PANW

Palo Alto Networks, Inc.

50
Fundamentals53/ 100
Valuation18/ 100
Upside potential14/ 100
Risk potential63/ 100

PANW trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

STX

Seagate Technology Holdings plc

77
Fundamentals94/ 100
Valuation31/ 100
Upside potential93/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

STX has the edge over PANW overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.

PANW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Strong
Strong

PANW's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, and its profitability is stable.

STX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

STX's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

PANW PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE677x1355x2032x2710x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE677x1355x2032x2710x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap48x$19.37-94%
Forward74x$323—
Fair117x$46.90-85%
Expensive344x$138-57%
Current807x$323—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PANW's PE is in its expensive range at 807x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 74x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

STX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE26x53x79x106x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE26x53x79x106x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.9x$188-65%
Forward12x$545—
Fair17x$318-42%
Current29x$545—
Expensive43x$823+51%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

STX has the edge over PANW in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

PANW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Moderate
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for PANW, but weaker profitability.

STX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

STX has the edge over PANW on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

PANW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+10%$355.48
Downside-63%$118.65

Calculated from the latest close: $322.66 on Nov 12.

PANW trails STX on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

STX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+175%$1,497.22
Downside-14%$470.41

Calculated from the latest close: $545.14 on Nov 12.

STX has a better modeled risk to reward balance than PANW, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

PANW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.89Q1 2024: $3.21Q2 2024: $3.45Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $3.85Q1 2025: $1.79Q2 2025: $1.77Q3 2025: $1.60Q4 2025: $1.57Q1 2026: $1.80Q2 2026: $1.21Q3 2026: $0.40Forward: $4.34
Q4 2023: $0.89Q1 2024: $3.21Q2 2024: $3.45Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $3.85Q1 2025: $1.79Q2 2025: $1.77Q3 2025: $1.60Q4 2025: $1.57Q1 2026: $1.80Q2 2026: $1.21Q3 2026: $0.40Forward: $4.34
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.34+985%
Q3 2026$0.40-75%
Q2 2026$1.21-32%
Q1 2026$1.80+0.6%
Q4 2025$1.57-59%
Q3 2025$1.60-56%
Q2 2025$1.77-49%
Q1 2025$1.79-44%
Q4 2024$3.85+333%

PANW's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.40 over the past year, against $3.85 in late 2024.

STX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.51Q1 2024: $-1.30Q2 2024: $1.58Q3 2024: $3.87Q4 2024: $5.51Q1 2025: $6.96Q2 2025: $6.77Q4 2025: $7.79Q1 2026: $8.84Q2 2026: $10.54Q3 2026: $13.90Q4 2026: $19.06Forward: $46.99
Q4 2023: $-3.51Q1 2024: $-1.30Q2 2024: $1.58Q3 2024: $3.87Q4 2024: $5.51Q1 2025: $6.96Q2 2025: $6.77Q4 2025: $7.79Q1 2026: $8.84Q2 2026: $10.54Q3 2026: $13.90Q4 2026: $19.06Forward: $46.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.99+147%
Q3 2026$19.06+145%
Q2 2026$13.90+105%
Q1 2026$10.54+51%
Q4 2025$8.84+60%
Q3 2025$7.79+101%
Q2 2025$6.77+328%
Q1 2025$6.96+$8.26
Q4 2024$5.51+$9.02

STX has the edge over PANW on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PANW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $2BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $2.1BQ1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $2.5BQ4 2025: $2.5BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $3BQ3 2026: $3.4B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $2BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $2.1BQ1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $2.5BQ4 2025: $2.5BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $3BQ3 2026: $3.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.4B+34%
Q2 2026$3B+31%
Q1 2026$2.6B+15%
Q4 2025$2.5B+16%
Q3 2025$2.5B+16%
Q2 2025$2.3B+15%
Q1 2025$2.3B+14%
Q4 2024$2.1B+14%

PANW's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $3.4B last quarter, up 34% from the same quarter a year ago.

STX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $1.7BQ2 2024: $1.9BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2.2BQ2 2025: $2.4BQ4 2025: $2.6BQ1 2026: $2.8BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.6BQ4 2026: $4.2B
Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $1.7BQ2 2024: $1.9BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2.2BQ2 2025: $2.4BQ4 2025: $2.6BQ1 2026: $2.8BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.6BQ4 2026: $4.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4.2B+61%
Q2 2026$3.6B+48%
Q1 2026$3.1B+44%
Q4 2025$2.8B+22%
Q3 2025$2.6B+21%
Q2 2025$2.4B+30%
Q1 2025$2.2B+31%
Q4 2024$2.3B+50%

STX has the edge over PANW on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

PANW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.5BQ1 2024: $655MQ2 2024: $492MQ3 2024: $465MQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $509MQ2 2025: $560MQ3 2025: $935MQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $384MQ2 2026: $788MQ3 2026: $1.3B
Q4 2023: $1.5BQ1 2024: $655MQ2 2024: $492MQ3 2024: $465MQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $509MQ2 2025: $560MQ3 2025: $935MQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $384MQ2 2026: $788MQ3 2026: $1.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.3B+34%
Q2 2026$788M+41%
Q1 2026$384M-25%
Q4 2025$1.7B+15%
Q3 2025$934.5M+101%
Q2 2025$560.4M+14%
Q1 2025$509.4M-22%
Q4 2024$1.5B-1.6%

PANW's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $4.1B over the past year, up 19% from the year before.

