PAAS

Pan American Silver Corp.

74
Fundamentals93/ 100
Valuation82/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

PAAS's fundamentals are strong and it looks cheap: trading at 11x earnings, about a third of its usual 32x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.

PAAS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

PAAS's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

PAAS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE65x130x194x259x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE65x130x194x259x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward8.7x$37.72—
Current11x$37.72—
Cheap18x$60.68+61%
Fair31x$103+172%
Expensive101x$336+790%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PAAS's PE is in its cheap range at 11x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 8.7x next year's earnings.

PAAS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for PAAS, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

PAAS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+61%$60.70
Downside-23%$29.04

Calculated from the latest close: $37.72 on Nov 12.

PAAS's one-year upside scenario is more than twice its downside: +61% against −23%.

PAAS Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-0.88Q4 2023: $-0.21Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.14Q4 2024: $0.31Q1 2025: $0.86Q2 2025: $1.44Q3 2025: $1.72Q4 2025: $2.51Q1 2026: $3.13Q2 2026: $3.31Forward: $4.33
Q3 2023: $-0.88Q4 2023: $-0.21Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.14Q4 2024: $0.31Q1 2025: $0.86Q2 2025: $1.44Q3 2025: $1.72Q4 2025: $2.51Q1 2026: $3.13Q2 2026: $3.31Forward: $4.33
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.33+31%
Q2 2026$3.31+130%
Q1 2026$3.13+264%
Q4 2025$2.51+710%
Q3 2025$1.72+$1.86
Q2 2025$1.44+$1.79
Q1 2025$0.86+$1.23
Q4 2024$0.31+$0.52
Q3 2024-$0.14+$0.74

PAAS's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $3.31 over the past year, up 130% from the year before, and higher year over year for 11 quarters in a row.

PAAS Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $616MQ4 2023: $670MQ1 2024: $601MQ2 2024: $686MQ3 2024: $716MQ4 2024: $815MQ1 2025: $773MQ2 2025: $812MQ3 2025: $855MQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.2BQ2 2026: $1.1B
Q3 2023: $616MQ4 2023: $670MQ1 2024: $601MQ2 2024: $686MQ3 2024: $716MQ4 2024: $815MQ1 2025: $773MQ2 2025: $812MQ3 2025: $855MQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.2BQ2 2026: $1.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$1.1B+35%
Q1 2026$1.2B+49%
Q4 2025$1.2B+47%
Q3 2025$854.6M+19%
Q2 2025$811.9M+18%
Q1 2025$773.2M+29%
Q4 2024$815.1M+22%
Q3 2024$716.1M+16%

PAAS's revenue has grown year over year for 13 quarters in a row: $1.1B last quarter, up 35% from the same quarter a year ago.

PAAS Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $6MQ4 2023: $49MQ1 2024: −$26MQ2 2024: $87MQ3 2024: $151MQ4 2024: $189MQ1 2025: $107MQ2 2025: $233MQ3 2025: $218MQ4 2025: $514MQ1 2026: $400MQ2 2026: $403M
Q3 2023: $6MQ4 2023: $49MQ1 2024: −$26MQ2 2024: $87MQ3 2024: $151MQ4 2024: $189MQ1 2025: $107MQ2 2025: $233MQ3 2025: $218MQ4 2025: $514MQ1 2026: $400MQ2 2026: $403M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$403.4M+73%
Q1 2026$400M+275%
Q4 2025$514.1M+172%
Q3 2025$217.6M+44%
Q2 2025$233.1M+169%
Q1 2025$106.7M+$132.5M
Q4 2024$188.7M+289%
Q3 2024$151.1M+2461%

PAAS generated $1.5B in free cash flow over the past year, up 126% from the year before.

PAAS Total Shares

Q3 2023: 364MQ4 2023: 345MQ1 2024: 364MQ2 2024: 363MQ3 2024: 363MQ4 2024: 363MQ1 2025: 363MQ2 2025: 362MQ3 2025: 379MQ4 2025: 422MQ1 2026: 422MQ2 2026: 420M
Q3 2023: 364MQ4 2023: 345MQ1 2024: 364MQ2 2024: 363MQ3 2024: 363MQ4 2024: 363MQ1 2025: 363MQ2 2025: 362MQ3 2025: 379MQ4 2025: 422MQ1 2026: 422MQ2 2026: 420M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-1.6M shares
1 year+16%+58.2M shares
3 years+15%+55.9M shares
5 years+100%+210M shares
Available history+100%+211M shares

PAAS has 420M diluted shares, up 16% from a year ago, despite $258M in buybacks over the past year.

PAAS Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 1.6xQ4 2023: 0.8xQ1 2024: 1.0xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.5xQ4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.2xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.2xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.3x
Q3 2023: 1.6xQ4 2023: 0.8xQ1 2024: 1.0xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.5xQ4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.2xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.2xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 20240.5xVery low

PAAS has more cash than debt.

PAAS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic8.7Oversold

PAAS's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 9 (oversold).

PAAS PE vs Basic Materials Sector

MetricPAASSector medianRelative
PE11x19x39% below
PE %04040 pts below

PAAS is trading at 11x earnings, a 39% discount to the Basic Materials sector's median of 19x.

PAAS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$42.612% below
20 week MA$45.818% below
50 week MA$51.126% below
100 week MA$40.05.8% below
200 week MA$28.831% above

PAAS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 31% above its 200-week average.

PAAS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$23.1$33.0+43%
2021$33.0$25.0-24%
2022$25.0$16.8-33%
2023$16.8$16.3-2.9%
2024$16.3$20.6+26%
2025$20.6$55.4+169%
2026 YTD$55.4$37.7-32%

PAAS has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 32% so far in 2026.

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