OSCR

Oscar Health, Inc.

69
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

OSCR has the edge over PHAT overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.

PHAT

Phathom Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

57
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

PHAT has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

OSCR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Strong
Strong

OSCR's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

PHAT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

PHAT's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

OSCR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$31.94—
Current13x$31.94—
Cheap21x$52.73+65%
Fair35x$87.23+173%
Expensive130x$322+907%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

OSCR's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

PHAT PE Valuation

PHAT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 29x next year's earnings.

OSCR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for OSCR, with profitability improving.

PHAT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect PHAT to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

OSCR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$49.45
Downside-35%$20.78

Calculated from the latest close: $31.94 on Nov 12.

OSCR trails PHAT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

PHAT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+54%$9.58
Downside-34%$4.10

Calculated from the latest close: $6.23 on Nov 12.

PHAT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than OSCR, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

OSCR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.61+5.6%
Q3 2026$2.47+$3.47
Q2 2026$1.45+$2.14
Q1 2026-$0.54-235%
Q4 2025-$1.69-1790%
Q3 2025-$1.00-$0.92
Q2 2025-$0.69-$0.54
Q1 2025$0.40+$0.82
Q4 2024$0.10+$1.32

OSCR has the edge over PHAT on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

PHAT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.93Q1 2024: $-4.46Q2 2024: $-5.18Q3 2024: $-5.74Q4 2024: $-5.29Q1 2025: $-5.18Q2 2025: $-4.67Q3 2025: $-3.76Q4 2025: $-3.03Q1 2026: $-2.09Q2 2026: $-1.25Q3 2026: $-1.00Forward: $0.22
Q4 2023: $-3.93Q1 2024: $-4.46Q2 2024: $-5.18Q3 2024: $-5.74Q4 2024: $-5.29Q1 2025: $-5.18Q2 2025: $-4.67Q3 2025: $-3.76Q4 2025: $-3.03Q1 2026: $-2.09Q2 2026: $-1.25Q3 2026: $-1.00Forward: $0.22
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.22—
Q3 2026-$1.00+$2.76
Q2 2026-$1.25+$3.42
Q1 2026-$2.09+$3.09
Q4 2025-$3.03+$2.26
Q3 2025-$3.76+$1.98
Q2 2025-$4.67+$0.51
Q1 2025-$5.18-$0.72
Q4 2024-$5.29-$1.36

PHAT is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.00 per share over the past year, against $24.12 at its worst in early 2020.

OSCR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.1B+72%
Q2 2026$4.9B+70%
Q1 2026$4.6B+53%
Q4 2025$2.8B+17%
Q3 2025$3B+23%
Q2 2025$2.9B+29%
Q1 2025$3B+42%
Q4 2024$2.4B+67%

OSCR's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2021: $5.1B last quarter, up 72% from the same quarter a year ago.

PHAT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $7MQ3 2024: $16MQ4 2024: $30MQ1 2025: $29MQ2 2025: $40MQ3 2025: $50MQ4 2025: $58MQ1 2026: $58MQ2 2026: $74MQ3 2026: $85M
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $7MQ3 2024: $16MQ4 2024: $30MQ1 2025: $29MQ2 2025: $40MQ3 2025: $50MQ4 2025: $58MQ1 2026: $58MQ2 2026: $74MQ3 2026: $85M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$84.7M+71%
Q2 2026$74.3M+88%
Q1 2026$58.3M+104%
Q4 2025$57.6M+94%
Q3 2025$49.5M+203%
Q2 2025$39.5M+439%
Q1 2025$28.5M+1392%

PHAT has the edge over OSCR on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

OSCR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.2B-$238.2M
Q2 2026$2.1B+316%
Q1 2026$2.6B+200%
Q4 2025$662.8M+95%
Q3 2025-$973.7M-$466M
Q2 2025$499.8M+2.1%
Q1 2025$869.5M+38%
Q4 2024$340M+17%

OSCR has the edge over PHAT on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

PHAT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$44MQ1 2024: −$69MQ2 2024: −$71MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$63MQ1 2025: −$85MQ2 2025: −$63MQ3 2025: −$14MQ4 2025: −$5MQ1 2026: −$16MQ2 2026: −$2MQ3 2026: $2M
Q4 2023: −$44MQ1 2024: −$69MQ2 2024: −$71MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$63MQ1 2025: −$85MQ2 2025: −$63MQ3 2025: −$14MQ4 2025: −$5MQ1 2026: −$16MQ2 2026: −$2MQ3 2026: $2M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.7M+$15.9M
Q2 2026-$2M+$60.9M
Q1 2026-$15.7M+$69.2M
Q4 2025-$5.1M+$58.4M
Q3 2025-$14.1M+$49.5M
Q2 2025-$62.8M+$7.9M
Q1 2025-$84.9M-$15.9M
Q4 2024-$63.5M-$19.2M

PHAT has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$21M over the past year, against −$225M the year before.

OSCR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.9%+13M shares
1 year+34%+87.2M shares
3 years+55%+123M shares
5 years+66%+138M shares
Available history+71%+143M shares

OSCR has 346M diluted shares, up 34% from a year ago.

PHAT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 51MQ1 2024: 58MQ2 2024: 59MQ3 2024: 65MQ4 2024: 63MQ1 2025: 72MQ2 2025: 72MQ3 2025: 73MQ4 2025: 73MQ1 2026: 82MQ2 2026: 84MQ3 2026: 85M
Q4 2023: 51MQ1 2024: 58MQ2 2024: 59MQ3 2024: 65MQ4 2024: 63MQ1 2025: 72MQ2 2025: 72MQ3 2025: 73MQ4 2025: 73MQ1 2026: 82MQ2 2026: 84MQ3 2026: 85M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+16%+11.5M shares
3 years+50%+28.1M shares
5 years+128%+47.6M shares
Available history+244%+60.2M shares

PHAT has the edge over OSCR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

OSCR Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-5.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-110.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-9.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-13.7xNet Cash
Q3 2024-10.1xNet Cash
Q2 2024-24.0xNet Cash
Q1 2024-217.7xNet Cash

OSCR has more cash than debt.

PHAT Net Leverage

PHAT's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

OSCR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.7Neutral
Stochastic44.9Neutral

OSCR's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).

PHAT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.0Neutral
Stochastic13.6Oversold

PHAT's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 14 (oversold).

OSCR PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricOSCRSector medianRelative
PE13x26x50% below
PE %33532 pts below

OSCR is trading at 13x earnings, a 50% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.

PHAT PE vs Healthcare Sector

PHAT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

OSCR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$31.22.3% above
20 week MA$31.12.8% above
50 week MA$22.939% above
100 week MA$19.365% above
200 week MA$15.5106% above

OSCR has the edge over PHAT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

PHAT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.423% below
20 week MA$8.3926% below
50 week MA$10.943% below
100 week MA$9.7236% below
200 week MA$10.440% below

PHAT is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 40% below its 200-week average.

OSCR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$31.0$8.02-74%
2022$8.02$2.21-72%
2023$2.21$9.15+314%
2024$9.15$13.8+51%
2025$13.8$14.9+8%
2026 YTD$14.9$31.9+114%

OSCR has the edge over PHAT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

PHAT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$33.0$36.3+10%
2021$36.3$19.8-46%
2022$19.8$11.3-43%
2023$11.3$9.13-19%
2024$9.13$8.18-10%
2025$8.18$17.6+115%
2026 YTD$17.6$6.23-65%

PHAT's yearly returns have swung widely, from +115% in 2025 to −46% in 2021. It's down 65% so far in 2026.

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