OSCR

Oscar Health, Inc.

69
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

OSCR has the edge over STVN overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

STVN

Stevanato Group S.p.A.

54
Fundamentals52/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

STVN has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

OSCR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Strong
Strong

OSCR's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

STVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy

STVN's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

OSCR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$31.94—
Current13x$31.94—
Cheap21x$52.73+65%
Fair35x$87.23+173%
Expensive130x$322+907%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

OSCR has the edge over STVN in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

STVN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x30x44x59x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x30x44x59x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current27x$14.36—
Cheap31x$16.55+15%
Fair39x$20.56+43%
Expensive49x$25.80+80%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

STVN's PE is 27x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

OSCR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

OSCR has the edge over STVN on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

STVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect STVN's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

OSCR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$49.45
Downside-35%$20.78

Calculated from the latest close: $31.94 on Nov 12.

OSCR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than STVN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

STVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+40%$20.16
Downside-29%$10.26

Calculated from the latest close: $14.36 on Nov 12.

STVN trails OSCR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

OSCR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.61+5.6%
Q3 2026$2.47+$3.47
Q2 2026$1.45+$2.14
Q1 2026-$0.54-235%
Q4 2025-$1.69-1790%
Q3 2025-$1.00-$0.92
Q2 2025-$0.69-$0.54
Q1 2025$0.40+$0.82
Q4 2024$0.10+$1.32

OSCR has returned to profit: it earned $2.47 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

STVN Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.62Q4 2023: $0.62Q1 2024: $0.58Q2 2024: $0.52Q3 2024: $0.47Q4 2024: $0.49Q1 2025: $0.52Q2 2025: $0.56Q3 2025: $0.58Q4 2025: $0.57Q1 2026: $0.57Q2 2026: $0.53
Q3 2023: $0.62Q4 2023: $0.62Q1 2024: $0.58Q2 2024: $0.52Q3 2024: $0.47Q4 2024: $0.49Q1 2025: $0.52Q2 2025: $0.56Q3 2025: $0.58Q4 2025: $0.57Q1 2026: $0.57Q2 2026: $0.53
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$0.53-5.4%
Q1 2026$0.57+9.6%
Q4 2025$0.57+16%
Q3 2025$0.58+23%
Q2 2025$0.56+7.7%
Q1 2025$0.52-10%
Q4 2024$0.49-21%
Q3 2024$0.47-24%

STVN earned $0.53 per share over the past year, down 5.4% from the year before.

OSCR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.1B+72%
Q2 2026$4.9B+70%
Q1 2026$4.6B+53%
Q4 2025$2.8B+17%
Q3 2025$3B+23%
Q2 2025$2.9B+29%
Q1 2025$3B+42%
Q4 2024$2.4B+67%

OSCR has the edge over STVN on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

STVN Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $302MQ4 2023: $356MQ1 2024: $262MQ2 2024: $288MQ3 2024: $309MQ4 2024: $367MQ1 2025: $285MQ2 2025: $311MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $381MQ1 2026: $304MQ2 2026: $335M
Q3 2023: $302MQ4 2023: $356MQ1 2024: $262MQ2 2024: $288MQ3 2024: $309MQ4 2024: $367MQ1 2025: $285MQ2 2025: $311MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $381MQ1 2026: $304MQ2 2026: $335M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$335.5M+7.8%
Q1 2026$303.9M+6.6%
Q4 2025$381.3M+3.8%
Q3 2025$336.8M+9.1%
Q2 2025$311.1M+7.9%
Q1 2025$285.1M+8.7%
Q4 2024$367.3M+3.1%
Q3 2024$308.7M+2.4%

STVN's revenue has grown year over year for nine quarters in a row: $335M last quarter, up 7.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

OSCR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.2B-$238.2M
Q2 2026$2.1B+316%
Q1 2026$2.6B+200%
Q4 2025$662.8M+95%
Q3 2025-$973.7M-$466M
Q2 2025$499.8M+2.1%
Q1 2025$869.5M+38%
Q4 2024$340M+17%

