8$405.1+22%

UNH has finished three years in a row lower, and it's up 22% so far in 2026.

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