OUST

Ouster, Inc.

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

OUST has the edge over QCOM overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

QCOM

QUALCOMM Incorporated

50
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential39/ 100
Risk potential41/ 100

QCOM has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

OUST Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

OUST's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

QCOM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Healthy
Healthy

QCOM's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

OUST PE Valuation

OUST has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

QCOM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x57x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x57x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap14x$175-1.1%
Current14x$177—
Fair20x$248+40%
Expensive26x$333+88%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

QCOM's PE is in its cheap range at 14x.

OUST Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect OUST's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

QCOM Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for QCOM to show an outlook.

OUST Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$68.75
Downside-46%$19.69

Calculated from the latest close: $36.60 on Nov 12.

OUST has a better modeled risk to reward balance than QCOM, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

QCOM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+27%$224.30
Downside-41%$103.77

Calculated from the latest close: $177.14 on Nov 12.

QCOM trails OUST on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

OUST Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-11.10Q1 2024: $-5.62Q2 2024: $-2.96Q3 2024: $-2.61Q4 2024: $-2.08Q1 2025: $-1.95Q2 2025: $-1.80Q3 2025: $-1.63Q4 2025: $-1.07Q1 2026: $-0.93Q2 2026: $-0.82Q3 2026: $-0.65
Q4 2023: $-11.10Q1 2024: $-5.62Q2 2024: $-2.96Q3 2024: $-2.61Q4 2024: $-2.08Q1 2025: $-1.95Q2 2025: $-1.80Q3 2025: $-1.63Q4 2025: $-1.07Q1 2026: $-0.93Q2 2026: $-0.82Q3 2026: $-0.65
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.65+$0.98
Q2 2026-$0.82+$0.98
Q1 2026-$0.93+$1.02
Q4 2025-$1.07+$1.01
Q3 2025-$1.63+$0.98
Q2 2025-$1.80+$1.16
Q1 2025-$1.95+$3.67
Q4 2024-$2.08+$9.02

OUST is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.65 per share over the past year, against $40.12 at its worst in late 2020.

QCOM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.90Q1 2024: $7.44Q2 2024: $7.72Q3 2024: $8.97Q4 2024: $9.34Q1 2025: $9.80Q2 2025: $10.35Q3 2025: $5.01Q4 2025: $4.96Q1 2026: $9.32Q2 2026: $8.76Q3 2026: $12.70
Q4 2023: $6.90Q1 2024: $7.44Q2 2024: $7.72Q3 2024: $8.97Q4 2024: $9.34Q1 2025: $9.80Q2 2025: $10.35Q3 2025: $5.01Q4 2025: $4.96Q1 2026: $9.32Q2 2026: $8.76Q3 2026: $12.70
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$12.70+153%
Q2 2026$8.76-15%
Q1 2026$9.32-4.9%
Q4 2025$4.96-47%
Q3 2025$5.01-44%
Q2 2025$10.35+34%
Q1 2025$9.80+32%
Q4 2024$9.34+35%

QCOM has the edge over OUST on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

OUST Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $24MQ1 2024: $26MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $28MQ4 2024: $30MQ1 2025: $33MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $40MQ4 2025: $62MQ1 2026: $49MQ2 2026: $55MQ3 2026: $59M
Q4 2023: $24MQ1 2024: $26MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $28MQ4 2024: $30MQ1 2025: $33MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $40MQ4 2025: $62MQ1 2026: $49MQ2 2026: $55MQ3 2026: $59M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$59.3M+50%
Q2 2026$54.6M+56%
Q1 2026$48.6M+49%
Q4 2025$62.2M+107%
Q3 2025$39.5M+41%
Q2 2025$35M+30%
Q1 2025$32.6M+26%
Q4 2024$30.1M+23%

OUST has the edge over QCOM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

QCOM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.9BQ1 2024: $9.4BQ2 2024: $9.4BQ3 2024: $10.2BQ4 2024: $11.7BQ1 2025: $11BQ2 2025: $10.4BQ3 2025: $11.3BQ4 2025: $12.3BQ1 2026: $10.6BQ2 2026: $9.9BQ3 2026: $10.3B
Q4 2023: $9.9BQ1 2024: $9.4BQ2 2024: $9.4BQ3 2024: $10.2BQ4 2024: $11.7BQ1 2025: $11BQ2 2025: $10.4BQ3 2025: $11.3BQ4 2025: $12.3BQ1 2026: $10.6BQ2 2026: $9.9BQ3 2026: $10.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$10.3B-8.4%
Q2 2026$9.9B-4%
Q1 2026$10.6B-3.5%
Q4 2025$12.3B+5%
Q3 2025$11.3B+10%
Q2 2025$10.4B+10%
Q1 2025$11B+17%
Q4 2024$11.7B+17%

QCOM's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $10.3B last quarter, down 8.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

