OVV

Ovintiv Inc.

63
Fundamentals87/ 100
Valuation23/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

OVV's fundamentals are strong, but it looks expensive: trading at 13x earnings, about twice its usual 6.2x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.

OVV Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Healthy

OVV's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

OVV PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x29x43x57x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x29x43x57x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap3.5x$16.92-74%
Fair6.1x$29.98-54%
Forward7.6x$64.89—
Current13x$64.89—
Expensive18x$86.24+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

OVV's PE is in its expensive range at 13x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 7.6x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

OVV Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for OVV, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

OVV Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+37%$88.62
Downside-16%$54.79

Calculated from the latest close: $64.89 on Nov 12.

OVV's one-year upside scenario is more than twice its downside: +37% against −16%.

OVV Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $7.90Q1 2024: $7.17Q2 2024: $7.10Q3 2024: $7.55Q4 2024: $4.21Q1 2025: $2.36Q2 2025: $2.27Q3 2025: $0.92Q4 2025: $4.78Q1 2026: $3.04Q2 2026: $3.48Q3 2026: $4.90Forward: $8.53
Q4 2023: $7.90Q1 2024: $7.17Q2 2024: $7.10Q3 2024: $7.55Q4 2024: $4.21Q1 2025: $2.36Q2 2025: $2.27Q3 2025: $0.92Q4 2025: $4.78Q1 2026: $3.04Q2 2026: $3.48Q3 2026: $4.90Forward: $8.53
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$8.53+74%
Q3 2026$4.90+433%
Q2 2026$3.48+53%
Q1 2026$3.04+29%
Q4 2025$4.78+14%
Q3 2025$0.92-88%
Q2 2025$2.27-68%
Q1 2025$2.36-67%
Q4 2024$4.21-47%

OVV's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.90 over the past year, against $16.99 in early 2023.

OVV Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3.2BQ1 2024: $2.4BQ2 2024: $2.3BQ3 2024: $2.3BQ4 2024: $2.2BQ1 2025: $2.4BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: $2.5BQ2 2026: $3BQ3 2026: $2.6B
Q4 2023: $3.2BQ1 2024: $2.4BQ2 2024: $2.3BQ3 2024: $2.3BQ4 2024: $2.2BQ1 2025: $2.4BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: $2.5BQ2 2026: $3BQ3 2026: $2.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.6B+26%
Q2 2026$3B+30%
Q1 2026$2.5B+6.5%
Q4 2025$2.1B-1.9%
Q3 2025$2.1B-11%
Q2 2025$2.3B+1.3%
Q1 2025$2.4B+1.1%
Q4 2024$2.2B-31%

OVV's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $2.6B last quarter, up 26% from the same quarter a year ago.

OVV Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $702MQ1 2024: $68MQ2 2024: $398MQ3 2024: $484MQ4 2024: $468MQ1 2025: $256MQ2 2025: $492MQ3 2025: $268MQ4 2025: $489MQ1 2026: $451MQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $507M
Q4 2023: $702MQ1 2024: $68MQ2 2024: $398MQ3 2024: $484MQ4 2024: $468MQ1 2025: $256MQ2 2025: $492MQ3 2025: $268MQ4 2025: $489MQ1 2026: $451MQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $507M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$507M+89%
Q2 2026$1.1B+115%
Q1 2026$451M+76%
Q4 2025$489M+4.5%
Q3 2025$268M-45%
Q2 2025$492M+24%
Q1 2025$256M+276%
Q4 2024$468M-33%

OVV generated $2.5B in free cash flow over the past year, up 69% from the year before.

OVV Total Shares

Q4 2023: 264MQ1 2024: 272MQ2 2024: 268MQ3 2024: 264MQ4 2024: 267MQ1 2025: 260MQ2 2025: 260MQ3 2025: 258MQ4 2025: 260MQ1 2026: 268MQ2 2026: 282MQ3 2026: 275M
Q4 2023: 264MQ1 2024: 272MQ2 2024: 268MQ3 2024: 264MQ4 2024: 267MQ1 2025: 260MQ2 2025: 260MQ3 2025: 258MQ4 2025: 260MQ1 2026: 268MQ2 2026: 282MQ3 2026: 275M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.3%-6.5M shares
1 year+6.7%+17.3M shares
3 years-0.3%-900K shares
5 years+5.5%+14.3M shares
Available history+5.4%+14.2M shares

OVV has 275M diluted shares, up 6.7% from a year ago, despite $815M in buybacks over the past year.

OVV Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.2xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.2xQ3 2024: 1.2xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.7xQ2 2025: 1.7xQ3 2025: 1.8xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 2.4xQ2 2026: 1.0xQ3 2026: 0.9x
Q4 2023: 1.2xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.2xQ3 2024: 1.2xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.7xQ2 2025: 1.7xQ3 2025: 1.8xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 2.4xQ2 2026: 1.0xQ3 2026: 0.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.9xVery low
Q2 20261.0xVery low
Q1 20262.4xModerate
Q4 20251.6xHealthy
Q3 20251.8xHealthy
Q2 20251.7xHealthy
Q1 20251.7xHealthy
Q4 20241.4xHealthy

OVV's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.8 years a year ago.

OVV Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.2Neutral
Stochastic52.9Neutral

OVV's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 53 (neutral).

OVV PE vs Energy Sector

MetricOVVSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.9% above
PE %726111 pts above

OVV is trading at 13x earnings, in line with the Energy sector's median of 13x.

OVV Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$65.50.9% below
20 week MA$63.03% above
50 week MA$55.617% above
100 week MA$47.636% above
200 week MA$45.942% above

OVV's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 42% above its 200-week average.

OVV Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$23.1$14.6-37%
2021$14.6$32.5+123%
2022$32.5$52.0+60%
2023$52.0$43.9-15%
2024$43.9$38.7-12%
2025$38.7$38.0-1.8%
2026 YTD$38.0$64.9+71%

OVV has finished three years in a row lower, and it's up 71% so far in 2026.

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