ORI

Old Republic International Corporation

57
Fundamentals68/ 100
Valuation52/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

ORI's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 13% and earnings per share grew 34%. At 9.0x earnings, it's trading below its usual 10x. Analysts expect earnings to hold roughly steady, though they disagree widely on how much.

ORI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

ORI's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like ORI.

ORI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x117x157x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x117x157x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.2x$23.06-42%
Current9x$40.04—
Fair10x$46.32+16%
Forward13x$40.04—
Expensive14x$61.39+53%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ORI's PE is in its cheap range at 9.0x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 13x, in its expensive range.

ORI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ORI's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ORI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$45.81
Downside-14%$34.35

Calculated from the latest close: $40.04 on Nov 12.

ORI's one-year upside and downside scenarios are about the same size: +14% against −14%.

ORI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.10Q1 2024: $2.57Q2 2024: $2.38Q3 2024: $3.51Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.07Q2 2025: $3.53Q3 2025: $3.32Q4 2025: $3.72Q1 2026: $4.06Q2 2026: $4.56Q3 2026: $4.44Forward: $3.16
Q4 2023: $2.10Q1 2024: $2.57Q2 2024: $2.38Q3 2024: $3.51Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.07Q2 2025: $3.53Q3 2025: $3.32Q4 2025: $3.72Q1 2026: $4.06Q2 2026: $4.56Q3 2026: $4.44Forward: $3.16
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.16-29%
Q3 2026$4.44+34%
Q2 2026$4.56+29%
Q1 2026$4.06+32%
Q4 2025$3.72+15%
Q3 2025$3.32-5.4%
Q2 2025$3.53+48%
Q1 2025$3.07+19%
Q4 2024$3.24+54%

ORI earned $4.44 per share over the past year, up 34% from the year before.

ORI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $2BQ2 2024: $1.9BQ3 2024: $2.3BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $2.1BQ2 2025: $2.2BQ3 2025: $2.4BQ4 2025: $2.4BQ1 2026: $2.4BQ2 2026: $2.5BQ3 2026: $2.6B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $2BQ2 2024: $1.9BQ3 2024: $2.3BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $2.1BQ2 2025: $2.2BQ3 2025: $2.4BQ4 2025: $2.4BQ1 2026: $2.4BQ2 2026: $2.5BQ3 2026: $2.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.6B+5.2%
Q2 2026$2.5B+13%
Q1 2026$2.4B+14%
Q4 2025$2.4B+19%
Q3 2025$2.4B+3.5%
Q2 2025$2.2B+18%
Q1 2025$2.1B+4.9%
Q4 2024$2B+3.1%

ORI's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $2.6B last quarter, up 5.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

ORI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $283MQ1 2024: $160MQ2 2024: $237MQ3 2024: $475MQ4 2024: $362MQ1 2025: $232MQ2 2025: $134MQ3 2025: $564MQ4 2025: $235MQ1 2026: $281MQ2 2026: $200MQ3 2026: $429M
Q4 2023: $283MQ1 2024: $160MQ2 2024: $237MQ3 2024: $475MQ4 2024: $362MQ1 2025: $232MQ2 2025: $134MQ3 2025: $564MQ4 2025: $235MQ1 2026: $281MQ2 2026: $200MQ3 2026: $429M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$429.4M-24%
Q2 2026$199.7M+49%
Q1 2026$281.4M+21%
Q4 2025$234.9M-35%
Q3 2025$563.9M+19%
Q2 2025$133.8M-43%
Q1 2025$231.7M+44%
Q4 2024$361.7M+28%

ORI's free cash flow was $1.1B over the past year, down 11% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like ORI.

ORI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 277MQ1 2024: 275MQ2 2024: 266MQ3 2024: 257MQ4 2024: 253MQ1 2025: 250MQ2 2025: 251MQ3 2025: 251MQ4 2025: 251MQ1 2026: 249MQ2 2026: 246MQ3 2026: 247M
Q4 2023: 277MQ1 2024: 275MQ2 2024: 266MQ3 2024: 257MQ4 2024: 253MQ1 2025: 250MQ2 2025: 251MQ3 2025: 251MQ4 2025: 251MQ1 2026: 249MQ2 2026: 246MQ3 2026: 247M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+431K shares
1 year-1.8%-4.6M shares
3 years-12%-33.2M shares
5 years-19%-56.8M shares
Available history-18%-54.9M shares

ORI has 247M diluted shares, down 1.8% from a year ago, with $388M in buybacks over the past year.

ORI Net Leverage

ORI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.5Neutral
Stochastic35.0Neutral

ORI's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 35 (neutral).

ORI PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricORISector medianRelative
PE9x13x31% below
PE %306333 pts below

ORI is trading at 9.0x earnings, a 31% discount to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

ORI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$38.83.1% above
20 week MA$40.71.6% below
50 week MA$40.92% below
100 week MA$39.70.9% above
200 week MA$34.616% above

ORI's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 16% above its 200-week average.

ORI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$22.2$19.2-14%
2021$19.2$24.1+25%
2022$24.1$24.3+0.7%
2023$24.3$29.4+21%
2024$29.4$36.4+24%
2025$36.4$46.6+28%
2026 YTD$46.6$40.0-14%

ORI has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 14% so far in 2026.

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