PBI

Pitney Bowes Inc.

68
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation71/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

PBI has the edge over RDW overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

RDW

Redwire Corporation

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

RDW offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

PBI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Weak

PBI's profitability and cash flow are currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

RDW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

PBI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE23x46x69x93x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE23x46x69x93x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward9.7x$15.64—
Current12x$15.64—
Cheap13x$16.34+4.5%
Fair17x$22.35+43%
Expensive65x$84.89+443%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PBI's PE is in its cheap range at 12x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.7x next year's earnings.

RDW PE Valuation

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

PBI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect PBI's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

RDW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

RDW has the edge over PBI on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

PBI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$20.54
Downside-21%$12.39

Calculated from the latest close: $15.64 on Nov 12.

PBI trails RDW on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RDW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+109%$16.79
Downside-52%$3.87

Calculated from the latest close: $8.03 on Nov 12.

RDW has a better modeled risk to reward balance than PBI, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

PBI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-2.20Q1 2024: $-2.18Q2 2024: $-1.51Q3 2024: $-2.19Q4 2024: $-1.12Q1 2025: $-0.91Q2 2025: $-0.60Q3 2025: $0.45Q4 2025: $0.84Q1 2026: $1.04Q2 2026: $1.23Q3 2026: $1.30Forward: $1.61
Q4 2023: $-2.20Q1 2024: $-2.18Q2 2024: $-1.51Q3 2024: $-2.19Q4 2024: $-1.12Q1 2025: $-0.91Q2 2025: $-0.60Q3 2025: $0.45Q4 2025: $0.84Q1 2026: $1.04Q2 2026: $1.23Q3 2026: $1.30Forward: $1.61
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.61+24%
Q3 2026$1.30+189%
Q2 2026$1.23+$1.83
Q1 2026$1.04+$1.95
Q4 2025$0.84+$1.96
Q3 2025$0.45+$2.64
Q2 2025-$0.60+$0.91
Q1 2025-$0.91+$1.27
Q4 2024-$1.12+$1.08

PBI has the edge over RDW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RDW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.17+$2.01
Q2 2026-$1.37+$1.89
Q1 2026-$2.59-$0.32
Q4 2025-$2.28+$0.07
Q3 2025-$3.18-$1.97
Q2 2025-$3.26-$2.28
Q1 2025-$2.27-$1.55
Q4 2024-$2.35-$1.62

RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.

PBI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $872MQ1 2024: $831MQ2 2024: $793MQ3 2024: $499MQ4 2024: $516MQ1 2025: $493MQ2 2025: $462MQ3 2025: $460MQ4 2025: $478MQ1 2026: $477MQ2 2026: $451MQ3 2026: $456M
Q4 2023: $872MQ1 2024: $831MQ2 2024: $793MQ3 2024: $499MQ4 2024: $516MQ1 2025: $493MQ2 2025: $462MQ3 2025: $460MQ4 2025: $478MQ1 2026: $477MQ2 2026: $451MQ3 2026: $456M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$456.2M-0.8%
Q2 2026$451.5M-2.3%
Q1 2026$477.4M-3.2%
Q4 2025$477.6M-7.5%
Q3 2025$459.7M-8%
Q2 2025$461.9M-42%
Q1 2025$493.4M-41%
Q4 2024$516.1M-41%

PBI's revenue fell from its 2020 peak and has held roughly level since: $456M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

RDW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$109M+5.4%
Q2 2026$117.1M+90%
Q1 2026$97M+58%
Q4 2025$108.8M+56%
Q3 2025$103.4M+51%
Q2 2025$61.8M-21%
Q1 2025$61.4M-30%
Q4 2024$69.6M+9.6%

