OUST

Ouster, Inc.

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

OUST's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

SMCI

Super Micro Computer, Inc.

85
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential90/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

SMCI has the edge over OUST overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

OUST Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

OUST's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

SMCI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Weak
Strong

SMCI's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently strong, but its cash flow is weak.

OUST PE Valuation

OUST has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SMCI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE23x46x70x93x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE23x46x70x93x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward4.3x$26.99—
Current5.7x$26.99—
Cheap13x$61.50+128%
Fair19x$88.86+229%
Expensive26x$125+363%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SMCI's PE is in its cheap range at 5.7x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 4.3x next year's earnings.

OUST Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect OUST's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SMCI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for SMCI, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

OUST Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$68.75
Downside-46%$19.69

Calculated from the latest close: $36.60 on Nov 12.

OUST trails SMCI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

SMCI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+268%$99.45
Downside-29%$19.23

Calculated from the latest close: $26.99 on Nov 12.

SMCI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than OUST, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

OUST Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-11.10Q1 2024: $-5.62Q2 2024: $-2.96Q3 2024: $-2.61Q4 2024: $-2.08Q1 2025: $-1.95Q2 2025: $-1.80Q3 2025: $-1.63Q4 2025: $-1.07Q1 2026: $-0.93Q2 2026: $-0.82Q3 2026: $-0.65
Q4 2023: $-11.10Q1 2024: $-5.62Q2 2024: $-2.96Q3 2024: $-2.61Q4 2024: $-2.08Q1 2025: $-1.95Q2 2025: $-1.80Q3 2025: $-1.63Q4 2025: $-1.07Q1 2026: $-0.93Q2 2026: $-0.82Q3 2026: $-0.65
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.65+$0.98
Q2 2026-$0.82+$0.98
Q1 2026-$0.93+$1.02
Q4 2025-$1.07+$1.01
Q3 2025-$1.63+$0.98
Q2 2025-$1.80+$1.16
Q1 2025-$1.95+$3.67
Q4 2024-$2.08+$9.02

OUST is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.65 per share over the past year, against $40.12 at its worst in late 2020.

SMCI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.28Q1 2024: $1.78Q2 2024: $1.92Q3 2024: $2.32Q4 2024: $2.32Q1 2025: $1.83Q2 2025: $1.68Q3 2025: $1.27Q4 2025: $1.36Q1 2026: $1.91Q2 2026: $3.26Q3 2026: $4.75Forward: $6.22
Q4 2023: $1.28Q1 2024: $1.78Q2 2024: $1.92Q3 2024: $2.32Q4 2024: $2.32Q1 2025: $1.83Q2 2025: $1.68Q3 2025: $1.27Q4 2025: $1.36Q1 2026: $1.91Q2 2026: $3.26Q3 2026: $4.75Forward: $6.22
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.22+31%
Q3 2026$4.75+274%
Q2 2026$3.26+94%
Q1 2026$1.91+4.4%
Q4 2025$1.36-41%
Q3 2025$1.27-45%
Q2 2025$1.68-13%
Q1 2025$1.83+2.8%
Q4 2024$2.32+81%

SMCI has the edge over OUST on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

OUST Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $24MQ1 2024: $26MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $28MQ4 2024: $30MQ1 2025: $33MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $40MQ4 2025: $62MQ1 2026: $49MQ2 2026: $55MQ3 2026: $59M
Q4 2023: $24MQ1 2024: $26MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $28MQ4 2024: $30MQ1 2025: $33MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $40MQ4 2025: $62MQ1 2026: $49MQ2 2026: $55MQ3 2026: $59M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$59.3M+50%
Q2 2026$54.6M+56%
Q1 2026$48.6M+49%
Q4 2025$62.2M+107%
Q3 2025$39.5M+41%
Q2 2025$35M+30%
Q1 2025$32.6M+26%
Q4 2024$30.1M+23%

OUST's revenue has grown year over year for 15 quarters in a row: $59M last quarter, up 50% from the same quarter a year ago.

SMCI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3.7BQ1 2024: $3.9BQ2 2024: $5.4BQ3 2024: $5.9BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $5.8BQ3 2025: $5BQ4 2025: $12.7BQ1 2026: $10.2BQ2 2026: $11.1BQ3 2026: $19.9B
Q4 2023: $3.7BQ1 2024: $3.9BQ2 2024: $5.4BQ3 2024: $5.9BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $5.8BQ3 2025: $5BQ4 2025: $12.7BQ1 2026: $10.2BQ2 2026: $11.1BQ3 2026: $19.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$19.9B+298%
Q2 2026$11.1B+93%
Q1 2026$10.2B+123%
Q4 2025$12.7B+123%
Q3 2025$5B-15%
Q2 2025$5.8B+7.5%
Q1 2025$4.6B+19%
Q4 2024$5.7B+55%

SMCI's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $19.9B last quarter, up 298% from the same quarter a year ago.