STX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $99MQ1 2024: $128MQ2 2024: $380MQ3 2024: $27MQ4 2024: $150MQ1 2025: $216MQ2 2025: $425MQ4 2025: $427MQ1 2026: $607MQ2 2026: $953MQ3 2026: $1.1BQ4 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $99MQ1 2024: $128MQ2 2024: $380MQ3 2024: $27MQ4 2024: $150MQ1 2025: $216MQ2 2025: $425MQ4 2025: $427MQ1 2026: $607MQ2 2026: $953MQ3 2026: $1.1BQ4 2026: $1.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B+246%
Q2 2026$1.1B+163%
Q1 2026$953M+341%
Q4 2025$607M+305%
Q3 2025$427M+1481%
Q2 2025$425M+12%
Q1 2025$216M+69%
Q4 2024$150M+52%

STX has the edge over PANW on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PANW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 700MQ1 2024: 715MQ2 2024: 709MQ3 2024: 708MQ4 2024: 709MQ1 2025: 709MQ2 2025: 707MQ3 2025: 709MQ4 2025: 709MQ1 2026: 711MQ2 2026: 801MQ3 2026: 764M
Q4 2023: 700MQ1 2024: 715MQ2 2024: 709MQ3 2024: 708MQ4 2024: 709MQ1 2025: 709MQ2 2025: 707MQ3 2025: 709MQ4 2025: 709MQ1 2026: 711MQ2 2026: 801MQ3 2026: 764M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-4.6%-37M shares
1 year+7.7%+54.7M shares
3 years+12%+79.4M shares
5 years+32%+186M shares
Available history+32%+184M shares

PANW has 764M diluted shares, up 7.7% from a year ago.

STX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 209MQ1 2024: 213MQ2 2024: 212MQ3 2024: 216MQ4 2024: 217MQ1 2025: 216MQ2 2025: 217MQ4 2025: 226MQ1 2026: 228MQ2 2026: 229MQ3 2026: 229MQ4 2026: 232M
Q4 2023: 209MQ1 2024: 213MQ2 2024: 212MQ3 2024: 216MQ4 2024: 217MQ1 2025: 216MQ2 2025: 217MQ4 2025: 226MQ1 2026: 228MQ2 2026: 229MQ3 2026: 229MQ4 2026: 232M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.3%+3M shares
1 year+2.7%+6M shares
3 years+12%+24M shares
5 years+0.4%+1M shares
Available history-12%-33M shares

STX has the edge over PANW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

PANW Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.9xQ1 2024: -2.0xQ2 2024: -1.4xQ3 2024: -1.6xQ4 2024: -2.2xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -1.8xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.3xQ2 2026: -1.5xQ3 2026: -1.6x
Q4 2023: -2.9xQ1 2024: -2.0xQ2 2024: -1.4xQ3 2024: -1.6xQ4 2024: -2.2xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -1.8xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.3xQ2 2026: -1.5xQ3 2026: -1.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.6xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.2xNet Cash

PANW has the edge over STX on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

STX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 66.0xQ1 2024: 10.4xQ2 2024: 6.0xQ3 2024: 3.6xQ4 2024: 2.8xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 1.9xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 0.8xQ3 2026: 0.4xQ4 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 66.0xQ1 2024: 10.4xQ2 2024: 6.0xQ3 2024: 3.6xQ4 2024: 2.8xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 1.9xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 0.8xQ3 2026: 0.4xQ4 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.4xVery low
Q1 20260.8xVery low
Q4 20251.2xHealthy
Q3 20251.6xHealthy
Q2 20251.9xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.8xModerate

STX's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.6 years a year ago.

PANW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.6Neutral
Stochastic18.8Oversold

PANW's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

STX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.5Neutral
Stochastic8.3Oversold

STX's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

PANW PE vs Technology Sector

MetricPANWSector medianRelative
PE807x28x2,795% above
PE %893554 pts above

PANW is trading at 807x earnings, a 2795% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

STX PE vs Technology Sector

MetricSTXSector medianRelative
PE29x28x2.7% above
PE %753540 pts above

STX has the edge over PANW on valuation relative to its sector.

PANW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$365.212% below
20 week MA$355.89.3% below
50 week MA$260.924% above
100 week MA$225.643% above
200 week MA$182.377% above

PANW has the edge over STX on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

STX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$683.620% below
20 week MA$785.031% below
50 week MA$630.714% below
100 week MA$387.341% above
200 week MA$234.4133% above

STX has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 133% above its 200-week average.

PANW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$38.9$61.2+57%
2021$61.2$93.6+53%
2022$93.6$70.6-25%
2023$70.6$147.4+109%
2024$147.4$186.2+26%
2025$186.2$188.5+1.2%
2026 YTD$188.5$322.7+71%

PANW has finished higher in five of the last six years, three of them by more than 50%. It's up 71% so far in 2026.

STX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$59.6$63.0+5.7%
2021$63.0$111.4+77%
2022$111.4$50.5-55%
2023$50.5$85.4+69%
2024$85.4$87.4+2.4%
2025$87.4$286.2+228%
2026 YTD$286.2$545.1+90%

STX has the edge over PANW on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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