OUST

Ouster, Inc.

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

OUST offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

V

Visa Inc.

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

V has a slight edge over OUST overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

OUST Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

OUST's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

V Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

V's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like V.

OUST PE Valuation

OUST has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

V PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x27x40x54x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x27x40x54x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward28x$420—
Cheap30x$371-12%
Fair33x$402-4.4%
Current34x$420—
Expensive38x$474+13%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

V's PE is in its fair range at 34x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 28x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

OUST Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect OUST's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

V Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for V, with profitability improving.

OUST Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$68.75
Downside-46%$19.69

Calculated from the latest close: $36.60 on Nov 12.

OUST has a better modeled risk to reward balance than V, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

V Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+15%$482.78
Downside-10%$377.72

Calculated from the latest close: $420.31 on Nov 12.

V trails OUST on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

OUST Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-11.10Q1 2024: $-5.62Q2 2024: $-2.96Q3 2024: $-2.61Q4 2024: $-2.08Q1 2025: $-1.95Q2 2025: $-1.80Q3 2025: $-1.63Q4 2025: $-1.07Q1 2026: $-0.93Q2 2026: $-0.82Q3 2026: $-0.65
Q4 2023: $-11.10Q1 2024: $-5.62Q2 2024: $-2.96Q3 2024: $-2.61Q4 2024: $-2.08Q1 2025: $-1.95Q2 2025: $-1.80Q3 2025: $-1.63Q4 2025: $-1.07Q1 2026: $-0.93Q2 2026: $-0.82Q3 2026: $-0.65
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.65+$0.98
Q2 2026-$0.82+$0.98
Q1 2026-$0.93+$1.02
Q4 2025-$1.07+$1.01
Q3 2025-$1.63+$0.98
Q2 2025-$1.80+$1.16
Q1 2025-$1.95+$3.67
Q4 2024-$2.08+$9.02

OUST is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.65 per share over the past year, against $40.12 at its worst in late 2020.

V Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $8.69Q1 2024: $8.95Q2 2024: $9.35Q3 2024: $9.73Q4 2024: $9.92Q1 2025: $9.95Q2 2025: $10.24Q3 2025: $10.21Q4 2025: $10.66Q1 2026: $11.48Q2 2026: $11.76Q3 2026: $12.32Forward: $15.01
Q4 2023: $8.69Q1 2024: $8.95Q2 2024: $9.35Q3 2024: $9.73Q4 2024: $9.92Q1 2025: $9.95Q2 2025: $10.24Q3 2025: $10.21Q4 2025: $10.66Q1 2026: $11.48Q2 2026: $11.76Q3 2026: $12.32Forward: $15.01
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$15.01+22%
Q3 2026$12.32+21%
Q2 2026$11.76+15%
Q1 2026$11.48+15%
Q4 2025$10.66+7.5%
Q3 2025$10.21+4.9%
Q2 2025$10.24+9.5%
Q1 2025$9.95+11%
Q4 2024$9.92+14%

V has the edge over OUST on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

OUST Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $24MQ1 2024: $26MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $28MQ4 2024: $30MQ1 2025: $33MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $40MQ4 2025: $62MQ1 2026: $49MQ2 2026: $55MQ3 2026: $59M
Q4 2023: $24MQ1 2024: $26MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $28MQ4 2024: $30MQ1 2025: $33MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $40MQ4 2025: $62MQ1 2026: $49MQ2 2026: $55MQ3 2026: $59M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$59.3M+50%
Q2 2026$54.6M+56%
Q1 2026$48.6M+49%
Q4 2025$62.2M+107%
Q3 2025$39.5M+41%
Q2 2025$35M+30%
Q1 2025$32.6M+26%
Q4 2024$30.1M+23%

OUST has the edge over V on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

V Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $8.6BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $8.9BQ3 2024: $9.6BQ4 2024: $9.5BQ1 2025: $9.6BQ2 2025: $10.2BQ3 2025: $10.7BQ4 2025: $10.9BQ1 2026: $11.2BQ2 2026: $11.6BQ3 2026: $12.1B
Q4 2023: $8.6BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $8.9BQ3 2024: $9.6BQ4 2024: $9.5BQ1 2025: $9.6BQ2 2025: $10.2BQ3 2025: $10.7BQ4 2025: $10.9BQ1 2026: $11.2BQ2 2026: $11.6BQ3 2026: $12.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$12.1B+13%
Q2 2026$11.6B+14%
Q1 2026$11.2B+17%
Q4 2025$10.9B+15%
Q3 2025$10.7B+12%
Q2 2025$10.2B+14%
Q1 2025$9.6B+9.3%
Q4 2024$9.5B+10%

V's revenue has grown year over year for 22 quarters in a row: $12.1B last quarter, up 13% from the same quarter a year ago.

