OSCR

Oscar Health, Inc.

69
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

OSCR offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

TMDX

TransMedics Group, Inc.

69
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation75/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential32/ 100

TMDX has a slight edge over OSCR overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

OSCR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Strong
Strong

OSCR's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

TMDX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Stable
Strong

TMDX's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

OSCR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$31.94—
Current13x$31.94—
Cheap21x$52.73+65%
Fair35x$87.23+173%
Expensive130x$322+907%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

OSCR has the edge over TMDX in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

TMDX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1142x2284x3425x4567x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1142x2284x3425x4567x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap21x$75.93-17%
Current25x$92.00—
Forward41x$92.00—
Fair59x$217+136%
Expensive91x$335+264%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TMDX's PE is in its cheap range at 25x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 41x.

OSCR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

OSCR has the edge over TMDX on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and profitability expectations.

TMDX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for TMDX, but weaker profitability. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

OSCR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$49.45
Downside-35%$20.78

Calculated from the latest close: $31.94 on Nov 12.

OSCR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TMDX, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TMDX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+43%$131.37
Downside-32%$62.17

Calculated from the latest close: $92.00 on Nov 12.

TMDX trails OSCR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

OSCR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.61+5.6%
Q3 2026$2.47+$3.47
Q2 2026$1.45+$2.14
Q1 2026-$0.54-235%
Q4 2025-$1.69-1790%
Q3 2025-$1.00-$0.92
Q2 2025-$0.69-$0.54
Q1 2025$0.40+$0.82
Q4 2024$0.10+$1.32

OSCR has returned to profit: it earned $2.47 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

TMDX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.77Q1 2024: $-0.34Q2 2024: $0.04Q3 2024: $0.94Q4 2024: $1.01Q1 2025: $1.36Q2 2025: $1.93Q3 2025: $2.47Q4 2025: $4.87Q1 2026: $4.37Q2 2026: $3.86Q3 2026: $3.66Forward: $2.22
Q4 2023: $-0.77Q1 2024: $-0.34Q2 2024: $0.04Q3 2024: $0.94Q4 2024: $1.01Q1 2025: $1.36Q2 2025: $1.93Q3 2025: $2.47Q4 2025: $4.87Q1 2026: $4.37Q2 2026: $3.86Q3 2026: $3.66Forward: $2.22
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.22-39%
Q3 2026$3.66+48%
Q2 2026$3.86+100%
Q1 2026$4.37+221%
Q4 2025$4.87+382%
Q3 2025$2.47+163%
Q2 2025$1.93+4725%
Q1 2025$1.36+$1.70
Q4 2024$1.01+$1.78

TMDX has the edge over OSCR on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

OSCR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.1B+72%
Q2 2026$4.9B+70%
Q1 2026$4.6B+53%
Q4 2025$2.8B+17%
Q3 2025$3B+23%
Q2 2025$2.9B+29%
Q1 2025$3B+42%
Q4 2024$2.4B+67%

OSCR has the edge over TMDX on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

TMDX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $81MQ1 2024: $97MQ2 2024: $114MQ3 2024: $109MQ4 2024: $122MQ1 2025: $144MQ2 2025: $157MQ3 2025: $144MQ4 2025: $161MQ1 2026: $174MQ2 2026: $190MQ3 2026: $203M
Q4 2023: $81MQ1 2024: $97MQ2 2024: $114MQ3 2024: $109MQ4 2024: $122MQ1 2025: $144MQ2 2025: $157MQ3 2025: $144MQ4 2025: $161MQ1 2026: $174MQ2 2026: $190MQ3 2026: $203M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$203M+41%
Q2 2026$189.9M+21%
Q1 2026$173.9M+21%
Q4 2025$160.8M+32%
Q3 2025$143.8M+32%
Q2 2025$157.4M+38%
Q1 2025$143.5M+48%
Q4 2024$121.6M+50%

TMDX's revenue has grown year over year for 20 quarters in a row: $203M last quarter, up 41% from the same quarter a year ago.

OSCR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.2B-$238.2M
Q2 2026$2.1B+316%
Q1 2026$2.6B+200%
Q4 2025$662.8M+95%
Q3 2025-$973.7M-$466M
Q2 2025$499.8M+2.1%
Q1 2025$869.5M+38%
Q4 2024$340M+17%

OSCR usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$1.2B, but it generated $4.1B over the past year.

