OSCR

Oscar Health, Inc.

69
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

OSCR offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

SMCI

Super Micro Computer, Inc.

85
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential90/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

SMCI has the edge over OSCR overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

OSCR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Strong
Strong

OSCR's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

SMCI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Weak
Strong

SMCI's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently strong, but its cash flow is weak.

OSCR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$31.94—
Current13x$31.94—
Cheap21x$52.73+65%
Fair35x$87.23+173%
Expensive130x$322+907%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

OSCR's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

SMCI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE23x46x70x93x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE23x46x70x93x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward4.3x$26.99—
Current5.7x$26.99—
Cheap13x$61.50+128%
Fair19x$88.86+229%
Expensive26x$125+363%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SMCI has the edge over OSCR in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

OSCR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for OSCR, with profitability improving.

SMCI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for SMCI, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

OSCR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$49.45
Downside-35%$20.78

Calculated from the latest close: $31.94 on Nov 12.

OSCR trails SMCI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

SMCI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+268%$99.45
Downside-29%$19.23

Calculated from the latest close: $26.99 on Nov 12.

SMCI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than OSCR, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

OSCR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.61+5.6%
Q3 2026$2.47+$3.47
Q2 2026$1.45+$2.14
Q1 2026-$0.54-235%
Q4 2025-$1.69-1790%
Q3 2025-$1.00-$0.92
Q2 2025-$0.69-$0.54
Q1 2025$0.40+$0.82
Q4 2024$0.10+$1.32

OSCR has returned to profit: it earned $2.47 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

SMCI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.28Q1 2024: $1.78Q2 2024: $1.92Q3 2024: $2.32Q4 2024: $2.32Q1 2025: $1.83Q2 2025: $1.68Q3 2025: $1.27Q4 2025: $1.36Q1 2026: $1.91Q2 2026: $3.26Q3 2026: $4.75Forward: $6.22
Q4 2023: $1.28Q1 2024: $1.78Q2 2024: $1.92Q3 2024: $2.32Q4 2024: $2.32Q1 2025: $1.83Q2 2025: $1.68Q3 2025: $1.27Q4 2025: $1.36Q1 2026: $1.91Q2 2026: $3.26Q3 2026: $4.75Forward: $6.22
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.22+31%
Q3 2026$4.75+274%
Q2 2026$3.26+94%
Q1 2026$1.91+4.4%
Q4 2025$1.36-41%
Q3 2025$1.27-45%
Q2 2025$1.68-13%
Q1 2025$1.83+2.8%
Q4 2024$2.32+81%

SMCI has the edge over OSCR on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

OSCR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.1B+72%
Q2 2026$4.9B+70%
Q1 2026$4.6B+53%
Q4 2025$2.8B+17%
Q3 2025$3B+23%
Q2 2025$2.9B+29%
Q1 2025$3B+42%
Q4 2024$2.4B+67%

OSCR's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2021: $5.1B last quarter, up 72% from the same quarter a year ago.

SMCI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3.7BQ1 2024: $3.9BQ2 2024: $5.4BQ3 2024: $5.9BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $5.8BQ3 2025: $5BQ4 2025: $12.7BQ1 2026: $10.2BQ2 2026: $11.1BQ3 2026: $19.9B
Q4 2023: $3.7BQ1 2024: $3.9BQ2 2024: $5.4BQ3 2024: $5.9BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $5.8BQ3 2025: $5BQ4 2025: $12.7BQ1 2026: $10.2BQ2 2026: $11.1BQ3 2026: $19.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$19.9B+298%
Q2 2026$11.1B+93%
Q1 2026$10.2B+123%
Q4 2025$12.7B+123%
Q3 2025$5B-15%
Q2 2025$5.8B+7.5%
Q1 2025$4.6B+19%
Q4 2024$5.7B+55%

SMCI's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $19.9B last quarter, up 298% from the same quarter a year ago.

