OSCR

Oscar Health, Inc.

69
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

OSCR has the edge over UHS overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

UHS

Universal Health Services, Inc.

65
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation71/ 100
Upside potential49/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

UHS has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

OSCR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Strong
Strong

OSCR's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

UHS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Stable

UHS's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.

OSCR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$31.94—
Current13x$31.94—
Cheap21x$52.73+65%
Fair35x$87.23+173%
Expensive130x$322+907%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

OSCR has the edge over UHS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

UHS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.8x9.5x14x19x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.8x9.5x14x19x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current8.1x$194—
Forward8.6x$194—
Cheap9.7x$231+19%
Fair12x$296+53%
Expensive15x$367+89%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UHS's PE is in its cheap range at 8.1x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 8.6x.

OSCR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

OSCR has the edge over UHS on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

UHS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Deteriorating
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect UHS's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.

OSCR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$49.45
Downside-35%$20.78

Calculated from the latest close: $31.94 on Nov 12.

OSCR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than UHS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

UHS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$229.91
Downside-19%$156.21

Calculated from the latest close: $193.84 on Nov 12.

UHS trails OSCR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

OSCR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.61+5.6%
Q3 2026$2.47+$3.47
Q2 2026$1.45+$2.14
Q1 2026-$0.54-235%
Q4 2025-$1.69-1790%
Q3 2025-$1.00-$0.92
Q2 2025-$0.69-$0.54
Q1 2025$0.40+$0.82
Q4 2024$0.10+$1.32

OSCR has returned to profit: it earned $2.47 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

UHS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $10.23Q1 2024: $11.77Q2 2024: $13.61Q3 2024: $15.01Q4 2024: $16.82Q1 2025: $17.80Q2 2025: $18.97Q3 2025: $21.03Q4 2025: $23.10Q1 2026: $23.95Q2 2026: $24.50Q3 2026: $23.86Forward: $22.52
Q4 2023: $10.23Q1 2024: $11.77Q2 2024: $13.61Q3 2024: $15.01Q4 2024: $16.82Q1 2025: $17.80Q2 2025: $18.97Q3 2025: $21.03Q4 2025: $23.10Q1 2026: $23.95Q2 2026: $24.50Q3 2026: $23.86Forward: $22.52
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$22.52-5.6%
Q3 2026$23.86+13%
Q2 2026$24.50+29%
Q1 2026$23.95+35%
Q4 2025$23.10+37%
Q3 2025$21.03+40%
Q2 2025$18.97+39%
Q1 2025$17.80+51%
Q4 2024$16.82+64%

UHS has the edge over OSCR on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

OSCR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.1B+72%
Q2 2026$4.9B+70%
Q1 2026$4.6B+53%
Q4 2025$2.8B+17%
Q3 2025$3B+23%
Q2 2025$2.9B+29%
Q1 2025$3B+42%
Q4 2024$2.4B+67%

OSCR has the edge over UHS on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

UHS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3.7BQ1 2024: $3.8BQ2 2024: $3.9BQ3 2024: $4BQ4 2024: $4.1BQ1 2025: $4.1BQ2 2025: $4.3BQ3 2025: $4.5BQ4 2025: $4.5BQ1 2026: $4.5BQ2 2026: $4.6BQ3 2026: $4.7B
Q4 2023: $3.7BQ1 2024: $3.8BQ2 2024: $3.9BQ3 2024: $4BQ4 2024: $4.1BQ1 2025: $4.1BQ2 2025: $4.3BQ3 2025: $4.5BQ4 2025: $4.5BQ1 2026: $4.5BQ2 2026: $4.6BQ3 2026: $4.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4.7B+5.3%
Q2 2026$4.6B+8.3%
Q1 2026$4.5B+9.6%
Q4 2025$4.5B+9.1%
Q3 2025$4.5B+13%
Q2 2025$4.3B+9.6%
Q1 2025$4.1B+6.7%
Q4 2024$4.1B+11%

UHS's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $4.7B last quarter, up 5.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

OSCR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.2B-$238.2M
Q2 2026$2.1B+316%
Q1 2026$2.6B+200%
Q4 2025$662.8M+95%
Q3 2025-$973.7M-$466M
Q2 2025$499.8M+2.1%
Q1 2025$869.5M+38%
Q4 2024$340M+17%

