PAYX

Paychex, Inc.

70
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation63/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

PAYX's fundamentals are strong: it turned 31% of its revenue into free cash flow and revenue grew 14%. At 23x earnings, it's trading below its usual 29x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

PAYX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Healthy

PAYX's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

PAYX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$115—
Current23x$115—
Cheap24x$123+7.1%
Fair28x$144+25%
Expensive33x$168+46%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PAYX's PE is in its cheap range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings.

PAYX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for PAYX, with profitability improving.

PAYX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$138.23
Downside-11%$102.24

Calculated from the latest close: $115.18 on Nov 12.

PAYX's one-year upside scenario is about twice its downside: +20% against −11%.

PAYX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.50Q1 2024: $4.59Q2 2024: $4.67Q3 2024: $4.69Q4 2024: $4.75Q1 2025: $4.80Q2 2025: $4.58Q3 2025: $4.46Q4 2025: $4.42Q1 2026: $4.55Q2 2026: $4.89Q3 2026: $5.04Forward: $6.06
Q4 2023: $4.50Q1 2024: $4.59Q2 2024: $4.67Q3 2024: $4.69Q4 2024: $4.75Q1 2025: $4.80Q2 2025: $4.58Q3 2025: $4.46Q4 2025: $4.42Q1 2026: $4.55Q2 2026: $4.89Q3 2026: $5.04Forward: $6.06
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.06+20%
Q3 2026$5.04+13%
Q2 2026$4.89+6.8%
Q1 2026$4.55-5.2%
Q4 2025$4.42-6.9%
Q3 2025$4.46-4.9%
Q2 2025$4.58-1.9%
Q1 2025$4.80+4.6%
Q4 2024$4.75+5.6%

PAYX earned $5.04 per share over the past year, up 13% from the year before.

PAYX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1.5BQ4 2025: $1.6BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $1.6B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1.5BQ4 2025: $1.6BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $1.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.6B+5.9%
Q2 2026$1.6B+12%
Q1 2026$1.8B+20%
Q4 2025$1.6B+18%
Q3 2025$1.5B+17%
Q2 2025$1.4B+10%
Q1 2025$1.5B+4.8%
Q4 2024$1.3B+4.7%

PAYX's revenue has grown year over year for 22 quarters in a row: $1.6B last quarter, up 5.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

PAYX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $308MQ1 2024: $631MQ2 2024: $180MQ3 2024: $511MQ4 2024: $248MQ1 2025: $667MQ2 2025: $283MQ3 2025: $663MQ4 2025: $383MQ1 2026: $762MQ2 2026: $515MQ3 2026: $357M
Q4 2023: $308MQ1 2024: $631MQ2 2024: $180MQ3 2024: $511MQ4 2024: $248MQ1 2025: $667MQ2 2025: $283MQ3 2025: $663MQ4 2025: $383MQ1 2026: $762MQ2 2026: $515MQ3 2026: $357M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$357.4M-46%
Q2 2026$515M+82%
Q1 2026$761.5M+14%
Q4 2025$382.8M+54%
Q3 2025$662.5M+30%
Q2 2025$283.3M+57%
Q1 2025$667.3M+5.8%
Q4 2024$248M-19%

PAYX's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $2B over the past year, up 8.4% from the year before.

PAYX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 362MQ1 2024: 362MQ2 2024: 362MQ3 2024: 362MQ4 2024: 362MQ1 2025: 362MQ2 2025: 362MQ3 2025: 362MQ4 2025: 360MQ1 2026: 360MQ2 2026: 360MQ3 2026: 357M
Q4 2023: 362MQ1 2024: 362MQ2 2024: 362MQ3 2024: 362MQ4 2024: 362MQ1 2025: 362MQ2 2025: 362MQ3 2025: 362MQ4 2025: 360MQ1 2026: 360MQ2 2026: 360MQ3 2026: 357M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.9%-3.4M shares
1 year-1.5%-5.3M shares
3 years-1.7%-6.2M shares
5 years-1.7%-6.2M shares
Available history-1.1%-4M shares

PAYX has 357M diluted shares, down 1.5% from a year ago, with $451M in buybacks over the past year.

PAYX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.2xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.4xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.2xQ3 2026: 1.3x
Q4 2023: -0.2xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.4xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.2xQ3 2026: 1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.3xHealthy
Q2 20261.2xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.4xHealthy
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.4xHealthy
Q1 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash

PAYX's net debt is about 1.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.7 years a year ago.

PAYX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.9Neutral
Stochastic56.0Neutral

PAYX's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 56 (neutral).

PAYX PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricPAYXSector medianRelative
PE23x24x4.9% below
PE %115847 pts below

PAYX is trading at 23x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

PAYX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$109.84.9% above
20 week MA$114.20.8% above
50 week MA$105.49.3% above
100 week MA$122.96.2% below
200 week MA$122.25.7% below

PAYX has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 5.7% below its 200-week average.

PAYX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$85.1$94.7+11%
2021$94.7$134.2+42%
2022$134.2$116.0-14%
2023$116.0$119.1+2.7%
2024$119.1$141.3+19%
2025$141.3$114.2-19%
2026 YTD$114.2$115.2+0.9%

PAYX has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 0.9% so far in 2026.

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