OSCR

Oscar Health, Inc.

69
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

OSCR has the edge over SGRY overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

SGRY

Surgery Partners, Inc.

47
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential32/ 100

SGRY has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

OSCR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Strong
Strong

OSCR's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

SGRY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Weak

SGRY's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

OSCR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$31.94—
Current13x$31.94—
Cheap21x$52.73+65%
Fair35x$87.23+173%
Expensive130x$322+907%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

OSCR's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

SGRY PE Valuation

SGRY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

OSCR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

OSCR has the edge over SGRY on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

SGRY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Decline
Strongly weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect SGRY's revenue and profitability to decline, with its earnings holding steady.

OSCR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$49.45
Downside-35%$20.78

Calculated from the latest close: $31.94 on Nov 12.

OSCR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SGRY, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SGRY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+47%$39.14
Downside-32%$18.00

Calculated from the latest close: $26.58 on Nov 12.

SGRY trails OSCR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

OSCR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.61+5.6%
Q3 2026$2.47+$3.47
Q2 2026$1.45+$2.14
Q1 2026-$0.54-235%
Q4 2025-$1.69-1790%
Q3 2025-$1.00-$0.92
Q2 2025-$0.69-$0.54
Q1 2025$0.40+$0.82
Q4 2024$0.10+$1.32

OSCR has the edge over SGRY on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

SGRY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.09Q1 2024: $0.01Q2 2024: $-0.26Q3 2024: $-0.47Q4 2024: $-1.33Q1 2025: $-1.53Q2 2025: $-1.43Q3 2025: $-1.36Q4 2025: $-0.61Q1 2026: $-0.59Q2 2026: $-0.69Q3 2026: $-0.67Forward: $0.35
Q4 2023: $-0.09Q1 2024: $0.01Q2 2024: $-0.26Q3 2024: $-0.47Q4 2024: $-1.33Q1 2025: $-1.53Q2 2025: $-1.43Q3 2025: $-1.36Q4 2025: $-0.61Q1 2026: $-0.59Q2 2026: $-0.69Q3 2026: $-0.67Forward: $0.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.35—
Q3 2026-$0.67+$0.69
Q2 2026-$0.69+$0.74
Q1 2026-$0.59+$0.94
Q4 2025-$0.61+$0.72
Q3 2025-$1.36-$0.89
Q2 2025-$1.43-$1.17
Q1 2025-$1.53-15400%
Q4 2024-$1.33-$1.24

SGRY is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.67 per share over the past year, against $3.67 at its worst in late 2020.

OSCR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.1B+72%
Q2 2026$4.9B+70%
Q1 2026$4.6B+53%
Q4 2025$2.8B+17%
Q3 2025$3B+23%
Q2 2025$2.9B+29%
Q1 2025$3B+42%
Q4 2024$2.4B+67%

OSCR has the edge over SGRY on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SGRY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $735MQ1 2024: $717MQ2 2024: $762MQ3 2024: $770MQ4 2024: $864MQ1 2025: $776MQ2 2025: $826MQ3 2025: $822MQ4 2025: $885MQ1 2026: $811MQ2 2026: $849MQ3 2026: $815M
Q4 2023: $735MQ1 2024: $717MQ2 2024: $762MQ3 2024: $770MQ4 2024: $864MQ1 2025: $776MQ2 2025: $826MQ3 2025: $822MQ4 2025: $885MQ1 2026: $811MQ2 2026: $849MQ3 2026: $815M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$815.3M-0.8%
Q2 2026$848.9M+2.7%
Q1 2026$810.9M+4.5%
Q4 2025$885M+2.4%
Q3 2025$821.5M+6.6%
Q2 2025$826.2M+8.4%
Q1 2025$776M+8.2%
Q4 2024$864.4M+18%

SGRY's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $815M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

OSCR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.2B-$238.2M
Q2 2026$2.1B+316%
Q1 2026$2.6B+200%
Q4 2025$662.8M+95%
Q3 2025-$973.7M-$466M
Q2 2025$499.8M+2.1%
Q1 2025$869.5M+38%
Q4 2024$340M+17%

OSCR usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$1.2B, but it generated $4.1B over the past year.

