PARR

Par Pacific Holdings, Inc.

73
Fundamentals87/ 100
Valuation61/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

PARR's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 29% and its operating margin rose 8 points to 13%. At 3.8x earnings, it's trading below its usual 4.5x. Analysts expect earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.

PARR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Healthy
Strong

PARR's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

PARR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x37x55x74x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x37x55x74x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap3x$57.32-20%
Forward3.5x$72.03—
Current3.8x$72.03—
Fair4.5x$86.03+19%
Expensive9.2x$175+143%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PARR's PE is in its fair range at 3.8x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 3.5x next year's earnings.

PARR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for PARR, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

PARR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$106.97
Downside-22%$55.86

Calculated from the latest close: $72.03 on Nov 12.

PARR's one-year upside scenario is about twice its downside: +49% against −22%.

PARR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.94Q1 2024: $7.98Q2 2024: $7.81Q3 2024: $5.15Q4 2024: $-0.59Q1 2025: $-1.10Q2 2025: $-0.25Q3 2025: $4.78Q4 2025: $7.16Q1 2026: $8.83Q2 2026: $17.01Q3 2026: $18.96Forward: $20.33
Q4 2023: $11.94Q1 2024: $7.98Q2 2024: $7.81Q3 2024: $5.15Q4 2024: $-0.59Q1 2025: $-1.10Q2 2025: $-0.25Q3 2025: $4.78Q4 2025: $7.16Q1 2026: $8.83Q2 2026: $17.01Q3 2026: $18.96Forward: $20.33
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.33+7.2%
Q3 2026$18.96+297%
Q2 2026$17.01+$17.26
Q1 2026$8.83+$9.93
Q4 2025$7.16+$7.75
Q3 2025$4.78-7.2%
Q2 2025-$0.25-103%
Q1 2025-$1.10-114%
Q4 2024-$0.59-105%

PARR's earnings per share have jumped to their highest in seven years: $18.96 over the past year, up from $4.78 the year before.

PARR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.2BQ1 2024: $2BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $1.8BQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $3BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $2.2BQ1 2024: $2BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $1.8BQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $3BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B+52%
Q2 2026$3B+57%
Q1 2026$1.8B+4.5%
Q4 2025$1.8B-1%
Q3 2025$2B-6.1%
Q2 2025$1.9B-6.1%
Q1 2025$1.7B-12%
Q4 2024$1.8B-16%

PARR's revenue is growing: $3.1B last quarter, up 52% from the same quarter a year ago.

PARR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$31MQ1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: −$42MQ3 2024: $50MQ4 2024: −$63MQ1 2025: −$42MQ2 2025: $85MQ3 2025: $187MQ4 2025: $66MQ1 2026: −$84MQ2 2026: $243MQ3 2026: $801M
Q4 2023: −$31MQ1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: −$42MQ3 2024: $50MQ4 2024: −$63MQ1 2025: −$42MQ2 2025: $85MQ3 2025: $187MQ4 2025: $66MQ1 2026: −$84MQ2 2026: $243MQ3 2026: $801M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$801.5M+328%
Q2 2026$242.9M+184%
Q1 2026-$83.8M-$41.4M
Q4 2025$66.3M+$129.4M
Q3 2025$187.1M+273%
Q2 2025$85.5M+$127M
Q1 2025-$42.3M-1618%
Q4 2024-$63.1M-$32.3M

PARR generated $1B in free cash flow over the past year, about six times what it generated the year before.

PARR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 61MQ1 2024: 59MQ2 2024: 58MQ3 2024: 56MQ4 2024: 57MQ1 2025: 54MQ2 2025: 51MQ3 2025: 51MQ4 2025: 52MQ1 2026: 50MQ2 2026: 49MQ3 2026: 50M
Q4 2023: 61MQ1 2024: 59MQ2 2024: 58MQ3 2024: 56MQ4 2024: 57MQ1 2025: 54MQ2 2025: 51MQ3 2025: 51MQ4 2025: 52MQ1 2026: 50MQ2 2026: 49MQ3 2026: 50M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+225K shares
1 year-2.4%-1.2M shares
3 years-19%-11.7M shares
5 years-17%-10.1M shares
Available history-1.6%-801K shares

PARR has 50M diluted shares, down 2.4% from a year ago, with $75M in buybacks over the past year.

PARR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.7xQ2 2024: 1.6xQ3 2024: 2.2xQ4 2024: 5.1xQ1 2025: 6.5xQ2 2025: 4.5xQ3 2025: 1.5xQ4 2025: 0.9xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: -0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.7xQ2 2024: 1.6xQ3 2024: 2.2xQ4 2024: 5.1xQ1 2025: 6.5xQ2 2025: 4.5xQ3 2025: 1.5xQ4 2025: 0.9xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: -0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 20260.4xVery low
Q1 20261.0xHealthy
Q4 20250.9xVery low
Q3 20251.5xHealthy
Q2 20254.5xHigh
Q1 20256.5xHigh
Q4 20245.1xHigh

PARR has more cash than debt.

PARR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.3Neutral
Stochastic27.6Neutral

PARR's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

PARR PE vs Energy Sector

MetricPARRSector medianRelative
PE3.8x13x71% below
PE %386123 pts below

PARR is trading at 3.8x earnings, a 71% discount to the Energy sector's median of 13x.

PARR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$77.57.1% below
20 week MA$77.06.4% below
50 week MA$61.018% above
100 week MA$43.267% above
200 week MA$35.7102% above

PARR has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 102% above its 200-week average.

PARR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$23.7$13.4-43%
2021$13.4$14.9+11%
2022$14.9$21.8+47%
2023$21.8$36.4+67%
2024$36.4$16.2-55%
2025$16.2$35.0+116%
2026 YTD$35.0$72.0+106%

PARR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +116% in 2025 to −55% in 2024. It's up 106% so far in 2026.

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