PBF

PBF Energy Inc.

68
Fundamentals79/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

PBF's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 32% and its operating margin went from −1.9% to 9.8%. At 3.2x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 3.0x. Analysts expect that strong growth to continue, though they disagree widely on how much.

PBF Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

PBF's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

PBF PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.1x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.1x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap1.9x$43.44-39%
Forward2.7x$70.96—
Fair3x$68.24-3.8%
Current3.2x$70.96—
Expensive11x$240+238%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PBF's PE is in its fair range at 3.2x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 2.7x next year's earnings.

PBF Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for PBF, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

PBF Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+56%$110.40
Downside-28%$51.06

Calculated from the latest close: $70.96 on Nov 12.

PBF's one-year upside scenario is about twice its downside: +56% against −28%.

PBF Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $16.52Q1 2024: $14.52Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $-2.52Q4 2024: $-4.60Q1 2025: $-8.99Q2 2025: $-8.48Q3 2025: $-4.54Q4 2025: $-1.39Q1 2026: $3.79Q2 2026: $11.38Q3 2026: $22.47Forward: $26.10
Q4 2023: $16.52Q1 2024: $14.52Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $-2.52Q4 2024: $-4.60Q1 2025: $-8.99Q2 2025: $-8.48Q3 2025: $-4.54Q4 2025: $-1.39Q1 2026: $3.79Q2 2026: $11.38Q3 2026: $22.47Forward: $26.10
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$26.10+16%
Q3 2026$22.47+$27.01
Q2 2026$11.38+$19.86
Q1 2026$3.79+$12.78
Q4 2025-$1.39+$3.21
Q3 2025-$4.54-$2.02
Q2 2025-$8.48-239%
Q1 2025-$8.99-162%
Q4 2024-$4.60-128%

PBF has returned to profit: it earned $22.47 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

PBF Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $8.6BQ2 2024: $8.7BQ3 2024: $8.4BQ4 2024: $7.4BQ1 2025: $7.1BQ2 2025: $7.5BQ3 2025: $7.7BQ4 2025: $7.1BQ1 2026: $7.9BQ2 2026: $11.7BQ3 2026: $12.1B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $8.6BQ2 2024: $8.7BQ3 2024: $8.4BQ4 2024: $7.4BQ1 2025: $7.1BQ2 2025: $7.5BQ3 2025: $7.7BQ4 2025: $7.1BQ1 2026: $7.9BQ2 2026: $11.7BQ3 2026: $12.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$12.1B+59%
Q2 2026$11.7B+56%
Q1 2026$7.9B+12%
Q4 2025$7.1B-2.9%
Q3 2025$7.7B-8.7%
Q2 2025$7.5B-14%
Q1 2025$7.1B-18%
Q4 2024$7.4B-20%

PBF's revenue is growing: $12.1B last quarter, up 59% from the same quarter a year ago.

PBF Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $224MQ1 2024: −$124MQ2 2024: $372MQ3 2024: −$170MQ4 2024: −$426MQ1 2025: −$772MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: −$123MQ4 2025: $77MQ1 2026: −$673MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $1.8B
Q4 2023: $224MQ1 2024: −$124MQ2 2024: $372MQ3 2024: −$170MQ4 2024: −$426MQ1 2025: −$772MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: −$123MQ4 2025: $77MQ1 2026: −$673MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $1.8B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.8B+$1.9B
Q2 2026$1.5B+4076%
Q1 2026-$673.1M+$99.3M
Q4 2025$77M+$502.7M
Q3 2025-$122.8M+$47M
Q2 2025$35M-91%
Q1 2025-$772.4M-$648.6M
Q4 2024-$425.7M-290%

PBF's free cash flow has turned positive after two years mostly in the red: $2.6B over the past year.

PBF Total Shares

Q4 2023: 131MQ1 2024: 125MQ2 2024: 118MQ3 2024: 116MQ4 2024: 117MQ1 2025: 115MQ2 2025: 115MQ3 2025: 118MQ4 2025: 115MQ1 2026: 121MQ2 2026: 121MQ3 2026: 123M
Q4 2023: 131MQ1 2024: 125MQ2 2024: 118MQ3 2024: 116MQ4 2024: 117MQ1 2025: 115MQ2 2025: 115MQ3 2025: 118MQ4 2025: 115MQ1 2026: 121MQ2 2026: 121MQ3 2026: 123M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.4%+1.7M shares
1 year+4.1%+4.8M shares
3 years-5.3%-6.9M shares
5 years+1.2%+1.4M shares
Available history+0.7%+903K shares

PBF has 123M diluted shares, up 4.1% from a year ago.

PBF Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.2xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ1 2026: 2.9xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: -0.1x
Q4 2023: -0.2xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ1 2026: 2.9xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 20260.4xVery low
Q1 20262.9xModerate
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2023-0.2xNet Cash
Q3 2023-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2023-0.0xNet Cash

PBF has more cash than debt.

PBF Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.7Neutral
Stochastic36.8Neutral

PBF's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 37 (neutral).

PBF PE vs Energy Sector

MetricPBFSector medianRelative
PE3.2x13x76% below
PE %516110 pts below

PBF is trading at 3.2x earnings, a 76% discount to the Energy sector's median of 13x.

PBF Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$77.07.8% below
20 week MA$71.10.2% below
50 week MA$51.239% above
100 week MA$38.286% above
200 week MA$40.675% above

PBF has slipped below its 8- and 20-week averages, though it's still 75% above its 200-week average.

PBF Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$31.1$6.88-78%
2021$6.88$12.3+79%
2022$12.3$41.1+233%
2023$41.1$44.0+7%
2024$44.0$25.4-42%
2025$25.4$26.2+3%
2026 YTD$26.2$71.0+171%

PBF's yearly returns have swung widely, from +233% in 2022 to −78% in 2020. It's up 171% so far in 2026.

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