OUST Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$25MQ1 2024: −$7MQ2 2024: −$22MQ3 2024: −$4MQ4 2024: −$4MQ1 2025: −$5MQ2 2025: −$2MQ3 2025: −$20MQ4 2025: −$37MQ1 2026: −$10MQ2 2026: −$15MQ3 2026: −$35M
Q4 2023: −$25MQ1 2024: −$7MQ2 2024: −$22MQ3 2024: −$4MQ4 2024: −$4MQ1 2025: −$5MQ2 2025: −$2MQ3 2025: −$20MQ4 2025: −$37MQ1 2026: −$10MQ2 2026: −$15MQ3 2026: −$35M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$35M-$15M
Q2 2026-$15.4M-$13.2M
Q1 2026-$9.8M-$4.4M
Q4 2025-$37.2M-$33.2M
Q3 2025-$20M-$15.7M
Q2 2025-$2.2M+$19.8M
Q1 2025-$5.4M+$1.7M
Q4 2024-$4M+$20.6M

OUST has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$97M over the past year, against −$32M the year before.

QCOM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.7BQ1 2024: $3.4BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $4.3BQ1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.6BQ4 2025: $4.4BQ1 2026: $1.9BQ2 2026: $495MQ3 2026: $1.8B
Q4 2023: $2.7BQ1 2024: $3.4BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $4.3BQ1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.6BQ4 2025: $4.4BQ1 2026: $1.9BQ2 2026: $495MQ3 2026: $1.8B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.8B-49%
Q2 2026$495M-81%
Q1 2026$1.9B-18%
Q4 2025$4.4B+2.5%
Q3 2025$3.6B+50%
Q2 2025$2.6B-3.2%
Q1 2025$2.3B-31%
Q4 2024$4.3B+58%

QCOM has the edge over OUST on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

OUST Total Shares

Q4 2023: 37MQ1 2024: 43MQ2 2024: 45MQ3 2024: 48MQ4 2024: 47MQ1 2025: 52MQ2 2025: 54MQ3 2025: 58MQ4 2025: 56MQ1 2026: 62MQ2 2026: 66MQ3 2026: 71M
Q4 2023: 37MQ1 2024: 43MQ2 2024: 45MQ3 2024: 48MQ4 2024: 47MQ1 2025: 52MQ2 2025: 54MQ3 2025: 58MQ4 2025: 56MQ1 2026: 62MQ2 2026: 66MQ3 2026: 71M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+8.3%+5.5M shares
1 year+23%+13.5M shares
3 years+82%+32.2M shares
5 years+1183%+65.9M shares
Available history+6407%+70.4M shares

OUST has 71M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.

QCOM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.1BQ1 2024: 1.1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
Q4 2023: 1.1BQ1 2024: 1.1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+4M shares
1 year-2.9%-32M shares
3 years-4.7%-53M shares
5 years-6.6%-76M shares
Available history-7.4%-86M shares

QCOM has the edge over OUST on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

OUST Net Leverage

OUST's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

QCOM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.6xQ1 2024: 0.5xQ2 2024: 0.5xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.7xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 1.0x
Q4 2023: 0.6xQ1 2024: 0.5xQ2 2024: 0.5xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.7xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 1.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.0xHealthy
Q2 20260.7xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.7xVery low
Q2 20250.7xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

QCOM's net debt is about a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from less than a year a year ago.

OUST Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.2Neutral
Stochastic26.0Neutral

OUST's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

QCOM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.8Neutral
Stochastic40.2Neutral

QCOM's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 40 (neutral).

OUST PE vs Technology Sector

OUST has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

QCOM PE vs Technology Sector

MetricQCOMSector medianRelative
PE14x28x50% below
PE %173518 pts below

QCOM is trading at 14x earnings, a 50% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

OUST Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$35.91.9% above
20 week MA$38.14% below
50 week MA$31.317% above
100 week MA$24.947% above
200 week MA$16.3125% above

OUST's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 125% above its 200-week average.

QCOM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$177.20% below
20 week MA$172.82.5% above
50 week MA$170.73.8% above
100 week MA$164.37.8% above
200 week MA$155.114% above

QCOM's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 14% above its 200-week average.

OUST Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$97.0$162.5+68%
2021$162.5$53.8-67%
2022$53.8$8.88-83%
2023$8.88$7.67-14%
2024$7.67$12.5+63%
2025$12.5$22.0+76%
2026 YTD$22.0$36.6+67%

OUST has the edge over QCOM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

QCOM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$88.8$148.8+68%
2021$148.8$182.7+23%
2022$182.7$110.8-39%
2023$110.8$144.6+30%
2024$144.6$157.2+8.7%
2025$157.2$174.8+11%
2026 YTD$174.8$177.1+1.3%

QCOM has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 1.3% so far in 2026.

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