PANW

Palo Alto Networks, Inc.

50
Fundamentals53/ 100
Valuation18/ 100
Upside potential14/ 100
Risk potential63/ 100

PANW offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

PYPL

PayPal Holdings, Inc.

65
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation81/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

PYPL has the edge over PANW overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

PANW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Strong
Strong

PANW's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, and its profitability is stable.

PYPL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

PYPL's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like PYPL.

PANW PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE677x1355x2032x2710x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE677x1355x2032x2710x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap48x$19.37-94%
Forward74x$323—
Fair117x$46.90-85%
Expensive344x$138-57%
Current807x$323—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PANW's PE is in its expensive range at 807x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 74x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

PYPL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward9.9x$58.30—
Current11x$58.30—
Cheap15x$76.16+31%
Fair26x$136+133%
Expensive67x$351+503%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PYPL has the edge over PANW in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

PANW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Moderate
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for PANW, but weaker profitability.

PYPL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
High

Analysts expect PYPL's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

PANW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+10%$355.48
Downside-63%$118.65

Calculated from the latest close: $322.66 on Nov 12.

PANW trails PYPL on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

PYPL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$76.35
Downside-16%$49.18

Calculated from the latest close: $58.30 on Nov 12.

PYPL has a better modeled risk to reward balance than PANW, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

PANW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.89Q1 2024: $3.21Q2 2024: $3.45Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $3.85Q1 2025: $1.79Q2 2025: $1.77Q3 2025: $1.60Q4 2025: $1.57Q1 2026: $1.80Q2 2026: $1.21Q3 2026: $0.40Forward: $4.34
Q4 2023: $0.89Q1 2024: $3.21Q2 2024: $3.45Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $3.85Q1 2025: $1.79Q2 2025: $1.77Q3 2025: $1.60Q4 2025: $1.57Q1 2026: $1.80Q2 2026: $1.21Q3 2026: $0.40Forward: $4.34
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.34+985%
Q3 2026$0.40-75%
Q2 2026$1.21-32%
Q1 2026$1.80+0.6%
Q4 2025$1.57-59%
Q3 2025$1.60-56%
Q2 2025$1.77-49%
Q1 2025$1.79-44%
Q4 2024$3.85+333%

PANW's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.40 over the past year, against $3.85 in late 2024.

PYPL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.84Q1 2024: $3.97Q2 2024: $4.13Q3 2024: $4.19Q4 2024: $3.99Q1 2025: $4.45Q2 2025: $4.66Q3 2025: $4.97Q4 2025: $5.41Q1 2026: $5.33Q2 2026: $5.29Q3 2026: $5.24Forward: $5.87
Q4 2023: $3.84Q1 2024: $3.97Q2 2024: $4.13Q3 2024: $4.19Q4 2024: $3.99Q1 2025: $4.45Q2 2025: $4.66Q3 2025: $4.97Q4 2025: $5.41Q1 2026: $5.33Q2 2026: $5.29Q3 2026: $5.24Forward: $5.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.87+12%
Q3 2026$5.24+5.4%
Q2 2026$5.29+14%
Q1 2026$5.33+20%
Q4 2025$5.41+36%
Q3 2025$4.97+19%
Q2 2025$4.66+13%
Q1 2025$4.45+12%
Q4 2024$3.99+3.9%

PYPL has the edge over PANW on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PANW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $2BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $2.1BQ1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $2.5BQ4 2025: $2.5BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $3BQ3 2026: $3.4B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $2BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $2.1BQ1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $2.5BQ4 2025: $2.5BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $3BQ3 2026: $3.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.4B+34%
Q2 2026$3B+31%
Q1 2026$2.6B+15%
Q4 2025$2.5B+16%
Q3 2025$2.5B+16%
Q2 2025$2.3B+15%
Q1 2025$2.3B+14%
Q4 2024$2.1B+14%

PANW has the edge over PYPL on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

PYPL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $8BQ1 2024: $7.7BQ2 2024: $7.9BQ3 2024: $7.8BQ4 2024: $8.4BQ1 2025: $7.8BQ2 2025: $8.3BQ3 2025: $8.4BQ4 2025: $8.7BQ1 2026: $8.4BQ2 2026: $8.7BQ3 2026: $8.6B
Q4 2023: $8BQ1 2024: $7.7BQ2 2024: $7.9BQ3 2024: $7.8BQ4 2024: $8.4BQ1 2025: $7.8BQ2 2025: $8.3BQ3 2025: $8.4BQ4 2025: $8.7BQ1 2026: $8.4BQ2 2026: $8.7BQ3 2026: $8.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$8.6B+2%
Q2 2026$8.7B+4.8%
Q1 2026$8.4B+7.2%
Q4 2025$8.7B+3.7%
Q3 2025$8.4B+7.3%
Q2 2025$8.3B+5.1%
Q1 2025$7.8B+1.2%
Q4 2024$8.4B+4.2%

PYPL's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $8.6B last quarter, up 2% from the same quarter a year ago.

