OUST
Ouster, Inc.
OUST offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
TSM
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited
TSM has the edge over OUST overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.
OUST Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
OUST's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
TSM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Unavailable | |
| Unavailable | |
| Unavailable | |
| Strong |
TSM's balance sheet is currently strong. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue, profitability and cash flow.
OUST PE Valuation
OUST has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
TSM PE Valuation
TSM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
OUST Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect OUST's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
TSM Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for TSM, with profitability improving.
OUST Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$0.65 | +$0.98 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.82 | +$0.98 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.93 | +$1.02 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.07 | +$1.01 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.63 | +$0.98 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.80 | +$1.16 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.95 | +$3.67 |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.08 | +$9.02 |
OUST is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.65 per share over the past year, against $40.12 at its worst in late 2020.
TSM Earnings Per Share
TSM and OUST do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.
OUST Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $59.3M | +50% |
| Q2 2026 | $54.6M | +56% |
| Q1 2026 | $48.6M | +49% |
| Q4 2025 | $62.2M | +107% |
| Q3 2025 | $39.5M | +41% |
| Q2 2025 | $35M | +30% |
| Q1 2025 | $32.6M | +26% |
| Q4 2024 | $30.1M | +23% |
OUST's revenue has grown year over year for 15 quarters in a row: $59M last quarter, up 50% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -32% | +29 points |
| Q2 2026 | -37% | +40 points |
| Q1 2026 | -40% | +34 points |
| Q4 2025 | 1.4% | +87 points |
| Q3 2025 | -61% | +37 points |
| Q2 2025 | -77% | +17 points |
| Q1 2025 | -73% | +27 points |
| Q4 2024 | -85% | +68 points |
OUST's operating margin was −32% last quarter, up 29 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
TSM Quarterly Revenue
TSM and OUST do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 59% | +8 points |
| Q2 2026 | 60% | +11 points |
| Q1 2026 | 58% | +9.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 54% | +5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 51% | +3.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 50% | +7.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 49% | +6.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 49% | +7.4 points |
TSM has the edge over OUST on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
OUST Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$35M | -$15M |
| Q2 2026 | -$15.4M | -$13.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$9.8M | -$4.4M |
| Q4 2025 | -$37.2M | -$33.2M |
| Q3 2025 | -$20M | -$15.7M |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.2M | +$19.8M |
| Q1 2025 | -$5.4M | +$1.7M |
| Q4 2024 | -$4M | +$20.6M |
OUST has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$97M over the past year, against −$32M the year before.
TSM Free Cash Flow
TSM and OUST do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.
OUST Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +8.3% | +5.5M shares |
| 1 year | +23% | +13.5M shares |
| 3 years | +82% | +32.2M shares |
| 5 years | +1183% | +65.9M shares |
| Available history | +6407% | +70.4M shares |
OUST has 71M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
| Q1 2023 | — |
| Q4 2022 | $1,000 |
| Q3 2022 | $3,000 |
| Q2 2022 | $12,000 |
| Q1 2022 | $31,000 |
TSM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +45.8K shares |
| 1 year | 0% | +391K shares |
| 3 years | 0% | +528K shares |
| 5 years | 0% | +324K shares |
| Available history | 0% | +324K shares |
TSM has the edge over OUST on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
OUST Net Leverage
OUST's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
TSM Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
TSM has more cash than debt.
OUST Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 51.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 26.0 | Neutral |
OUST's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
TSM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 48.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 28.9 | Neutral |
TSM's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 29 (neutral).
OUST PE vs Technology Sector
OUST has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
TSM PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | TSM | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 3.3% below |
| PE % | 45 | 35 | 10 pts above |
TSM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
OUST Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $35.9 | 1.9% above |
| 20 week MA | $38.1 | 4% below |
| 50 week MA | $31.3 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $24.9 | 47% above |
| 200 week MA | $16.3 | 125% above |
OUST has the edge over TSM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
TSM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $424.4 | 4.4% below |
| 20 week MA | $422.4 | 4% below |
| 50 week MA | $386.5 | 4.9% above |
| 100 week MA | $304.5 | 33% above |
| 200 week MA | $215.6 | 88% above |
TSM has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 88% above its 200-week average.
OUST Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $97.0 | $162.5 | +68% |
| 2021 | $162.5 | $53.8 | -67% |
| 2022 | $53.8 | $8.88 | -83% |
| 2023 | $8.88 | $7.67 | -14% |
| 2024 | $7.67 | $12.5 | +63% |
| 2025 | $12.5 | $22.0 | +76% |
| 2026 YTD | $22.0 | $36.6 | +67% |
OUST has the edge over TSM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
TSM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $58.5 | $106.0 | +81% |
| 2021 | $106.0 | $120.7 | +14% |
| 2022 | $120.7 | $74.9 | -38% |
| 2023 | $74.9 | $104.0 | +39% |
| 2024 | $104.0 | $201.6 | +94% |
| 2025 | $201.6 | $302.8 | +50% |
| 2026 YTD | $302.8 | $405.5 | +34% |
TSM has finished higher in five of the last six years, three of them by more than 50%. It's up 34% so far in 2026.