PACK
Ranpak Holdings Corp.
PACK has a slight edge over TSLA overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
TSLA
Tesla, Inc.
TSLA has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
PACK Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Weak |
PACK's cash flow is currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable, but its balance sheet is weak.
TSLA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
PACK PE Valuation
PACK has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
TSLA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 60x | $54.70 | -86% |
| Fair | 174x | $158 | -60% |
| Forward | 196x | $397 | — |
| Expensive | 415x | $378 | -4.9% |
| Current | 437x | $397 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
PACK Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect PACK's losses to shrink, with revenue holding steady.
TSLA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TSLA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
PACK Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$0.40 | +$0.07 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.44 | +$0.01 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.44 | -$0.15 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.45 | -$0.19 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.47 | -$0.23 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.45 | -$0.27 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.29 | -$0.01 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.26 | +$0.07 |
PACK is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.40 per share over the past year, against $0.69 at its worst in late 2019.
TSLA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.03 | +123% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.91 | -39% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.08 | -38% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.09 | -40% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.08 | -47% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.50 | -59% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.73 | -51% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.82 | -53% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.04 | -53% |
TSLA has the edge over PACK on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
PACK Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $101.9M | +2.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $105.2M | +14% |
| Q1 2026 | $101.2M | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $111.9M | +6.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $99.6M | +8% |
| Q2 2025 | $92.3M | +6.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $91.2M | +6.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $105M | +16% |
PACK has the edge over TSLA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0% | +5.7 points |
| Q2 2026 | -2.3% | +8.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | -3.8% | +5 points |
| Q4 2025 | -0.8% | -2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -5.7% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | -11% | -4.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8.8% | -3.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 1.3% | +6.4 points |
PACK's operating margin was 0% last quarter, up 5.7 points from the same quarter a year ago.
TSLA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $28B | -0.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $28.2B | +26% |
| Q1 2026 | $22.4B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $24.9B | -3.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $28.1B | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $22.5B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $19.3B | -9.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $25.7B | +2.1% |
TSLA's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $28B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.6% | -3.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.4% | -2.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4.2% | +2.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5.7% | -0.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5.8% | -5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.1% | -2.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.1% | -3.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 6.2% | -2 points |
TSLA has the edge over PACK on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
PACK Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $13.3M | +87% |
| Q2 2026 | $0 | +$5.5M |
| Q1 2026 | $3.5M | +$5M |
| Q4 2025 | $19.7M | +246% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.1M | -32% |
| Q2 2025 | -$5.5M | -131% |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.5M | -152% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.7M | -38% |
PACK has the edge over TSLA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
TSLA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.5B | -62% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.1B | -848% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +117% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.4B | -30% |
| Q3 2025 | $4B | +46% |
| Q2 2025 | $146M | -89% |
| Q1 2025 | $664M | +$3.2B |
| Q4 2024 | $2B | -1.6% |
TSLA still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $3.3B over the past year.
PACK Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +133K shares |
| 1 year | +1.7% | +1.4M shares |
| 3 years | +4.2% | +3.4M shares |
| 5 years | +5.4% | +4.4M shares |
| Available history | +21% | +14.9M shares |
PACK has 86M diluted shares, up 1.7% from a year ago.
TSLA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +15M shares |
| 3 years | +1.4% | +48M shares |
| 5 years | +5.1% | +172M shares |
| Available history | +33% | +886M shares |
TSLA has the edge over PACK on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
PACK Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.0x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 9.2x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 11.1x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 13.1x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 13.0x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 12.8x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 10.7x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 8.6x | High |
PACK's net debt is about 8.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 13 years a year ago.
TSLA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
TSLA has the edge over PACK on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
PACK Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 37.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 15.1 | Oversold |
PACK's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).
TSLA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 72.6 | Neutral |
TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).
PACK PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
PACK has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | TSLA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 437x | 18x | 2,324% above |
| PE % | 84 | 47 | 37 pts above |
TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
PACK Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.70 | 6.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.75 | 27% below |
| 50 week MA | $5.13 | 33% below |
| 100 week MA | $5.06 | 32% below |
| 200 week MA | $5.38 | 36% below |
PACK is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 36% below its 200-week average.
TSLA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $376.0 | 5.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $364.0 | 9.2% above |
| 50 week MA | $393.6 | 1% above |
| 100 week MA | $372.1 | 6.8% above |
| 200 week MA | $296.9 | 34% above |
TSLA has the edge over PACK on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
PACK Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $8.19 | $12.2 | +49% |
| 2021 | $12.2 | $35.5 | +191% |
| 2022 | $35.5 | $5.36 | -85% |
| 2023 | $5.36 | $5.82 | +8.6% |
| 2024 | $5.82 | $6.95 | +19% |
| 2025 | $6.95 | $5.77 | -17% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.77 | $3.46 | -40% |
PACK's yearly returns have swung widely, from +191% in 2021 to −85% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.
TSLA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $28.7 | $220.6 | +669% |
| 2021 | $220.6 | $355.7 | +61% |
| 2022 | $355.7 | $123.2 | -65% |
| 2023 | $123.2 | $248.5 | +102% |
| 2024 | $248.5 | $431.7 | +74% |
| 2025 | $431.7 | $475.2 | +10% |
| 2026 YTD | $475.2 | $397.5 | -16% |
TSLA has the edge over PACK on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.