OSCR

Oscar Health, Inc.

69
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

OSCR has the edge over SIGA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

SIGA

SIGA Technologies, Inc.

21
Fundamentals7/ 100
Valuation5/ 100
Upside potential5/ 100
Risk potential98/ 100

SIGA trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

OSCR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Strong
Strong

OSCR's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

SIGA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Under pressure
Weak
Strong

SIGA's balance sheet is currently strong, but its revenue, profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

OSCR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$31.94โ€”
Current13x$31.94โ€”
Cheap21x$52.73+65%
Fair35x$87.23+173%
Expensive130x$322+907%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

OSCR has the edge over SIGA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

SIGA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE75x150x225x301x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE75x150x225x301x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.4x$0.06-98%
Fair9.5x$0.10-97%
Expensive16x$0.16-94%
Current289x$2.89โ€”

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SIGA's PE is in its expensive range at 289x.

OSCR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for OSCR, with profitability improving.

SIGA Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for SIGA to show an outlook.

OSCR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$49.45
Downside-35%$20.78

Calculated from the latest close: $31.94 on Nov 12.

OSCR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SIGA, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

SIGA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+6%$3.05
Downside-98%$0.07

Calculated from the latest close: $2.89 on Nov 12.

SIGA trails OSCR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

OSCR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.61+5.6%
Q3 2026$2.47+$3.47
Q2 2026$1.45+$2.14
Q1 2026-$0.54-235%
Q4 2025-$1.69-1790%
Q3 2025-$1.00-$0.92
Q2 2025-$0.69-$0.54
Q1 2025$0.40+$0.82
Q4 2024$0.10+$1.32

OSCR has the edge over SIGA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SIGA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.95Q1 2024: $1.10Q2 2024: $1.17Q3 2024: $1.20Q4 2024: $0.82Q1 2025: $0.67Q2 2025: $1.13Q3 2025: $1.02Q4 2025: $0.32Q1 2026: $0.28Q2 2026: $-0.04Q3 2026: $0.01
Q4 2023: $0.95Q1 2024: $1.10Q2 2024: $1.17Q3 2024: $1.20Q4 2024: $0.82Q1 2025: $0.67Q2 2025: $1.13Q3 2025: $1.02Q4 2025: $0.32Q1 2026: $0.28Q2 2026: $-0.04Q3 2026: $0.01
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.01-99%
Q2 2026-$0.04-104%
Q1 2026$0.28-58%
Q4 2025$0.32-61%
Q3 2025$1.02-15%
Q2 2025$1.13-3.4%
Q1 2025$0.67-39%
Q4 2024$0.82-14%

SIGA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.01 over the past year, against $1.44 in late 2022.

OSCR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.1B+72%
Q2 2026$4.9B+70%
Q1 2026$4.6B+53%
Q4 2025$2.8B+17%
Q3 2025$3B+23%
Q2 2025$2.9B+29%
Q1 2025$3B+42%
Q4 2024$2.4B+67%

OSCR has the edge over SIGA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SIGA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $116MQ1 2024: $25MQ2 2024: $22MQ3 2024: $10MQ4 2024: $81MQ1 2025: $7MQ2 2025: $81MQ3 2025: $3MQ4 2025: $4MQ1 2026: $6MQ2 2026: $41MQ3 2026: $1M
Q4 2023: $116MQ1 2024: $25MQ2 2024: $22MQ3 2024: $10MQ4 2024: $81MQ1 2025: $7MQ2 2025: $81MQ3 2025: $3MQ4 2025: $4MQ1 2026: $6MQ2 2026: $41MQ3 2026: $1M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.3M-50%
Q2 2026$41M-49%
Q1 2026$6.2M-11%
Q4 2025$3.8M-95%
Q3 2025$2.6M-74%
Q2 2025$81.1M+272%
Q1 2025$7M-72%
Q4 2024$81.5M-30%

SIGA's revenue has slid since its 2023 peak: $1M last quarter, down 50% from the same quarter a year ago.

