OUST

Ouster, Inc.

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

OUST offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

TMUS

T-Mobile US, Inc.

69
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation82/ 100
Upside potential82/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

TMUS has the edge over OUST overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

OUST Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

OUST's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

TMUS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Strong

TMUS's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

OUST PE Valuation

OUST has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TMUS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x65x97x130x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x65x97x130x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward13x$171—
Current16x$171—
Cheap21x$218+27%
Fair26x$274+60%
Expensive56x$581+240%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TMUS's PE is in its cheap range at 16x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13x next year's earnings.

OUST Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect OUST's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

TMUS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TMUS, with profitability improving.

OUST Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$68.75
Downside-46%$19.69

Calculated from the latest close: $36.60 on Nov 12.

OUST trails TMUS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TMUS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+41%$240.82
Downside-9%$155.85

Calculated from the latest close: $171.03 on Nov 12.

TMUS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than OUST, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

OUST Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-11.10Q1 2024: $-5.62Q2 2024: $-2.96Q3 2024: $-2.61Q4 2024: $-2.08Q1 2025: $-1.95Q2 2025: $-1.80Q3 2025: $-1.63Q4 2025: $-1.07Q1 2026: $-0.93Q2 2026: $-0.82Q3 2026: $-0.65
Q4 2023: $-11.10Q1 2024: $-5.62Q2 2024: $-2.96Q3 2024: $-2.61Q4 2024: $-2.08Q1 2025: $-1.95Q2 2025: $-1.80Q3 2025: $-1.63Q4 2025: $-1.07Q1 2026: $-0.93Q2 2026: $-0.82Q3 2026: $-0.65
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.65+$0.98
Q2 2026-$0.82+$0.98
Q1 2026-$0.93+$1.02
Q4 2025-$1.07+$1.01
Q3 2025-$1.63+$0.98
Q2 2025-$1.80+$1.16
Q1 2025-$1.95+$3.67
Q4 2024-$2.08+$9.02

OUST is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.65 per share over the past year, against $40.12 at its worst in late 2020.

TMUS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.93Q1 2024: $7.35Q2 2024: $7.98Q3 2024: $8.77Q4 2024: $9.66Q1 2025: $10.24Q2 2025: $10.59Q3 2025: $10.39Q4 2025: $9.72Q1 2026: $9.41Q2 2026: $9.56Q3 2026: $10.37Forward: $13.49
Q4 2023: $6.93Q1 2024: $7.35Q2 2024: $7.98Q3 2024: $8.77Q4 2024: $9.66Q1 2025: $10.24Q2 2025: $10.59Q3 2025: $10.39Q4 2025: $9.72Q1 2026: $9.41Q2 2026: $9.56Q3 2026: $10.37Forward: $13.49
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.49+30%
Q3 2026$10.37-0.2%
Q2 2026$9.56-9.7%
Q1 2026$9.41-8.1%
Q4 2025$9.72+0.6%
Q3 2025$10.39+18%
Q2 2025$10.59+33%
Q1 2025$10.24+39%
Q4 2024$9.66+39%

TMUS has the edge over OUST on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

OUST Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $24MQ1 2024: $26MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $28MQ4 2024: $30MQ1 2025: $33MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $40MQ4 2025: $62MQ1 2026: $49MQ2 2026: $55MQ3 2026: $59M
Q4 2023: $24MQ1 2024: $26MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $28MQ4 2024: $30MQ1 2025: $33MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $40MQ4 2025: $62MQ1 2026: $49MQ2 2026: $55MQ3 2026: $59M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$59.3M+50%
Q2 2026$54.6M+56%
Q1 2026$48.6M+49%
Q4 2025$62.2M+107%
Q3 2025$39.5M+41%
Q2 2025$35M+30%
Q1 2025$32.6M+26%
Q4 2024$30.1M+23%

OUST has the edge over TMUS on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

TMUS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $20.5BQ1 2024: $19.6BQ2 2024: $19.8BQ3 2024: $20.2BQ4 2024: $21.9BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $21.1BQ3 2025: $22BQ4 2025: $24.3BQ1 2026: $23.1BQ2 2026: $22.8BQ3 2026: $23.6B
Q4 2023: $20.5BQ1 2024: $19.6BQ2 2024: $19.8BQ3 2024: $20.2BQ4 2024: $21.9BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $21.1BQ3 2025: $22BQ4 2025: $24.3BQ1 2026: $23.1BQ2 2026: $22.8BQ3 2026: $23.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$23.6B+7.4%
Q2 2026$22.8B+7.9%
Q1 2026$23.1B+11%
Q4 2025$24.3B+11%
Q3 2025$22B+8.9%
Q2 2025$21.1B+6.9%
Q1 2025$20.9B+6.6%
Q4 2024$21.9B+6.8%

TMUS's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $23.6B last quarter, up 7.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

