OSCR

Oscar Health, Inc.

69
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

OSCR has the edge over TLRY overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

TLRY

Tilray Brands, Inc.

56
Fundamentals68/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential39/ 100

TLRY offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

OSCR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Strong
Strong

OSCR's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

TLRY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

TLRY's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

OSCR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$31.94—
Current13x$31.94—
Cheap21x$52.73+65%
Fair35x$87.23+173%
Expensive130x$322+907%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

OSCR's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

TLRY PE Valuation

TLRY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

OSCR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for OSCR, with profitability improving.

TLRY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect TLRY's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

OSCR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$49.45
Downside-35%$20.78

Calculated from the latest close: $31.94 on Nov 12.

OSCR trails TLRY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TLRY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+67%$4.17
Downside-39%$1.51

Calculated from the latest close: $2.49 on Nov 12.

TLRY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than OSCR, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

OSCR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.61+5.6%
Q3 2026$2.47+$3.47
Q2 2026$1.45+$2.14
Q1 2026-$0.54-235%
Q4 2025-$1.69-1790%
Q3 2025-$1.00-$0.92
Q2 2025-$0.69-$0.54
Q1 2025$0.40+$0.82
Q4 2024$0.10+$1.32

OSCR has the edge over TLRY on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

TLRY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-22.80Q1 2024: $-5.00Q2 2024: $-3.30Q3 2024: $-2.70Q4 2024: $-3.00Q1 2025: $-10.50Q2 2025: $-24.60Q3 2025: $-24.20Q4 2025: $-23.61Q1 2026: $-15.15Q2 2026: $-1.09Q3 2026: $-1.41
Q4 2023: $-22.80Q1 2024: $-5.00Q2 2024: $-3.30Q3 2024: $-2.70Q4 2024: $-3.00Q1 2025: $-10.50Q2 2025: $-24.60Q3 2025: $-24.20Q4 2025: $-23.61Q1 2026: $-15.15Q2 2026: $-1.09Q3 2026: $-1.41
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.41+$22.79
Q2 2026-$1.09+$23.51
Q1 2026-$15.15-$4.65
Q4 2025-$23.61-$20.61
Q3 2025-$24.20-$21.50
Q2 2025-$24.60-$21.30
Q1 2025-$10.50-$5.50
Q4 2024-$3.00+$19.80

TLRY is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.41 per share over the past year, against $58.23 at its worst in mid-2020.

OSCR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.1B+72%
Q2 2026$4.9B+70%
Q1 2026$4.6B+53%
Q4 2025$2.8B+17%
Q3 2025$3B+23%
Q2 2025$2.9B+29%
Q1 2025$3B+42%
Q4 2024$2.4B+67%

OSCR has the edge over TLRY on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TLRY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $194MQ1 2024: $188MQ2 2024: $230MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $211MQ1 2025: $186MQ2 2025: $225MQ3 2025: $210MQ4 2025: $218MQ1 2026: $207MQ2 2026: $282MQ3 2026: $257M
Q4 2023: $194MQ1 2024: $188MQ2 2024: $230MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $211MQ1 2025: $186MQ2 2025: $225MQ3 2025: $210MQ4 2025: $218MQ1 2026: $207MQ2 2026: $282MQ3 2026: $257M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$257.1M+23%
Q2 2026$281.7M+25%
Q1 2026$206.7M+11%
Q4 2025$217.5M+3.1%
Q3 2025$209.5M+4.7%
Q2 2025$224.5M-2.3%
Q1 2025$185.8M-1.4%
Q4 2024$211M+8.9%

TLRY's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $257M last quarter, up 23% from the same quarter a year ago.

OSCR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.2B-$238.2M
Q2 2026$2.1B+316%
Q1 2026$2.6B+200%
Q4 2025$662.8M+95%
Q3 2025-$973.7M-$466M
Q2 2025$499.8M+2.1%
Q1 2025$869.5M+38%
Q4 2024$340M+17%

OSCR has the edge over TLRY on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

TLRY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$36MQ1 2024: −$25MQ2 2024: $21MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$46MQ1 2025: −$20MQ2 2025: −$19MQ3 2025: −$1MQ4 2025: −$9MQ1 2026: −$22MQ2 2026: −$37MQ3 2026: −$17M
Q4 2023: −$36MQ1 2024: −$25MQ2 2024: $21MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$46MQ1 2025: −$20MQ2 2025: −$19MQ3 2025: −$1MQ4 2025: −$9MQ1 2026: −$22MQ2 2026: −$37MQ3 2026: −$17M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$16.5M-$15.2M
Q2 2026-$37.3M-$18.2M
Q1 2026-$21.9M-$1.8M
Q4 2025-$8.5M+$37.6M
Q3 2025-$1.3M+$40.7M
Q2 2025-$19.1M-191%
Q1 2025-$20.2M+$4.7M
Q4 2024-$46.2M-$9.9M

TLRY has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$84M over the past year, against −$87M the year before.

OSCR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.9%+13M shares
1 year+34%+87.2M shares
3 years+55%+123M shares
5 years+66%+138M shares
Available history+71%+143M shares

OSCR has 346M diluted shares, up 34% from a year ago.

TLRY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 73MQ1 2024: 75MQ2 2024: 74MQ3 2024: 88MQ4 2024: 86MQ1 2025: 91MQ2 2025: 89MQ3 2025: 106MQ4 2025: 110MQ1 2026: 113MQ2 2026: 112MQ3 2026: 133M
Q4 2023: 73MQ1 2024: 75MQ2 2024: 74MQ3 2024: 88MQ4 2024: 86MQ1 2025: 91MQ2 2025: 89MQ3 2025: 106MQ4 2025: 110MQ1 2026: 113MQ2 2026: 112MQ3 2026: 133M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+19%+21.5M shares
1 year+26%+27.3M shares
3 years+93%+64.2M shares
5 years+197%+88.4M shares
Available history+1484%+125M shares

TLRY has the edge over OSCR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

OSCR Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-5.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-110.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-9.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-13.7xNet Cash
Q3 2024-10.1xNet Cash
Q2 2024-24.0xNet Cash
Q1 2024-217.7xNet Cash

OSCR has more cash than debt.

TLRY Net Leverage

TLRY's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

OSCR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.7Neutral
Stochastic44.9Neutral

OSCR's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).

TLRY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI28.0Oversold
Stochastic6.8Oversold

TLRY's weekly RSI is 28 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

OSCR PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricOSCRSector medianRelative
PE13x26x50% below
PE %33532 pts below

OSCR is trading at 13x earnings, a 50% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.

TLRY PE vs Healthcare Sector

TLRY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

OSCR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$31.22.3% above
20 week MA$31.12.8% above
50 week MA$22.939% above
100 week MA$19.365% above
200 week MA$15.5106% above

OSCR has the edge over TLRY on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

TLRY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.1320% below
20 week MA$3.9036% below
50 week MA$5.8958% below
100 week MA$7.3966% below
200 week MA$13.982% below

TLRY is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 82% below its 200-week average.

OSCR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$31.0$8.02-74%
2022$8.02$2.21-72%
2023$2.21$9.15+314%
2024$9.15$13.8+51%
2025$13.8$14.9+8%
2026 YTD$14.9$31.9+114%

OSCR has the edge over TLRY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TLRY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$162.8$85.9-47%
2021$85.9$78.4-8.7%
2022$78.4$27.9-64%
2023$27.9$23.0-18%
2024$23.0$14.3-38%
2025$14.3$9.60-33%
2026 YTD$9.60$2.49-74%

TLRY has finished every year since 2020 lower, and it's down 74% so far in 2026.

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