SGRY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $56MQ3 2024: $45MQ4 2024: $89MQ1 2025: −$17MQ2 2025: $58MQ3 2025: $64MQ4 2025: $91MQ1 2026: −$4MQ2 2026: $38MQ3 2026: $79M
Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $56MQ3 2024: $45MQ4 2024: $89MQ1 2025: −$17MQ2 2025: $58MQ3 2025: $64MQ4 2025: $91MQ1 2026: −$4MQ2 2026: $38MQ3 2026: $79M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$79M+24%
Q2 2026$37.5M-35%
Q1 2026-$4.3M+$12.4M
Q4 2025$90.6M+1.7%
Q3 2025$63.8M+42%
Q2 2025$57.9M+3.6%
Q1 2025-$16.7M-185%
Q4 2024$89.1M+108%

SGRY generated $203M in free cash flow over the past year, up 4.5% from the year before.

OSCR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.9%+13M shares
1 year+34%+87.2M shares
3 years+55%+123M shares
5 years+66%+138M shares
Available history+71%+143M shares

OSCR has 346M diluted shares, up 34% from a year ago.

SGRY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 126MQ1 2024: 126MQ2 2024: 126MQ3 2024: 126MQ4 2024: 126MQ1 2025: 127MQ2 2025: 127MQ3 2025: 127MQ4 2025: 127MQ1 2026: 128MQ2 2026: 129MQ3 2026: 129M
Q4 2023: 126MQ1 2024: 126MQ2 2024: 126MQ3 2024: 126MQ4 2024: 126MQ1 2025: 127MQ2 2025: 127MQ3 2025: 127MQ4 2025: 127MQ1 2026: 128MQ2 2026: 129MQ3 2026: 129M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+40K shares
1 year+1.3%+1.7M shares
3 years+2.5%+3.1M shares
5 years+86%+59.6M shares
Available history+167%+80.6M shares

SGRY has the edge over OSCR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

OSCR Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-5.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-110.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-9.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-13.7xNet Cash
Q3 2024-10.1xNet Cash
Q2 2024-24.0xNet Cash
Q1 2024-217.7xNet Cash

OSCR has the edge over SGRY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

SGRY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 5.8xQ1 2024: 5.7xQ2 2024: 6.2xQ3 2024: 6.3xQ4 2024: 6.2xQ1 2025: 6.8xQ2 2025: 6.4xQ3 2025: 6.0xQ4 2025: 6.1xQ1 2026: 6.2xQ2 2026: 6.3xQ3 2026: 5.0x
Q4 2023: 5.8xQ1 2024: 5.7xQ2 2024: 6.2xQ3 2024: 6.3xQ4 2024: 6.2xQ1 2025: 6.8xQ2 2025: 6.4xQ3 2025: 6.0xQ4 2025: 6.1xQ1 2026: 6.2xQ2 2026: 6.3xQ3 2026: 5.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20265.0xHigh
Q2 20266.3xHigh
Q1 20266.2xHigh
Q4 20256.1xHigh
Q3 20256.0xHigh
Q2 20256.4xHigh
Q1 20256.8xHigh
Q4 20246.2xHigh

SGRY's net debt is about 5.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 6.0 years a year ago.

OSCR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.7Neutral
Stochastic44.9Neutral

OSCR's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).

SGRY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI79.5Overbought
Stochastic97.4Overbought

SGRY's weekly RSI is 79 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 97 (overbought).

OSCR PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricOSCRSector medianRelative
PE13x26x50% below
PE %33532 pts below

OSCR is trading at 13x earnings, a 50% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.

SGRY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricSGRYSector medianRelative
PEN/A26x—

SGRY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

OSCR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$31.22.3% above
20 week MA$31.12.8% above
50 week MA$22.939% above
100 week MA$19.365% above
200 week MA$15.5106% above

OSCR is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 106% above its 200-week average.

SGRY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$18.147% above
20 week MA$16.363% above
50 week MA$15.275% above
100 week MA$18.643% above
200 week MA$25.06.5% above

SGRY has climbed back above all five of its weekly moving averages, and it's now 6.5% above its 200-week average.

OSCR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$31.0$8.02-74%
2022$8.02$2.21-72%
2023$2.21$9.15+314%
2024$9.15$13.8+51%
2025$13.8$14.9+8%
2026 YTD$14.9$31.9+114%

OSCR has the edge over SGRY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SGRY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$15.5$27.8+79%
2021$27.8$53.5+92%
2022$53.5$26.7-50%
2023$26.7$32.0+20%
2024$32.0$20.9-35%
2025$20.9$15.9-24%
2026 YTD$15.9$26.6+67%

SGRY is up 67% so far in 2026, after finishing lower in three of the previous six years.

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