TMDX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$34MQ1 2024: −$48MQ2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: −$41MQ4 2024: $6MQ1 2025: −$30MQ2 2025: $83MQ3 2025: $62MQ4 2025: $19MQ1 2026: −$12MQ2 2026: $10MQ3 2026: $28M
Q4 2023: −$34MQ1 2024: −$48MQ2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: −$41MQ4 2024: $6MQ1 2025: −$30MQ2 2025: $83MQ3 2025: $62MQ4 2025: $19MQ1 2026: −$12MQ2 2026: $10MQ3 2026: $28M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$27.6M-55%
Q2 2026$10.2M-88%
Q1 2026-$12.1M+$17.8M
Q4 2025$19M+214%
Q3 2025$61.9M+$103.3M
Q2 2025$82.5M+4122%
Q1 2025-$29.9M+$17.7M
Q4 2024$6.1M+$39.6M

TMDX has burned cash in most quarters: $45M over the past year, down 63% from the year before.

OSCR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.9%+13M shares
1 year+34%+87.2M shares
3 years+55%+123M shares
5 years+66%+138M shares
Available history+71%+143M shares

OSCR has 346M diluted shares, up 34% from a year ago.

TMDX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 33MQ1 2024: 35MQ2 2024: 35MQ3 2024: 36MQ4 2024: 35MQ1 2025: 40MQ2 2025: 41MQ3 2025: 41MQ4 2025: 41MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 41MQ3 2026: 41M
Q4 2023: 33MQ1 2024: 35MQ2 2024: 35MQ3 2024: 36MQ4 2024: 35MQ1 2025: 40MQ2 2025: 41MQ3 2025: 41MQ4 2025: 41MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 41MQ3 2026: 41M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+124K shares
1 year+0.2%+85.2K shares
3 years+25%+8.2M shares
5 years+47%+13.1M shares
Available history+92%+19.6M shares

TMDX has the edge over OSCR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

OSCR Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-5.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-110.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-9.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-13.7xNet Cash
Q3 2024-10.1xNet Cash
Q2 2024-24.0xNet Cash
Q1 2024-217.7xNet Cash

OSCR has the edge over TMDX on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

TMDX Net Leverage

Q2 2024: -26.7xQ3 2024: -6.7xQ4 2024: -5.9xQ1 2025: -4.2xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -3.8xQ4 2025: -3.5xQ1 2026: -3.5xQ2 2026: -3.8xQ3 2026: -3.5x
Q2 2024: -26.7xQ3 2024: -6.7xQ4 2024: -5.9xQ1 2025: -4.2xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -3.8xQ4 2025: -3.5xQ1 2026: -3.5xQ2 2026: -3.8xQ3 2026: -3.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-3.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.5xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.8xNet Cash
Q2 2025-4.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-4.2xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.9xNet Cash

TMDX has more cash than debt.

OSCR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.7Neutral
Stochastic44.9Neutral

OSCR's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).

TMDX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.8Neutral
Stochastic54.9Neutral

TMDX's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 55 (neutral).

OSCR PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricOSCRSector medianRelative
PE13x26x50% below
PE %33532 pts below

OSCR has the edge over TMDX on valuation relative to its sector.

TMDX PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricTMDXSector medianRelative
PE25x26x2.7% below
PE %2929Same percentile

TMDX is trading at 25x earnings, in line with the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

OSCR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$31.22.3% above
20 week MA$31.12.8% above
50 week MA$22.939% above
100 week MA$19.365% above
200 week MA$15.5106% above

OSCR has the edge over TMDX on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

TMDX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$78.817% above
20 week MA$80.414% above
50 week MA$98.16.2% below
100 week MA$99.87.9% below
200 week MA$96.24.4% below

TMDX has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8- and 20-week averages, but 4.4% below its 200-week average.

OSCR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$31.0$8.02-74%
2022$8.02$2.21-72%
2023$2.21$9.15+314%
2024$9.15$13.8+51%
2025$13.8$14.9+8%
2026 YTD$14.9$31.9+114%

OSCR has the edge over TMDX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TMDX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$18.6$18.8+1%
2021$18.8$21.0+12%
2022$21.0$59.5+183%
2023$59.5$78.9+33%
2024$78.9$61.0-23%
2025$61.0$124.2+104%
2026 YTD$124.2$92.0-26%

TMDX has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 26% so far in 2026.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key