PAX
Patria Investments Limited
PAX has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
SOFI
SoFi Technologies, Inc.
SOFI has the edge over PAX overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
PAX Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
PAX's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like PAX.
SOFI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
SOFI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SOFI.
PAX PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 6.9x | $9.18 | — |
| Cheap | 17x | $7.80 | -15% |
| Current | 20x | $9.18 | — |
| Fair | 23x | $10.23 | +11% |
| Expensive | 29x | $12.85 | +40% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
PAX's PE is in its fair range at 20x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 6.9x, in its cheap range.
SOFI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 19x | $15.63 | — |
| Current | 28x | $15.63 | — |
| Cheap | 33x | $18.24 | +17% |
| Fair | 43x | $23.82 | +52% |
| Expensive | 53x | $29.74 | +90% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SOFI has the edge over PAX in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
PAX Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect PAX's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.
SOFI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
SOFI has the edge over PAX on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.
PAX Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.33 | +196% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.45 | -18% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.47 | 0% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.54 | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.69 | +60% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.55 | +1.9% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.47 | -39% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.49 | -38% |
| Q3 2024 | $0.43 | -46% |
PAX's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.45 over the past year, against $0.95 in mid-2021.
SOFI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.82 | +47% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.56 | 0% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.49 | -2% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.45 | +4.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.39 | 0% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.56 | +367% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.50 | +$0.72 |
| Q1 2025 | $0.43 | +$0.72 |
| Q4 2024 | $0.39 | +$0.75 |
SOFI has the edge over PAX on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
PAX Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $111.3M | +35% |
| Q1 2026 | $98.2M | +23% |
| Q4 2025 | $134.4M | -15% |
| Q3 2025 | $86.5M | +11% |
| Q2 2025 | $82.5M | +10% |
| Q1 2025 | $79.6M | +25% |
| Q4 2024 | $157.2M | +41% |
| Q3 2024 | $78.1M | +23% |
PAX's revenue is recovering but still below its 2024 peak: $111M last quarter, up 35% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 19% | -18 points |
| Q1 2026 | 26% | -11 points |
| Q4 2025 | 37% | -14 points |
| Q3 2025 | 35% | -0.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 37% | -0.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 37% | -10 points |
| Q4 2024 | 51% | +1.2 points |
| Q3 2024 | 36% | -12 points |
PAX's operating margin was 19% last quarter, down 18 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
SOFI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.4B | +44% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.2B | +43% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +43% |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | +40% |
| Q3 2025 | $961.6M | +38% |
| Q2 2025 | $854.9M | +43% |
| Q1 2025 | $771.8M | +20% |
| Q4 2024 | $734.1M | +19% |
SOFI has the edge over PAX on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 23% | +7.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 17% | +3.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | +7.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 18% | +9.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 15% | +6.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 13% | +11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 10% | -4.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 8.2% | -0.2 points |
SOFI has the edge over PAX on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
PAX Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $35.5M | -51% |
| Q1 2026 | $28.4M | -71% |
| Q4 2025 | $32.3M | +40% |
| Q3 2025 | $52.1M | -22% |
| Q2 2025 | $72.9M | +879% |
| Q1 2025 | $97.8M | +144% |
| Q4 2024 | $23.1M | -29% |
| Q3 2024 | $67M | +75% |
PAX has the edge over SOFI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
SOFI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$3.1B | -$1.7B |
| Q2 2026 | -$4B | -$2.5B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.4B | -$2.4B |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -$815.2M |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.4B | -$149M |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.5B | -$1B |
| Q1 2025 | -$31.1M | -104% |
| Q4 2024 | -$242.4M | +$39.9M |
SOFI's free cash flow was −$10.5B over the past year, against −$3.2B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.
PAX Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +953K shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +1.5M shares |
| 3 years | +7.7% | +11.4M shares |
| 5 years | +19% | +25.6M shares |
| Available history | +36% | +42.6M shares |
PAX has the edge over SOFI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $12.7M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $56.2M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
PAX spent $69M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
SOFI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +5.8M shares |
| 1 year | +5.2% | +66.8M shares |
| 3 years | +43% | +407M shares |
| 5 years | +272% | +993M shares |
SOFI has 1.4B diluted shares, up 5.2% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
PAX Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 0.9x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 1.0x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q3 2024 | 1.1x | Healthy |
PAX's net debt is about 2.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from a year a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like PAX.
SOFI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -3.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -3.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -6.5x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -5.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -4.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -4.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -5.8x | Net Cash |
SOFI has the edge over PAX on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
PAX Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 8.1 | Oversold |
PAX's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).
SOFI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 41.5 | Neutral |
SOFI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).
PAX PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | PAX | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20x | 13x | 57% above |
| PE % | 40 | 62 | 22 pts below |
PAX has the edge over SOFI on valuation relative to its sector.
SOFI PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | SOFI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28x | 13x | 114% above |
| PE % | 2 | 61 | 59 pts below |
SOFI is trading at 28x earnings, a 114% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
PAX Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $10.4 | 12% below |
| 20 week MA | $10.8 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $12.4 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $12.6 | 27% below |
| 200 week MA | $13.2 | 31% below |
PAX is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 31% below its 200-week average.
SOFI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $15.7 | 0.7% below |
| 20 week MA | $17.0 | 7.8% below |
| 50 week MA | $18.9 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $18.9 | 17% below |
| 200 week MA | $13.5 | 16% above |
SOFI has the edge over PAX on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
PAX Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $19.9 | $16.5 | -17% |
| 2022 | $16.5 | $13.7 | -17% |
| 2023 | $13.7 | $15.5 | +13% |
| 2024 | $15.5 | $11.6 | -25% |
| 2025 | $11.6 | $16.2 | +39% |
| 2026 YTD | $16.2 | $9.18 | -43% |
PAX has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 43% so far in 2026.
SOFI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $10.4 | $12.4 | +19% |
| 2021 | $12.4 | $15.1 | +22% |
| 2022 | $15.1 | $4.61 | -69% |
| 2023 | $4.61 | $9.95 | +116% |
| 2024 | $9.95 | $16.0 | +61% |
| 2025 | $16.0 | $27.1 | +69% |
| 2026 YTD | $27.1 | $15.6 | -42% |
SOFI has the edge over PAX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.