OUST Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$25MQ1 2024: −$7MQ2 2024: −$22MQ3 2024: −$4MQ4 2024: −$4MQ1 2025: −$5MQ2 2025: −$2MQ3 2025: −$20MQ4 2025: −$37MQ1 2026: −$10MQ2 2026: −$15MQ3 2026: −$35M
Q4 2023: −$25MQ1 2024: −$7MQ2 2024: −$22MQ3 2024: −$4MQ4 2024: −$4MQ1 2025: −$5MQ2 2025: −$2MQ3 2025: −$20MQ4 2025: −$37MQ1 2026: −$10MQ2 2026: −$15MQ3 2026: −$35M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$35M-$15M
Q2 2026-$15.4M-$13.2M
Q1 2026-$9.8M-$4.4M
Q4 2025-$37.2M-$33.2M
Q3 2025-$20M-$15.7M
Q2 2025-$2.2M+$19.8M
Q1 2025-$5.4M+$1.7M
Q4 2024-$4M+$20.6M

OUST has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$97M over the past year, against −$32M the year before.

TMUS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: $2.5BQ2 2024: $3.5BQ3 2024: $4.2BQ4 2024: $3.3BQ1 2025: $4.4BQ2 2025: $4.6BQ3 2025: $4.8BQ4 2025: $4.2BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.8BQ3 2026: $5.1B
Q4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: $2.5BQ2 2024: $3.5BQ3 2024: $4.2BQ4 2024: $3.3BQ1 2025: $4.4BQ2 2025: $4.6BQ3 2025: $4.8BQ4 2025: $4.2BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.8BQ3 2026: $5.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$5.1B+5.3%
Q2 2026$4.8B+4.4%
Q1 2026$4.6B+4.6%
Q4 2025$4.2B+25%
Q3 2025$4.8B+15%
Q2 2025$4.6B+32%
Q1 2025$4.4B+79%
Q4 2024$3.3B+2%

TMUS has the edge over OUST on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

OUST Total Shares

Q4 2023: 37MQ1 2024: 43MQ2 2024: 45MQ3 2024: 48MQ4 2024: 47MQ1 2025: 52MQ2 2025: 54MQ3 2025: 58MQ4 2025: 56MQ1 2026: 62MQ2 2026: 66MQ3 2026: 71M
Q4 2023: 37MQ1 2024: 43MQ2 2024: 45MQ3 2024: 48MQ4 2024: 47MQ1 2025: 52MQ2 2025: 54MQ3 2025: 58MQ4 2025: 56MQ1 2026: 62MQ2 2026: 66MQ3 2026: 71M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+8.3%+5.5M shares
1 year+23%+13.5M shares
3 years+82%+32.2M shares
5 years+1183%+65.9M shares
Available history+6407%+70.4M shares

OUST has 71M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.

TMUS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.2BQ1 2024: 1.2BQ2 2024: 1.2BQ3 2024: 1.2BQ4 2024: 1.2BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
Q4 2023: 1.2BQ1 2024: 1.2BQ2 2024: 1.2BQ3 2024: 1.2BQ4 2024: 1.2BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1%-10.8M shares
1 year-4.9%-55M shares
3 years-8.8%-103M shares
5 years-15%-182M shares
Available history+24%+207M shares

TMUS has the edge over OUST on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

OUST Net Leverage

OUST's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

TMUS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.0x
Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.0xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 20252.5xModerate
Q3 20250.1xVery low
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 20242.4xModerate

TMUS's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

OUST Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.2Neutral
Stochastic26.0Neutral

OUST's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

TMUS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.9Neutral
Stochastic42.1Neutral

TMUS's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 42 (neutral).

OUST PE vs Technology Sector

OUST has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TMUS PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricTMUSSector medianRelative
PE16x16xSame PE
PE %12625 pts below

TMUS is trading at 16x earnings, in line with the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

OUST Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$35.91.9% above
20 week MA$38.14% below
50 week MA$31.317% above
100 week MA$24.947% above
200 week MA$16.3125% above

OUST has the edge over TMUS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

TMUS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$159.17.5% above
20 week MA$172.00.5% below
50 week MA$187.88.9% below
100 week MA$212.920% below
200 week MA$188.79.4% below

TMUS has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 9.4% below its 200-week average.

OUST Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$97.0$162.5+68%
2021$162.5$53.8-67%
2022$53.8$8.88-83%
2023$8.88$7.67-14%
2024$7.67$12.5+63%
2025$12.5$22.0+76%
2026 YTD$22.0$36.6+67%

OUST has the edge over TMUS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TMUS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$77.2$132.9+72%
2021$132.9$119.9-9.8%
2022$119.9$140.0+17%
2023$140.0$160.3+15%
2024$160.3$223.0+39%
2025$223.0$201.0-9.9%
2026 YTD$201.0$171.0-15%

TMUS has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 15% so far in 2026.

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