OUST

Ouster, Inc.

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

OUST's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

SOFI

SoFi Technologies, Inc.

70
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation71/ 100
Upside potential80/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

SOFI has the edge over OUST overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

OUST Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

OUST's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

SOFI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
N/A
N/A

SOFI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SOFI.

OUST PE Valuation

OUST has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SOFI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$15.63—
Current28x$15.63—
Cheap33x$18.24+17%
Fair43x$23.82+52%
Expensive53x$29.74+90%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SOFI's PE is in its cheap range at 28x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings.

OUST Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect OUST's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SOFI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for SOFI, with profitability improving.

OUST Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$68.75
Downside-46%$19.69

Calculated from the latest close: $36.60 on Nov 12.

OUST trails SOFI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SOFI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+79%$27.97
Downside-20%$12.51

Calculated from the latest close: $15.63 on Nov 12.

SOFI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than OUST, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

OUST Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-11.10Q1 2024: $-5.62Q2 2024: $-2.96Q3 2024: $-2.61Q4 2024: $-2.08Q1 2025: $-1.95Q2 2025: $-1.80Q3 2025: $-1.63Q4 2025: $-1.07Q1 2026: $-0.93Q2 2026: $-0.82Q3 2026: $-0.65
Q4 2023: $-11.10Q1 2024: $-5.62Q2 2024: $-2.96Q3 2024: $-2.61Q4 2024: $-2.08Q1 2025: $-1.95Q2 2025: $-1.80Q3 2025: $-1.63Q4 2025: $-1.07Q1 2026: $-0.93Q2 2026: $-0.82Q3 2026: $-0.65
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.65+$0.98
Q2 2026-$0.82+$0.98
Q1 2026-$0.93+$1.02
Q4 2025-$1.07+$1.01
Q3 2025-$1.63+$0.98
Q2 2025-$1.80+$1.16
Q1 2025-$1.95+$3.67
Q4 2024-$2.08+$9.02

OUST is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.65 per share over the past year, against $40.12 at its worst in late 2020.

SOFI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.82+47%
Q3 2026$0.560%
Q2 2026$0.49-2%
Q1 2026$0.45+4.7%
Q4 2025$0.390%
Q3 2025$0.56+367%
Q2 2025$0.50+$0.72
Q1 2025$0.43+$0.72
Q4 2024$0.39+$0.75

SOFI has the edge over OUST on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

OUST Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $24MQ1 2024: $26MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $28MQ4 2024: $30MQ1 2025: $33MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $40MQ4 2025: $62MQ1 2026: $49MQ2 2026: $55MQ3 2026: $59M
Q4 2023: $24MQ1 2024: $26MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $28MQ4 2024: $30MQ1 2025: $33MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $40MQ4 2025: $62MQ1 2026: $49MQ2 2026: $55MQ3 2026: $59M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$59.3M+50%
Q2 2026$54.6M+56%
Q1 2026$48.6M+49%
Q4 2025$62.2M+107%
Q3 2025$39.5M+41%
Q2 2025$35M+30%
Q1 2025$32.6M+26%
Q4 2024$30.1M+23%

OUST has the edge over SOFI on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

SOFI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+44%
Q2 2026$1.2B+43%
Q1 2026$1.1B+43%
Q4 2025$1B+40%
Q3 2025$961.6M+38%
Q2 2025$854.9M+43%
Q1 2025$771.8M+20%
Q4 2024$734.1M+19%

SOFI's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since mid-2022: $1.4B last quarter, up 44% from the same quarter a year ago.

OUST Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$25MQ1 2024: −$7MQ2 2024: −$22MQ3 2024: −$4MQ4 2024: −$4MQ1 2025: −$5MQ2 2025: −$2MQ3 2025: −$20MQ4 2025: −$37MQ1 2026: −$10MQ2 2026: −$15MQ3 2026: −$35M
Q4 2023: −$25MQ1 2024: −$7MQ2 2024: −$22MQ3 2024: −$4MQ4 2024: −$4MQ1 2025: −$5MQ2 2025: −$2MQ3 2025: −$20MQ4 2025: −$37MQ1 2026: −$10MQ2 2026: −$15MQ3 2026: −$35M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$35M-$15M
Q2 2026-$15.4M-$13.2M
Q1 2026-$9.8M-$4.4M
Q4 2025-$37.2M-$33.2M
Q3 2025-$20M-$15.7M
Q2 2025-$2.2M+$19.8M
Q1 2025-$5.4M+$1.7M
Q4 2024-$4M+$20.6M

OUST has the edge over SOFI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SOFI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$3.1B-$1.7B
Q2 2026-$4B-$2.5B
Q1 2026-$2.4B-$2.4B
Q4 2025-$1.1B-$815.2M
Q3 2025-$1.4B-$149M
Q2 2025-$1.5B-$1B
Q1 2025-$31.1M-104%
Q4 2024-$242.4M+$39.9M

SOFI's free cash flow was −$10.5B over the past year, against −$3.2B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.

OUST Total Shares

Q4 2023: 37MQ1 2024: 43MQ2 2024: 45MQ3 2024: 48MQ4 2024: 47MQ1 2025: 52MQ2 2025: 54MQ3 2025: 58MQ4 2025: 56MQ1 2026: 62MQ2 2026: 66MQ3 2026: 71M
Q4 2023: 37MQ1 2024: 43MQ2 2024: 45MQ3 2024: 48MQ4 2024: 47MQ1 2025: 52MQ2 2025: 54MQ3 2025: 58MQ4 2025: 56MQ1 2026: 62MQ2 2026: 66MQ3 2026: 71M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+8.3%+5.5M shares
1 year+23%+13.5M shares
3 years+82%+32.2M shares
5 years+1183%+65.9M shares
Available history+6407%+70.4M shares

OUST has 71M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.

SOFI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+5.8M shares
1 year+5.2%+66.8M shares
3 years+43%+407M shares
5 years+272%+993M shares

SOFI has the edge over OUST on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

OUST Net Leverage

OUST's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

SOFI Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-5.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-4.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-4.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.8xNet Cash

SOFI has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.

OUST Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.2Neutral
Stochastic26.0Neutral

OUST's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

SOFI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.1Neutral
Stochastic41.5Neutral

SOFI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

OUST PE vs Technology Sector

OUST has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SOFI PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSOFISector medianRelative
PE28x13x114% above
PE %26159 pts below

SOFI is trading at 28x earnings, a 114% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

OUST Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$35.91.9% above
20 week MA$38.14% below
50 week MA$31.317% above
100 week MA$24.947% above
200 week MA$16.3125% above

OUST has the edge over SOFI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SOFI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$15.70.7% below
20 week MA$17.07.8% below
50 week MA$18.917% below
100 week MA$18.917% below
200 week MA$13.516% above

SOFI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 16% above its 200-week average.

OUST Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$97.0$162.5+68%
2021$162.5$53.8-67%
2022$53.8$8.88-83%
2023$8.88$7.67-14%
2024$7.67$12.5+63%
2025$12.5$22.0+76%
2026 YTD$22.0$36.6+67%

OUST has the edge over SOFI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SOFI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.4$12.4+19%
2021$12.4$15.1+22%
2022$15.1$4.61-69%
2023$4.61$9.95+116%
2024$9.95$16.0+61%
2025$16.0$27.1+69%
2026 YTD$27.1$15.6-42%

SOFI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +116% in 2023 to −69% in 2022. It's down 42% so far in 2026.

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