OSCR

Oscar Health, Inc.

69
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

OSCR has the edge over USPH overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

USPH

U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.

58
Fundamentals53/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

USPH has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

OSCR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Strong
Strong

OSCR's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

USPH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Stable

USPH's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

OSCR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$31.94—
Current13x$31.94—
Cheap21x$52.73+65%
Fair35x$87.23+173%
Expensive130x$322+907%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

OSCR's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

USPH PE Valuation

USPH has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

OSCR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

OSCR has the edge over USPH on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

USPH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for USPH, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

OSCR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$49.45
Downside-35%$20.78

Calculated from the latest close: $31.94 on Nov 12.

OSCR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than USPH, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

USPH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$124.17
Downside-20%$78.72

Calculated from the latest close: $98.60 on Nov 12.

USPH trails OSCR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

OSCR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.61+5.6%
Q3 2026$2.47+$3.47
Q2 2026$1.45+$2.14
Q1 2026-$0.54-235%
Q4 2025-$1.69-1790%
Q3 2025-$1.00-$0.92
Q2 2025-$0.69-$0.54
Q1 2025$0.40+$0.82
Q4 2024$0.10+$1.32

OSCR has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is up 147% for OSCR versus USPH up 38%.

USPH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2024: $1.84Q1 2025: $2.18Q2 2025: $2.29Q3 2025: $2.38Forward: $3.22
Q4 2024: $1.84Q1 2025: $2.18Q2 2025: $2.29Q3 2025: $2.38Forward: $3.22
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.22+35%
Q3 2023$1.72-42%
Q2 2023$1.93-34%
Q1 2023$2.16-25%
Q4 2022$2.25-6.6%
Q3 2022$2.98+26%
Q2 2022$2.92+26%
Q1 2022$2.87+15%
Q4 2021$2.41-2.8%

USPH earned $2.38 per share over the past year, up 38% from the year before.

OSCR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.1B+72%
Q2 2026$4.9B+70%
Q1 2026$4.6B+53%
Q4 2025$2.8B+17%
Q3 2025$3B+23%
Q2 2025$2.9B+29%
Q1 2025$3B+42%
Q4 2024$2.4B+67%

OSCR has the edge over USPH on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

USPH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $155MQ1 2024: $156MQ2 2024: $167MQ3 2024: $168MQ4 2024: $180MQ1 2025: $184MQ2 2025: $197MQ3 2025: $197MQ4 2025: $203MQ1 2026: $198MQ2 2026: $214MQ3 2026: $223M
Q4 2023: $155MQ1 2024: $156MQ2 2024: $167MQ3 2024: $168MQ4 2024: $180MQ1 2025: $184MQ2 2025: $197MQ3 2025: $197MQ4 2025: $203MQ1 2026: $198MQ2 2026: $214MQ3 2026: $223M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$222.6M+13%
Q2 2026$214.1M+8.5%
Q1 2026$198.3M+7.9%
Q4 2025$202.7M+12%
Q3 2025$197.1M+17%
Q2 2025$197.3M+18%
Q1 2025$183.8M+18%
Q4 2024$180.4M+17%

USPH's revenue has grown year over year for 22 quarters in a row: $223M last quarter, up 13% from the same quarter a year ago.

OSCR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.2B-$238.2M
Q2 2026$2.1B+316%
Q1 2026$2.6B+200%
Q4 2025$662.8M+95%
Q3 2025-$973.7M-$466M
Q2 2025$499.8M+2.1%
Q1 2025$869.5M+38%
Q4 2024$340M+17%

OSCR has the edge over USPH on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

USPH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $25MQ1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $20MQ4 2024: $17MQ1 2025: −$7MQ2 2025: $32MQ3 2025: $16MQ4 2025: $21MQ1 2026: −$2MQ2 2026: $29MQ3 2026: $21M
Q4 2023: $25MQ1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $20MQ4 2024: $17MQ1 2025: −$7MQ2 2025: $32MQ3 2025: $16MQ4 2025: $21MQ1 2026: −$2MQ2 2026: $29MQ3 2026: $21M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$20.7M+32%
Q2 2026$29M-8.2%
Q1 2026-$1.6M+$5.7M
Q4 2025$21M+24%
Q3 2025$15.6M-20%
Q2 2025$31.6M+19%
Q1 2025-$7.3M-381%
Q4 2024$16.9M-31%

USPH generated $69M in free cash flow over the past year, up 21% from the year before.

OSCR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.9%+13M shares
1 year+34%+87.2M shares
3 years+55%+123M shares
5 years+66%+138M shares
Available history+71%+143M shares

OSCR has 346M diluted shares, up 34% from a year ago.

USPH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 14MQ1 2024: 15MQ2 2024: 15MQ3 2024: 15MQ4 2024: 15MQ1 2025: 15MQ2 2025: 15MQ3 2025: 15MQ4 2025: 15MQ1 2026: 15MQ2 2026: 15MQ3 2026: 15M
Q4 2023: 14MQ1 2024: 15MQ2 2024: 15MQ3 2024: 15MQ4 2024: 15MQ1 2025: 15MQ2 2025: 15MQ3 2025: 15MQ4 2025: 15MQ1 2026: 15MQ2 2026: 15MQ3 2026: 15M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.9%-142K shares
1 year-1.8%-276K shares
3 years-0.4%-59K shares
5 years+16%+2M shares
Available history+17%+2.2M shares

USPH has the edge over OSCR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

OSCR Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-5.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-110.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-9.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-13.7xNet Cash
Q3 2024-10.1xNet Cash
Q2 2024-24.0xNet Cash
Q1 2024-217.7xNet Cash

OSCR has the edge over USPH on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

USPH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.5xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.3xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 1.2xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ2 2026: 2.0xQ3 2026: 2.1x
Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.5xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.3xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 1.2xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ2 2026: 2.0xQ3 2026: 2.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.1xModerate
Q2 20262.0xHealthy
Q1 20261.7xHealthy
Q4 20251.2xHealthy
Q3 20251.2xHealthy
Q2 20251.3xHealthy
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20241.4xHealthy

USPH's net debt is about 2.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.2 years a year ago.

OSCR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.7Neutral
Stochastic44.9Neutral

OSCR's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).

USPH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI72.9Overbought
Stochastic86.8Overbought

USPH's weekly RSI is 73 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 87 (overbought).

OSCR PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricOSCRSector medianRelative
PE13x26x50% below
PE %33532 pts below

OSCR is trading at 13x earnings, a 50% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.

USPH PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricUSPHSector medianRelative
PEN/A26x—

USPH has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

OSCR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$31.22.3% above
20 week MA$31.12.8% above
50 week MA$22.939% above
100 week MA$19.365% above
200 week MA$15.5106% above

OSCR is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 106% above its 200-week average.

USPH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$88.911% above
20 week MA$82.120% above
50 week MA$78.126% above
100 week MA$79.125% above
200 week MA$88.412% above

USPH has climbed back above all five of its weekly moving averages, and it's now 12% above its 200-week average.

OSCR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$31.0$8.02-74%
2022$8.02$2.21-72%
2023$2.21$9.15+314%
2024$9.15$13.8+51%
2025$13.8$14.9+8%
2026 YTD$14.9$31.9+114%

OSCR has the edge over USPH on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

USPH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$114.0$120.9+6%
2021$120.9$95.7-21%
2022$95.7$81.4-15%
2023$81.4$93.1+14%
2024$93.1$90.9-2.4%
2025$90.9$81.0-11%
2026 YTD$81.0$98.6+22%

USPH has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's up 22% so far in 2026.

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