PANW

Palo Alto Networks, Inc.

50
Fundamentals53/ 100
Valuation18/ 100
Upside potential14/ 100
Risk potential63/ 100

PANW trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

WDC

Western Digital Corporation

80
Fundamentals84/ 100
Valuation55/ 100
Upside potential88/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

WDC has the edge over PANW overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.

PANW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Strong
Strong

PANW's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, and its profitability is stable.

WDC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

WDC's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

PANW PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE677x1355x2032x2710x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE677x1355x2032x2710x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap48x$19.37-94%
Forward74x$323—
Fair117x$46.90-85%
Expensive344x$138-57%
Current807x$323—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PANW's PE is in its expensive range at 807x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 74x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

WDC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE34x69x103x138x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE34x69x103x138x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.9x$255-18%
Forward11x$311—
Current12x$311—
Fair19x$487+56%
Expensive63x$1,618+420%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

WDC has the edge over PANW in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

PANW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Moderate
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for PANW, but weaker profitability.

WDC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

WDC has the edge over PANW on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

PANW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+10%$355.48
Downside-63%$118.65

Calculated from the latest close: $322.66 on Nov 12.

PANW trails WDC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

WDC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+129%$712.82
Downside-18%$254.36

Calculated from the latest close: $311.21 on Nov 12.

WDC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than PANW, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

PANW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.89Q1 2024: $3.21Q2 2024: $3.45Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $3.85Q1 2025: $1.79Q2 2025: $1.77Q3 2025: $1.60Q4 2025: $1.57Q1 2026: $1.80Q2 2026: $1.21Q3 2026: $0.40Forward: $4.34
Q4 2023: $0.89Q1 2024: $3.21Q2 2024: $3.45Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $3.85Q1 2025: $1.79Q2 2025: $1.77Q3 2025: $1.60Q4 2025: $1.57Q1 2026: $1.80Q2 2026: $1.21Q3 2026: $0.40Forward: $4.34
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.34+985%
Q3 2026$0.40-75%
Q2 2026$1.21-32%
Q1 2026$1.80+0.6%
Q4 2025$1.57-59%
Q3 2025$1.60-56%
Q2 2025$1.77-49%
Q1 2025$1.79-44%
Q4 2024$3.85+333%

PANW's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.40 over the past year, against $3.85 in late 2024.

WDC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-7.22Q1 2024: $-5.06Q2 2024: $-2.61Q3 2024: $0.91Q4 2024: $3.47Q1 2025: $4.55Q2 2025: $5.15Q4 2025: $6.87Q1 2026: $9.97Q2 2026: $16.75Q3 2026: $24.28Q4 2026: $25.84Forward: $28.81
Q4 2023: $-7.22Q1 2024: $-5.06Q2 2024: $-2.61Q3 2024: $0.91Q4 2024: $3.47Q1 2025: $4.55Q2 2025: $5.15Q4 2025: $6.87Q1 2026: $9.97Q2 2026: $16.75Q3 2026: $24.28Q4 2026: $25.84Forward: $28.81
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$28.81+12%
Q3 2026$25.84+276%
Q2 2026$24.28+371%
Q1 2026$16.75+268%
Q4 2025$9.97+187%
Q3 2025$6.87+655%
Q2 2025$5.15+$7.76
Q1 2025$4.55+$9.61
Q4 2024$3.47+$10.69

WDC has the edge over PANW on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PANW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $2BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $2.1BQ1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $2.5BQ4 2025: $2.5BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $3BQ3 2026: $3.4B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $2BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $2.1BQ1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $2.5BQ4 2025: $2.5BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $3BQ3 2026: $3.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.4B+34%
Q2 2026$3B+31%
Q1 2026$2.6B+15%
Q4 2025$2.5B+16%
Q3 2025$2.5B+16%
Q2 2025$2.3B+15%
Q1 2025$2.3B+14%
Q4 2024$2.1B+14%

PANW has the edge over WDC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

WDC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: $3.5BQ2 2024: $3.8BQ3 2024: $4.1BQ4 2024: $4.3BQ1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $3.3BQ3 2026: $3.7BQ4 2026: $4.4B
Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: $3.5BQ2 2024: $3.8BQ3 2024: $4.1BQ4 2024: $4.3BQ1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $3.3BQ3 2026: $3.7BQ4 2026: $4.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4.4B+55%
Q2 2026$3.7B+44%
Q1 2026$3.3B+45%
Q4 2025$3B-30%
Q3 2025$2.8B-31%
Q2 2025$2.6B-31%
Q1 2025$2.3B-34%
Q4 2024$4.3B+41%

WDC's revenue is growing: $4.4B last quarter, up 55% from the same quarter a year ago.

PANW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.5BQ1 2024: $655MQ2 2024: $492MQ3 2024: $465MQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $509MQ2 2025: $560MQ3 2025: $935MQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $384MQ2 2026: $788MQ3 2026: $1.3B
Q4 2023: $1.5BQ1 2024: $655MQ2 2024: $492MQ3 2024: $465MQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $509MQ2 2025: $560MQ3 2025: $935MQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $384MQ2 2026: $788MQ3 2026: $1.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.3B+34%
Q2 2026$788M+41%
Q1 2026$384M-25%
Q4 2025$1.7B+15%
Q3 2025$934.5M+101%
Q2 2025$560.4M+14%
Q1 2025$509.4M-22%
Q4 2024$1.5B-1.6%

PANW's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $4.1B over the past year, up 19% from the year before.