OUST Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$25MQ1 2024: −$7MQ2 2024: −$22MQ3 2024: −$4MQ4 2024: −$4MQ1 2025: −$5MQ2 2025: −$2MQ3 2025: −$20MQ4 2025: −$37MQ1 2026: −$10MQ2 2026: −$15MQ3 2026: −$35M
Q4 2023: −$25MQ1 2024: −$7MQ2 2024: −$22MQ3 2024: −$4MQ4 2024: −$4MQ1 2025: −$5MQ2 2025: −$2MQ3 2025: −$20MQ4 2025: −$37MQ1 2026: −$10MQ2 2026: −$15MQ3 2026: −$35M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$35M-$15M
Q2 2026-$15.4M-$13.2M
Q1 2026-$9.8M-$4.4M
Q4 2025-$37.2M-$33.2M
Q3 2025-$20M-$15.7M
Q2 2025-$2.2M+$19.8M
Q1 2025-$5.4M+$1.7M
Q4 2024-$4M+$20.6M

OUST has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$97M over the past year, against −$32M the year before.

SMCI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$610MQ1 2024: −$1.6BQ2 2024: −$656MQ3 2024: $365MQ4 2024: −$267MQ1 2025: $594MQ2 2025: $841MQ3 2025: −$950MQ4 2025: −$45MQ1 2026: −$6.7BQ2 2026: $719MQ3 2026: −$476M
Q4 2023: −$610MQ1 2024: −$1.6BQ2 2024: −$656MQ3 2024: $365MQ4 2024: −$267MQ1 2025: $594MQ2 2025: $841MQ3 2025: −$950MQ4 2025: −$45MQ1 2026: −$6.7BQ2 2026: $719MQ3 2026: −$476M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$475.6M+$474.2M
Q2 2026$718.7M-15%
Q1 2026-$6.7B-1227%
Q4 2025-$45.1M+$222.2M
Q3 2025-$949.8M-360%
Q2 2025$840.9M+$1.5B
Q1 2025$594.1M+$2.2B
Q4 2024-$267.3M+$342.5M

SMCI has the edge over OUST on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

OUST Total Shares

Q4 2023: 37MQ1 2024: 43MQ2 2024: 45MQ3 2024: 48MQ4 2024: 47MQ1 2025: 52MQ2 2025: 54MQ3 2025: 58MQ4 2025: 56MQ1 2026: 62MQ2 2026: 66MQ3 2026: 71M
Q4 2023: 37MQ1 2024: 43MQ2 2024: 45MQ3 2024: 48MQ4 2024: 47MQ1 2025: 52MQ2 2025: 54MQ3 2025: 58MQ4 2025: 56MQ1 2026: 62MQ2 2026: 66MQ3 2026: 71M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+8.3%+5.5M shares
1 year+23%+13.5M shares
3 years+82%+32.2M shares
5 years+1183%+65.9M shares
Available history+6407%+70.4M shares

OUST has 71M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.

SMCI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 581MQ1 2024: 614MQ2 2024: 602MQ3 2024: 639MQ4 2024: 636MQ1 2025: 622MQ2 2025: 628MQ3 2025: 663MQ4 2025: 694MQ1 2026: 692MQ2 2026: 697MQ3 2026: 749M
Q4 2023: 581MQ1 2024: 614MQ2 2024: 602MQ3 2024: 639MQ4 2024: 636MQ1 2025: 622MQ2 2025: 628MQ3 2025: 663MQ4 2025: 694MQ1 2026: 692MQ2 2026: 697MQ3 2026: 749M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.5%+52M shares
1 year+13%+86.1M shares
3 years+31%+178M shares
5 years+42%+220M shares
Available history+44%+229M shares

SMCI has the edge over OUST on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

OUST Net Leverage

OUST's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

SMCI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.7xQ1 2024: -1.7xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: -1.0xQ3 2026: -0.5x
Q4 2023: -0.7xQ1 2024: -1.7xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: -1.0xQ3 2026: -0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.0xNet Cash
Q1 20262.2xModerate
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 20240.2xVery low

SMCI has more cash than debt.

OUST Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.2Neutral
Stochastic26.0Neutral

OUST's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

SMCI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.8Neutral
Stochastic19.1Oversold

SMCI's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

OUST PE vs Technology Sector

OUST has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SMCI PE vs Technology Sector

MetricSMCISector medianRelative
PE5.7x28x80% below
PE %03535 pts below

SMCI is trading at 5.7x earnings, a 80% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

OUST Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$35.91.9% above
20 week MA$38.14% below
50 week MA$31.317% above
100 week MA$24.947% above
200 week MA$16.3125% above

OUST has the edge over SMCI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SMCI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$35.323% below
20 week MA$34.221% below
50 week MA$32.317% below
100 week MA$36.927% below
200 week MA$39.832% below

SMCI is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 32% below its 200-week average.

OUST Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$97.0$162.5+68%
2021$162.5$53.8-67%
2022$53.8$8.88-83%
2023$8.88$7.67-14%
2024$7.67$12.5+63%
2025$12.5$22.0+76%
2026 YTD$22.0$36.6+67%

OUST has the edge over SMCI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SMCI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$2.41$3.05+27%
2021$3.05$4.27+40%
2022$4.27$8.22+93%
2023$8.22$28.4+246%
2024$28.4$32.0+12%
2025$32.0$30.6-4.2%
2026 YTD$30.6$27.0-12%

SMCI has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 12% so far in 2026.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key