OSCR has the edge over STVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

STVN Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$289MQ4 2023: −$85MQ1 2024: −$35MQ2 2024: −$52MQ3 2024: −$122MQ4 2024: −$50MQ1 2025: $31MQ2 2025: −$17MQ3 2025: −$1MQ4 2025: $5MQ1 2026: $5MQ2 2026: −$38M
Q3 2023: −$289MQ4 2023: −$85MQ1 2024: −$35MQ2 2024: −$52MQ3 2024: −$122MQ4 2024: −$50MQ1 2025: $31MQ2 2025: −$17MQ3 2025: −$1MQ4 2025: $5MQ1 2026: $5MQ2 2026: −$38M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$37.6M-$20.6M
Q1 2026$5.3M-83%
Q4 2025$5.2M+$55.4M
Q3 2025-$1.3M+$121.2M
Q2 2025-$17.1M+$34.6M
Q1 2025$31.2M+$65.7M
Q4 2024-$50.3M+$35.2M
Q3 2024-$122.5M+$166.1M

STVN has burned cash in most quarters: −$28M over the past year, against −$159M the year before.

OSCR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.9%+13M shares
1 year+34%+87.2M shares
3 years+55%+123M shares
5 years+66%+138M shares
Available history+71%+143M shares

OSCR has 346M diluted shares, up 34% from a year ago.

STVN Total Shares

Q3 2023: 265MQ4 2023: 266MQ1 2024: 266MQ2 2024: 273MQ3 2024: 273MQ4 2024: 273MQ1 2025: 273MQ2 2025: 273MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 273MQ1 2026: 273MQ2 2026: 273M
Q3 2023: 265MQ4 2023: 266MQ1 2024: 266MQ2 2024: 273MQ3 2024: 273MQ4 2024: 273MQ1 2025: 273MQ2 2025: 273MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 273MQ1 2026: 273MQ2 2026: 273M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-21.1K shares
1 year0%+77K shares
3 years+2.9%+7.6M shares
5 years-9.1%-27.4M shares
Available history-7.4%-21.8M shares

STVN has the edge over OSCR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

OSCR Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-5.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-110.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-9.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-13.7xNet Cash
Q3 2024-10.1xNet Cash
Q2 2024-24.0xNet Cash
Q1 2024-217.7xNet Cash

OSCR has the edge over STVN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

STVN Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 0.8xQ4 2023: 1.2xQ1 2024: 0.7xQ2 2024: 1.0xQ3 2024: 1.0xQ4 2024: 1.1xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 1.2xQ1 2026: 1.1xQ2 2026: 1.2x
Q3 2023: 0.8xQ4 2023: 1.2xQ1 2024: 0.7xQ2 2024: 1.0xQ3 2024: 1.0xQ4 2024: 1.1xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 1.2xQ1 2026: 1.1xQ2 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20261.2xHealthy
Q1 20261.1xHealthy
Q4 20251.2xHealthy
Q3 20251.2xHealthy
Q2 20251.0xHealthy
Q1 20251.0xHealthy
Q4 20241.1xHealthy
Q3 20241.0xHealthy

STVN's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from a year a year ago.

OSCR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.7Neutral
Stochastic44.9Neutral

OSCR's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).

STVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.2Neutral
Stochastic17.5Oversold

STVN's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

OSCR PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricOSCRSector medianRelative
PE13x26x50% below
PE %33532 pts below

OSCR has the edge over STVN on valuation relative to its sector.

STVN PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricSTVNSector medianRelative
PE27x26x4.2% above
PE %63832 pts below

STVN is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.

OSCR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$31.22.3% above
20 week MA$31.12.8% above
50 week MA$22.939% above
100 week MA$19.365% above
200 week MA$15.5106% above

OSCR has the edge over STVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

STVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$18.322% below
20 week MA$19.627% below
50 week MA$18.221% below
100 week MA$20.730% below
200 week MA$23.138% below

STVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 38% below its 200-week average.

OSCR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$31.0$8.02-74%
2022$8.02$2.21-72%
2023$2.21$9.15+314%
2024$9.15$13.8+51%
2025$13.8$14.9+8%
2026 YTD$14.9$31.9+114%

OSCR has the edge over STVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

STVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$19.7$23.3+19%
2022$23.3$17.9-23%
2023$17.9$27.3+53%
2024$27.3$21.6-21%
2025$21.6$20.7-4.2%
2026 YTD$20.7$14.4-31%

STVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 31% so far in 2026.

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