OSCR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: โˆ’$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: โˆ’$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: โˆ’$1.2B
Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: โˆ’$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: โˆ’$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: โˆ’$1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.2B-$238.2M
Q2 2026$2.1B+316%
Q1 2026$2.6B+200%
Q4 2025$662.8M+95%
Q3 2025-$973.7M-$466M
Q2 2025$499.8M+2.1%
Q1 2025$869.5M+38%
Q4 2024$340M+17%

OSCR has the edge over SIGA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

SIGA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $79MQ1 2024: โˆ’$6MQ2 2024: $6MQ3 2024: โˆ’$7MQ4 2024: $56MQ1 2025: $7MQ2 2025: $63MQ3 2025: โˆ’$10MQ4 2025: โˆ’$17MQ1 2026: โˆ’$9MQ2 2026: $15MQ3 2026: โˆ’$1M
Q4 2023: $79MQ1 2024: โˆ’$6MQ2 2024: $6MQ3 2024: โˆ’$7MQ4 2024: $56MQ1 2025: $7MQ2 2025: $63MQ3 2025: โˆ’$10MQ4 2025: โˆ’$17MQ1 2026: โˆ’$9MQ2 2026: $15MQ3 2026: โˆ’$1M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.2M+$8.9M
Q2 2026$15.2M-76%
Q1 2026-$8.7M-223%
Q4 2025-$16.9M-130%
Q3 2025-$10.1M-$2.7M
Q2 2025$63.1M+960%
Q1 2025$7M+$13.2M
Q4 2024$56.3M-29%

SIGA's free cash flow was โˆ’$12M over the past year, against $116M the year before.

OSCR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.9%+13M shares
1 year+34%+87.2M shares
3 years+55%+123M shares
5 years+66%+138M shares
Available history+71%+143M shares

OSCR has 346M diluted shares, up 34% from a year ago.

SIGA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 72MQ1 2024: 72MQ2 2024: 72MQ3 2024: 72MQ4 2024: 72MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 72MQ3 2025: 72MQ4 2025: 72MQ1 2026: 72MQ2 2026: 72MQ3 2026: 72M
Q4 2023: 72MQ1 2024: 72MQ2 2024: 72MQ3 2024: 72MQ4 2024: 72MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 72MQ3 2025: 72MQ4 2025: 72MQ1 2026: 72MQ2 2026: 72MQ3 2026: 72M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-34.7K shares
1 year+0.3%+244K shares
3 years+1.1%+764K shares
5 years-4%-3M shares
Available history-13%-10.3M shares

SIGA has the edge over OSCR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

OSCR Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-5.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-110.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-9.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-13.7xNet Cash
Q3 2024-10.1xNet Cash
Q2 2024-24.0xNet Cash
Q1 2024-217.7xNet Cash

OSCR has more cash than debt.

SIGA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.8xQ1 2024: -1.5xQ2 2024: -1.0xQ3 2024: -0.9xQ4 2024: -2.2xQ1 2025: -2.9xQ2 2025: -1.8xQ3 2025: -1.9xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.9x
Q4 2023: -1.8xQ1 2024: -1.5xQ2 2024: -1.0xQ3 2024: -0.9xQ4 2024: -2.2xQ1 2025: -2.9xQ2 2025: -1.8xQ3 2025: -1.9xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 2026-6.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.2xNet Cash
Q3 2024-0.9xNet Cash
Q2 2024-1.0xNet Cash

SIGA has more cash than debt.

OSCR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.7Neutral
Stochastic44.9Neutral

OSCR's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).

SIGA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic21.2Neutral

SIGA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 21 (neutral).

OSCR PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricOSCRSector medianRelative
PE13x26x50% below
PE %33532 pts below

OSCR has the edge over SIGA on valuation relative to its sector.

SIGA PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricSIGASector medianRelative
PE289x26x1,018% above
PE %1002971 pts above

SIGA is trading at 289x earnings, a 1018% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

OSCR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$31.22.3% above
20 week MA$31.12.8% above
50 week MA$22.939% above
100 week MA$19.365% above
200 week MA$15.5106% above

OSCR has the edge over SIGA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SIGA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.189.1% below
20 week MA$3.2210% below
50 week MA$4.5837% below
100 week MA$5.6649% below
200 week MA$6.0852% below

SIGA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 52% below its 200-week average.

OSCR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$31.0$8.02-74%
2022$8.02$2.21-72%
2023$2.21$9.15+314%
2024$9.15$13.8+51%
2025$13.8$14.9+8%
2026 YTD$14.9$31.9+114%

OSCR has the edge over SIGA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SIGA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$4.79$7.34+53%
2021$7.34$7.99+8.9%
2022$7.99$7.76-2.9%
2023$7.76$5.60-28%
2024$5.60$5.93+5.9%
2025$5.93$6.27+5.7%
2026 YTD$6.27$2.89-54%

SIGA is down 54% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in four of the previous six years.

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