WDC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$242MQ1 2024: −$39MQ2 2024: $250MQ3 2024: −$62MQ4 2024: $287MQ1 2025: $379MQ2 2025: $675MQ4 2025: $599MQ1 2026: $653MQ2 2026: $978MQ3 2026: $1.3BQ4 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: −$242MQ1 2024: −$39MQ2 2024: $250MQ3 2024: −$62MQ4 2024: $287MQ1 2025: $379MQ2 2025: $675MQ4 2025: $599MQ1 2026: $653MQ2 2026: $978MQ3 2026: $1.3BQ4 2026: $1.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+130%
Q2 2026$1.3B+90%
Q1 2026$978M+158%
Q4 2025$653M+128%
Q3 2025$599M+$661M
Q2 2025$675M+170%
Q1 2025$379M+$418M
Q4 2024$287M+$529M

WDC has the edge over PANW on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PANW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 700MQ1 2024: 715MQ2 2024: 709MQ3 2024: 708MQ4 2024: 709MQ1 2025: 709MQ2 2025: 707MQ3 2025: 709MQ4 2025: 709MQ1 2026: 711MQ2 2026: 801MQ3 2026: 764M
Q4 2023: 700MQ1 2024: 715MQ2 2024: 709MQ3 2024: 708MQ4 2024: 709MQ1 2025: 709MQ2 2025: 707MQ3 2025: 709MQ4 2025: 709MQ1 2026: 711MQ2 2026: 801MQ3 2026: 764M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-4.6%-37M shares
1 year+7.7%+54.7M shares
3 years+12%+79.4M shares
5 years+32%+186M shares
Available history+32%+184M shares

PANW has 764M diluted shares, up 7.7% from a year ago.

WDC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 325MQ1 2024: 335MQ2 2024: 326MQ3 2024: 357MQ4 2024: 357MQ1 2025: 358MQ2 2025: 359MQ4 2025: 376MQ1 2026: 381MQ2 2026: 387MQ3 2026: 383MQ4 2026: 384M
Q4 2023: 325MQ1 2024: 335MQ2 2024: 326MQ3 2024: 357MQ4 2024: 357MQ1 2025: 358MQ2 2025: 359MQ4 2025: 376MQ1 2026: 381MQ2 2026: 387MQ3 2026: 383MQ4 2026: 384M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+1M shares
1 year+2.1%+8M shares
3 years+19%+61M shares
5 years+22%+68M shares
Available history+29%+86M shares

WDC has the edge over PANW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

PANW Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.9xQ1 2024: -2.0xQ2 2024: -1.4xQ3 2024: -1.6xQ4 2024: -2.2xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -1.8xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.3xQ2 2026: -1.5xQ3 2026: -1.6x
Q4 2023: -2.9xQ1 2024: -2.0xQ2 2024: -1.4xQ3 2024: -1.6xQ4 2024: -2.2xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -1.8xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.3xQ2 2026: -1.5xQ3 2026: -1.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.6xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.2xNet Cash

PANW has the edge over WDC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

WDC Net Leverage

Q2 2024: 22.1xQ3 2024: 3.6xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.8xQ1 2026: 0.8xQ2 2026: -0.1xQ3 2026: -0.1xQ4 2026: -0.1x
Q2 2024: 22.1xQ3 2024: 3.6xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.8xQ1 2026: 0.8xQ2 2026: -0.1xQ3 2026: -0.1xQ4 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 20250.8xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.8xVery low
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.9xHealthy

WDC has more cash than debt.

PANW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.6Neutral
Stochastic18.8Oversold

PANW's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

WDC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic11.2Oversold

WDC's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).

PANW PE vs Technology Sector

MetricPANWSector medianRelative
PE807x28x2,795% above
PE %893554 pts above

PANW is trading at 807x earnings, a 2795% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

WDC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricWDCSector medianRelative
PE12x28x57% below
PE %28357 pts below

WDC has the edge over PANW on valuation relative to its sector.

PANW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$365.212% below
20 week MA$355.89.3% below
50 week MA$260.924% above
100 week MA$225.643% above
200 week MA$182.377% above

PANW has the edge over WDC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

WDC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$360.814% below
20 week MA$438.429% below
50 week MA$380.418% below
100 week MA$226.837% above
200 week MA$133.7133% above

WDC has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 133% above its 200-week average.

PANW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$38.9$61.2+57%
2021$61.2$93.6+53%
2022$93.6$70.6-25%
2023$70.6$147.4+109%
2024$147.4$186.2+26%
2025$186.2$188.5+1.2%
2026 YTD$188.5$322.7+71%

PANW has finished higher in five of the last six years, three of them by more than 50%. It's up 71% so far in 2026.

WDC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$47.0$37.7-20%
2021$37.7$46.2+23%
2022$46.2$23.1-50%
2023$23.1$39.6+71%
2024$39.6$45.9+16%
2025$45.9$181.5+296%
2026 YTD$181.5$311.2+71%

WDC has the edge over PANW on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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