OSCR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.2B-$238.2M
Q2 2026$2.1B+316%
Q1 2026$2.6B+200%
Q4 2025$662.8M+95%
Q3 2025-$973.7M-$466M
Q2 2025$499.8M+2.1%
Q1 2025$869.5M+38%
Q4 2024$340M+17%

OSCR has the edge over SMCI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

SMCI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$610MQ1 2024: −$1.6BQ2 2024: −$656MQ3 2024: $365MQ4 2024: −$267MQ1 2025: $594MQ2 2025: $841MQ3 2025: −$950MQ4 2025: −$45MQ1 2026: −$6.7BQ2 2026: $719MQ3 2026: −$476M
Q4 2023: −$610MQ1 2024: −$1.6BQ2 2024: −$656MQ3 2024: $365MQ4 2024: −$267MQ1 2025: $594MQ2 2025: $841MQ3 2025: −$950MQ4 2025: −$45MQ1 2026: −$6.7BQ2 2026: $719MQ3 2026: −$476M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$475.6M+$474.2M
Q2 2026$718.7M-15%
Q1 2026-$6.7B-1227%
Q4 2025-$45.1M+$222.2M
Q3 2025-$949.8M-360%
Q2 2025$840.9M+$1.5B
Q1 2025$594.1M+$2.2B
Q4 2024-$267.3M+$342.5M

SMCI's free cash flow was −$6.5B over the past year, against $218M the year before.

OSCR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.9%+13M shares
1 year+34%+87.2M shares
3 years+55%+123M shares
5 years+66%+138M shares
Available history+71%+143M shares

OSCR has 346M diluted shares, up 34% from a year ago.

SMCI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 581MQ1 2024: 614MQ2 2024: 602MQ3 2024: 639MQ4 2024: 636MQ1 2025: 622MQ2 2025: 628MQ3 2025: 663MQ4 2025: 694MQ1 2026: 692MQ2 2026: 697MQ3 2026: 749M
Q4 2023: 581MQ1 2024: 614MQ2 2024: 602MQ3 2024: 639MQ4 2024: 636MQ1 2025: 622MQ2 2025: 628MQ3 2025: 663MQ4 2025: 694MQ1 2026: 692MQ2 2026: 697MQ3 2026: 749M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.5%+52M shares
1 year+13%+86.1M shares
3 years+31%+178M shares
5 years+42%+220M shares
Available history+44%+229M shares

SMCI has the edge over OSCR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

OSCR Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-5.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-110.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-9.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-13.7xNet Cash
Q3 2024-10.1xNet Cash
Q2 2024-24.0xNet Cash
Q1 2024-217.7xNet Cash

OSCR has the edge over SMCI on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

SMCI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.7xQ1 2024: -1.7xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: -1.0xQ3 2026: -0.5x
Q4 2023: -0.7xQ1 2024: -1.7xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: -1.0xQ3 2026: -0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.0xNet Cash
Q1 20262.2xModerate
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 20240.2xVery low

SMCI has more cash than debt.

OSCR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.7Neutral
Stochastic44.9Neutral

OSCR's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).

SMCI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.8Neutral
Stochastic19.1Oversold

SMCI's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

OSCR PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricOSCRSector medianRelative
PE13x26x50% below
PE %33532 pts below

OSCR is trading at 13x earnings, a 50% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.

SMCI PE vs Technology Sector

MetricSMCISector medianRelative
PE5.7x28x80% below
PE %03535 pts below

SMCI has the edge over OSCR on valuation relative to its sector.

OSCR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$31.22.3% above
20 week MA$31.12.8% above
50 week MA$22.939% above
100 week MA$19.365% above
200 week MA$15.5106% above

OSCR has the edge over SMCI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SMCI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$35.323% below
20 week MA$34.221% below
50 week MA$32.317% below
100 week MA$36.927% below
200 week MA$39.832% below

SMCI is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 32% below its 200-week average.

OSCR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$31.0$8.02-74%
2022$8.02$2.21-72%
2023$2.21$9.15+314%
2024$9.15$13.8+51%
2025$13.8$14.9+8%
2026 YTD$14.9$31.9+114%

OSCR has the edge over SMCI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SMCI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$2.41$3.05+27%
2021$3.05$4.27+40%
2022$4.27$8.22+93%
2023$8.22$28.4+246%
2024$28.4$32.0+12%
2025$32.0$30.6-4.2%
2026 YTD$30.6$27.0-12%

SMCI has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 12% so far in 2026.

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