RDW has the edge over PBI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PBI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $69MQ1 2024: −$32MQ2 2024: $72MQ3 2024: $5MQ4 2024: $112MQ1 2025: −$34MQ2 2025: $98MQ3 2025: $51MQ4 2025: $201MQ1 2026: $28MQ2 2026: $134MQ3 2026: $140M
Q4 2023: $69MQ1 2024: −$32MQ2 2024: $72MQ3 2024: $5MQ4 2024: $112MQ1 2025: −$34MQ2 2025: $98MQ3 2025: $51MQ4 2025: $201MQ1 2026: $28MQ2 2026: $134MQ3 2026: $140M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$140.4M+175%
Q2 2026$134.4M+37%
Q1 2026$28.3M+$61.9M
Q4 2025$201.4M+79%
Q3 2025$51.1M+875%
Q2 2025$98M+37%
Q1 2025-$33.6M-$1.1M
Q4 2024$112.3M+64%

PBI has the edge over RDW on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RDW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$65.3M-$38.5M
Q2 2026-$33.5M+$57.2M
Q1 2026-$11.4M+$35.5M
Q4 2025-$26.5M-659%
Q3 2025-$26.9M-$7.6M
Q2 2025-$90.6M-$80.2M
Q1 2025-$46.9M-3996%
Q4 2024$4.7M-65%

RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.

PBI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 176MQ1 2024: 177MQ2 2024: 179MQ3 2024: 184MQ4 2024: 183MQ1 2025: 185MQ2 2025: 181MQ3 2025: 170MQ4 2025: 173MQ1 2026: 148MQ2 2026: 139MQ3 2026: 141M
Q4 2023: 176MQ1 2024: 177MQ2 2024: 179MQ3 2024: 184MQ4 2024: 183MQ1 2025: 185MQ2 2025: 181MQ3 2025: 170MQ4 2025: 173MQ1 2026: 148MQ2 2026: 139MQ3 2026: 141M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.2%+1.7M shares
1 year-17%-29.6M shares
3 years-20%-35.4M shares
5 years-22%-38.7M shares
Available history-21%-36.7M shares

PBI has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RDW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+29.6M shares
1 year+179%+160M shares
3 years+289%+186M shares
5 years+319%+190M shares

RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.

PBI Net Leverage

Q1 2025: 88.7xQ2 2025: 19.2xQ3 2025: 8.1xQ4 2025: 5.6xQ1 2026: 5.5xQ2 2026: 5.0xQ3 2026: 4.6x
Q1 2025: 88.7xQ2 2025: 19.2xQ3 2025: 8.1xQ4 2025: 5.6xQ1 2026: 5.5xQ2 2026: 5.0xQ3 2026: 4.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.6xHigh
Q2 20265.0xHigh
Q1 20265.5xHigh
Q4 20255.6xHigh
Q3 20258.1xHigh
Q2 202519.2xHigh
Q1 202588.7xHigh
Q2 2023117.2xHigh

PBI's net debt is about 4.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.1 years a year ago.

RDW Net Leverage

RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

PBI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.3Neutral
Stochastic12.0Oversold

PBI's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

RDW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.3Neutral
Stochastic16.1Oversold

RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

PBI PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricPBISector medianRelative
PE12x24x50% below
PE %125846 pts below

PBI is trading at 12x earnings, a 50% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RDW PE vs Industrials Sector

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

PBI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$16.55.1% below
20 week MA$17.07.9% below
50 week MA$14.39.2% above
100 week MA$12.229% above
200 week MA$8.4386% above

PBI has the edge over RDW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RDW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.0611% below
20 week MA$10.120% below
50 week MA$10.624% below
100 week MA$11.631% below
200 week MA$8.070.5% below

RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.

PBI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$3.94$5.53+40%
2021$5.53$6.68+21%
2022$6.68$3.79-43%
2023$3.79$4.40+16%
2024$4.40$7.29+66%
2025$7.29$10.7+47%
2026 YTD$10.7$15.6+46%

PBI has the edge over RDW on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RDW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$10.2$7.34-28%
2022$7.34$1.92-74%
2023$1.92$2.85+48%
2024$2.85$17.1+501%
2025$17.1$7.15-58%
2026 YTD$7.15$8.03+12%

RDW's yearly returns have swung widely, from +501% in 2024 to −74% in 2022. It's up 12% so far in 2026.

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