OSCR has the edge over UHS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

UHS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $246MQ1 2024: $188MQ2 2024: $438MQ3 2024: $85MQ4 2024: $412MQ1 2025: $121MQ2 2025: $283MQ3 2025: $152MQ4 2025: $293MQ1 2026: $184MQ2 2026: $216MQ3 2026: $422M
Q4 2023: $246MQ1 2024: $188MQ2 2024: $438MQ3 2024: $85MQ4 2024: $412MQ1 2025: $121MQ2 2025: $283MQ3 2025: $152MQ4 2025: $293MQ1 2026: $184MQ2 2026: $216MQ3 2026: $422M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$421.6M+178%
Q2 2026$215.7M-24%
Q1 2026$184.5M+52%
Q4 2025$293.5M-29%
Q3 2025$151.8M+78%
Q2 2025$283M-35%
Q1 2025$121M-36%
Q4 2024$412.5M+68%

UHS still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $1.1B over the past year.

OSCR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.9%+13M shares
1 year+34%+87.2M shares
3 years+55%+123M shares
5 years+66%+138M shares
Available history+71%+143M shares

OSCR has 346M diluted shares, up 34% from a year ago.

UHS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 70MQ1 2024: 68MQ2 2024: 68MQ3 2024: 68MQ4 2024: 68MQ1 2025: 66MQ2 2025: 65MQ3 2025: 64MQ4 2025: 64MQ1 2026: 62MQ2 2026: 60MQ3 2026: 59M
Q4 2023: 70MQ1 2024: 68MQ2 2024: 68MQ3 2024: 68MQ4 2024: 68MQ1 2025: 66MQ2 2025: 65MQ3 2025: 64MQ4 2025: 64MQ1 2026: 62MQ2 2026: 60MQ3 2026: 59M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.3%-765K shares
1 year-7.1%-4.5M shares
3 years-15%-10.5M shares
5 years-29%-24.5M shares
Available history-34%-29.9M shares

UHS has the edge over OSCR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

OSCR Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-5.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-110.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-9.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-13.7xNet Cash
Q3 2024-10.1xNet Cash
Q2 2024-24.0xNet Cash
Q1 2024-217.7xNet Cash

OSCR has the edge over UHS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

UHS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.2xQ3 2024: 2.1xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.9xQ2 2025: 1.9xQ3 2025: 1.8xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ2 2026: 1.8xQ3 2026: 2.1x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.2xQ3 2024: 2.1xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.9xQ2 2025: 1.9xQ3 2025: 1.8xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ2 2026: 1.8xQ3 2026: 2.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.1xModerate
Q2 20261.8xHealthy
Q1 20261.7xHealthy
Q4 20251.8xHealthy
Q3 20251.8xHealthy
Q2 20251.9xHealthy
Q1 20251.9xHealthy
Q4 20241.9xHealthy

UHS's net debt is about 2.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.8 years a year ago.

OSCR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.7Neutral
Stochastic44.9Neutral

OSCR's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).

UHS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI60.4Neutral
Stochastic71.1Neutral

UHS's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 71 (neutral).

OSCR PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricOSCRSector medianRelative
PE13x26x50% below
PE %33532 pts below

OSCR is trading at 13x earnings, a 50% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.

UHS PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricUHSSector medianRelative
PE8.1x26x69% below
PE %92920 pts below

UHS has the edge over OSCR on valuation relative to its sector.

OSCR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$31.22.3% above
20 week MA$31.12.8% above
50 week MA$22.939% above
100 week MA$19.365% above
200 week MA$15.5106% above

OSCR is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 106% above its 200-week average.

UHS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$183.75.5% above
20 week MA$173.612% above
50 week MA$183.25.8% above
100 week MA$185.24.7% above
200 week MA$174.611% above

UHS is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% above its 200-week average.

OSCR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$31.0$8.02-74%
2022$8.02$2.21-72%
2023$2.21$9.15+314%
2024$9.15$13.8+51%
2025$13.8$14.9+8%
2026 YTD$14.9$31.9+114%

OSCR has the edge over UHS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

UHS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$143.4$136.9-4.5%
2021$136.9$128.1-6.4%
2022$128.1$140.8+9.9%
2023$140.8$152.4+8.3%
2024$152.4$180.5+18%
2025$180.5$227.6+26%
2026 YTD$227.6$193.8-15%

UHS has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 15% so far in 2026.

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