PANW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.5BQ1 2024: $655MQ2 2024: $492MQ3 2024: $465MQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $509MQ2 2025: $560MQ3 2025: $935MQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $384MQ2 2026: $788MQ3 2026: $1.3B
Q4 2023: $1.5BQ1 2024: $655MQ2 2024: $492MQ3 2024: $465MQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $509MQ2 2025: $560MQ3 2025: $935MQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $384MQ2 2026: $788MQ3 2026: $1.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.3B+34%
Q2 2026$788M+41%
Q1 2026$384M-25%
Q4 2025$1.7B+15%
Q3 2025$934.5M+101%
Q2 2025$560.4M+14%
Q1 2025$509.4M-22%
Q4 2024$1.5B-1.6%

PANW has the edge over PYPL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PYPL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.5BQ1 2024: $1.8BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $2.2BQ1 2025: $964MQ2 2025: $692MQ3 2025: $1.7BQ4 2025: $2.2BQ1 2026: $903MQ2 2026: $1.8BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $2.5BQ1 2024: $1.8BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $2.2BQ1 2025: $964MQ2 2025: $692MQ3 2025: $1.7BQ4 2025: $2.2BQ1 2026: $903MQ2 2026: $1.8BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B-17%
Q2 2026$1.8B+157%
Q1 2026$903M-6.3%
Q4 2025$2.2B0%
Q3 2025$1.7B+19%
Q2 2025$692M-49%
Q1 2025$964M-45%
Q4 2024$2.2B-11%

PYPL's free cash flow was $6.3B over the past year, up 13% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like PYPL.

PANW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 700MQ1 2024: 715MQ2 2024: 709MQ3 2024: 708MQ4 2024: 709MQ1 2025: 709MQ2 2025: 707MQ3 2025: 709MQ4 2025: 709MQ1 2026: 711MQ2 2026: 801MQ3 2026: 764M
Q4 2023: 700MQ1 2024: 715MQ2 2024: 709MQ3 2024: 708MQ4 2024: 709MQ1 2025: 709MQ2 2025: 707MQ3 2025: 709MQ4 2025: 709MQ1 2026: 711MQ2 2026: 801MQ3 2026: 764M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-4.6%-37M shares
1 year+7.7%+54.7M shares
3 years+12%+79.4M shares
5 years+32%+186M shares
Available history+32%+184M shares

PANW has 764M diluted shares, up 7.7% from a year ago.

PYPL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.1BQ1 2024: 1.1BQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 999MQ2 2025: 977MQ3 2025: 960MQ4 2025: 968MQ1 2026: 920MQ2 2026: 882MQ3 2026: 858M
Q4 2023: 1.1BQ1 2024: 1.1BQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 999MQ2 2025: 977MQ3 2025: 960MQ4 2025: 968MQ1 2026: 920MQ2 2026: 882MQ3 2026: 858M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.7%-24M shares
1 year-11%-102M shares
3 years-22%-240M shares
5 years-28%-329M shares
Available history-28%-329M shares

PYPL has the edge over PANW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

PANW Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.9xQ1 2024: -2.0xQ2 2024: -1.4xQ3 2024: -1.6xQ4 2024: -2.2xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -1.8xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.3xQ2 2026: -1.5xQ3 2026: -1.6x
Q4 2023: -2.9xQ1 2024: -2.0xQ2 2024: -1.4xQ3 2024: -1.6xQ4 2024: -2.2xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -1.8xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.3xQ2 2026: -1.5xQ3 2026: -1.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.6xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.2xNet Cash

PANW has the edge over PYPL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

PYPL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.6xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.4xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 0.9x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.6xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.4xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 0.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.9xVery low
Q2 20260.7xVery low
Q1 20260.4xVery low
Q4 20250.3xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20250.7xVery low
Q1 20250.6xVery low
Q4 20240.5xVery low

PYPL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like PYPL.

PANW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.6Neutral
Stochastic18.8Oversold

PANW's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

PYPL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.2Neutral
Stochastic61.9Neutral

PYPL's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 62 (neutral).

PANW PE vs Technology Sector

MetricPANWSector medianRelative
PE807x28x2,795% above
PE %893554 pts above

PANW is trading at 807x earnings, a 2795% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

PYPL PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricPYPLSector medianRelative
PE11x13x15% below
PE %106353 pts below

PYPL has the edge over PANW on valuation relative to its sector.

PANW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$365.212% below
20 week MA$355.89.3% below
50 week MA$260.924% above
100 week MA$225.643% above
200 week MA$182.377% above

PANW has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 77% above its 200-week average.

PYPL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$56.53.3% above
20 week MA$55.55% above
50 week MA$51.513% above
100 week MA$61.65.4% below
200 week MA$64.59.6% below

PYPL has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 9.6% below its 200-week average.

PANW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$38.9$61.2+57%
2021$61.2$93.6+53%
2022$93.6$70.6-25%
2023$70.6$147.4+109%
2024$147.4$186.2+26%
2025$186.2$188.5+1.2%
2026 YTD$188.5$322.7+71%

PANW has the edge over PYPL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

PYPL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$109.4$238.6+118%
2021$238.6$192.0-20%
2022$192.0$69.0-64%
2023$69.0$61.4-11%
2024$61.4$86.9+41%
2025$86.9$60.0-31%
2026 YTD$60.0$58.3-2.8%

PYPL's yearly returns have swung widely, from +118% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 2.8% so far in 2026.

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