OUST Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$25MQ1 2024: −$7MQ2 2024: −$22MQ3 2024: −$4MQ4 2024: −$4MQ1 2025: −$5MQ2 2025: −$2MQ3 2025: −$20MQ4 2025: −$37MQ1 2026: −$10MQ2 2026: −$15MQ3 2026: −$35M
Q4 2023: −$25MQ1 2024: −$7MQ2 2024: −$22MQ3 2024: −$4MQ4 2024: −$4MQ1 2025: −$5MQ2 2025: −$2MQ3 2025: −$20MQ4 2025: −$37MQ1 2026: −$10MQ2 2026: −$15MQ3 2026: −$35M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$35M-$15M
Q2 2026-$15.4M-$13.2M
Q1 2026-$9.8M-$4.4M
Q4 2025-$37.2M-$33.2M
Q3 2025-$20M-$15.7M
Q2 2025-$2.2M+$19.8M
Q1 2025-$5.4M+$1.7M
Q4 2024-$4M+$20.6M

OUST has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$97M over the past year, against −$32M the year before.

V Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: $4.3BQ2 2024: $4.7BQ3 2024: $6.4BQ4 2024: $5.1BQ1 2025: $4.4BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.8BQ4 2025: $6.4BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $6.1BQ3 2026: $6.9B
Q4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: $4.3BQ2 2024: $4.7BQ3 2024: $6.4BQ4 2024: $5.1BQ1 2025: $4.4BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.8BQ4 2025: $6.4BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $6.1BQ3 2026: $6.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$6.9B+18%
Q2 2026$6.1B-2.7%
Q1 2026$2.6B-40%
Q4 2025$6.4B+27%
Q3 2025$5.8B-8%
Q2 2025$6.3B+33%
Q1 2025$4.4B+2.6%
Q4 2024$5.1B+51%

V has the edge over OUST on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

OUST Total Shares

Q4 2023: 37MQ1 2024: 43MQ2 2024: 45MQ3 2024: 48MQ4 2024: 47MQ1 2025: 52MQ2 2025: 54MQ3 2025: 58MQ4 2025: 56MQ1 2026: 62MQ2 2026: 66MQ3 2026: 71M
Q4 2023: 37MQ1 2024: 43MQ2 2024: 45MQ3 2024: 48MQ4 2024: 47MQ1 2025: 52MQ2 2025: 54MQ3 2025: 58MQ4 2025: 56MQ1 2026: 62MQ2 2026: 66MQ3 2026: 71M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+8.3%+5.5M shares
1 year+23%+13.5M shares
3 years+82%+32.2M shares
5 years+1183%+65.9M shares
Available history+6407%+70.4M shares

OUST has 71M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.

V Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2BQ4 2024: 2BQ1 2025: 2BQ2 2025: 2BQ3 2025: 1.9BQ4 2025: 1.9BQ1 2026: 1.9BQ2 2026: 1.9BQ3 2026: 1.8B
Q4 2023: 2BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2BQ4 2024: 2BQ1 2025: 2BQ2 2025: 2BQ3 2025: 1.9BQ4 2025: 1.9BQ1 2026: 1.9BQ2 2026: 1.9BQ3 2026: 1.8B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-7%-136M shares
1 year-7.6%-148M shares
3 years-13%-268M shares
5 years-17%-378M shares
Available history-20%-443M shares

V has the edge over OUST on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

OUST Net Leverage

OUST's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

V Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.3xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.3xQ1 2025: 0.4xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.4xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.3x
Q4 2023: 0.3xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.3xQ1 2025: 0.4xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.4xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.3xVery low
Q2 20260.4xVery low
Q1 20260.4xVery low
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20250.3xVery low
Q1 20250.4xVery low
Q4 20240.3xVery low

V's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like V.

OUST Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.2Neutral
Stochastic26.0Neutral

OUST's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

V Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI73.7Overbought
Stochastic82.0Overbought

V's weekly RSI is 74 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 82 (overbought).

OUST PE vs Technology Sector

OUST has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

V PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricVSector medianRelative
PE34x13x162% above
PE %62631 pt below

V is trading at 34x earnings, a 162% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

OUST Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$35.91.9% above
20 week MA$38.14% below
50 week MA$31.317% above
100 week MA$24.947% above
200 week MA$16.3125% above

OUST's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 125% above its 200-week average.

V Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$397.65.7% above
20 week MA$378.311% above
50 week MA$346.021% above
100 week MA$343.722% above
200 week MA$300.640% above

V has the edge over OUST on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

OUST Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$97.0$162.5+68%
2021$162.5$53.8-67%
2022$53.8$8.88-83%
2023$8.88$7.67-14%
2024$7.67$12.5+63%
2025$12.5$22.0+76%
2026 YTD$22.0$36.6+67%

OUST has the edge over V on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

V Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$189.4$208.7+10%
2021$208.7$216.6+3.8%
2022$216.6$205.8-5%
2023$205.8$260.4+26%
2024$260.4$318.7+22%
2025$318.7$355.0+11%
2026 YTD$355.0$420.3+18%

V has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 18% so far in 2026.

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