ORCL
Oracle Corporation
ORCL offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
STX
Seagate Technology Holdings plc
STX has the edge over ORCL overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
ORCL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Weak | |
| Strong |
ORCL's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.
STX Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
STX's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.
ORCL PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 15x | $127 | — |
| Cheap | 19x | $119 | -6.8% |
| Current | 20x | $127 | — |
| Fair | 30x | $189 | +49% |
| Expensive | 39x | $247 | +94% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ORCL has the edge over STX in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
STX PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 9.9x | $188 | -65% |
| Forward | 12x | $545 | — |
| Fair | 17x | $318 | -42% |
| Current | 29x | $545 | — |
| Expensive | 43x | $823 | +51% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
STX's PE is in its expensive range at 29x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
ORCL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for ORCL, but weaker profitability.
STX Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
STX has the edge over ORCL on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
ORCL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $8.53 | +34% |
| Q3 2026 | $6.38 | +48% |
| Q2 2026 | $5.83 | +34% |
| Q1 2026 | $5.57 | +31% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.32 | +30% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.32 | +11% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.34 | +17% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.26 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.09 | +13% |
ORCL's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $6.38 over the past year, up 48% from the year before, and higher year over year for 15 quarters in a row.
STX Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $46.99 | +147% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.06 | +145% |
| Q2 2026 | $13.90 | +105% |
| Q1 2026 | $10.54 | +51% |
| Q4 2025 | $8.84 | +60% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.79 | +101% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.77 | +328% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.96 | +$8.26 |
| Q4 2024 | $5.51 | +$9.02 |
STX's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $19.06 over the past year, up 145% from the year before, and higher year over year for 10 quarters in a row.
ORCL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $19.3B | +30% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.2B | +21% |
| Q1 2026 | $17.2B | +22% |
| Q4 2025 | $16.1B | +14% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.9B | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $15.9B | +11% |
| Q1 2025 | $14.1B | +6.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $14.1B | +8.6% |
ORCL's revenue has grown year over year for 13 quarters in a row: $19.3B last quarter, up 30% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 35% | +6.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 32% | -0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 32% | +0.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 29% | -0.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 29% | -1.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 32% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | +2.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 30% | +2 points |
ORCL's operating margin was 35% last quarter, up 6.1 points from the same quarter a year ago.
STX Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.2B | +61% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.6B | +48% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.1B | +44% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.8B | +22% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.6B | +21% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.4B | +30% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.2B | +31% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.3B | +50% |
STX has the edge over ORCL on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 49% | +22 points |
| Q2 2026 | 43% | +20 points |
| Q1 2026 | 32% | +12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 30% | +8.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 26% | +7.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 23% | +6.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 20% | +11 points |
| Q4 2024 | 21% | +13 points |
STX has the edge over ORCL on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ORCL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$5.4B | -$5B |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.9B | +$1.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$11.5B | -16275% |
| Q4 2025 | -$10B | -$7.3B |
| Q3 2025 | -$362M | -107% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.9B | -189% |
| Q1 2025 | $71M | -98% |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.7B | -$1.7B |
ORCL has burned cash in seven of the last eight quarters: −$28.7B over the past year, against −$5.9B the year before.
STX Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.5B | +246% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.1B | +163% |
| Q1 2026 | $953M | +341% |
| Q4 2025 | $607M | +305% |
| Q3 2025 | $427M | +1481% |
| Q2 2025 | $425M | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $216M | +69% |
| Q4 2024 | $150M | +52% |
STX has the edge over ORCL on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
ORCL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3% | +86M shares |
| 1 year | +3.1% | +91M shares |
| 3 years | +6.3% | +177M shares |
| 5 years | +4.9% | +139M shares |
| Available history | -9.9% | -331M shares |
ORCL has 3B diluted shares, up 3.1% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $95M |
| Q2 2025 | $150M |
| Q1 2025 | $150M |
| Q4 2024 | $150M |
| Q3 2024 | $150M |
STX Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1.3% | +3M shares |
| 1 year | +2.7% | +6M shares |
| 3 years | +12% | +24M shares |
| 5 years | +0.4% | +1M shares |
| Available history | -12% | -33M shares |
STX has the edge over ORCL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $400M |
| Q2 2026 | $117M |
| Q1 2026 | $30M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $29M |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
STX spent $547M buying back its own shares over the past year.
ORCL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | 3.5x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | 3.7x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.2x | Very low |
ORCL has the edge over STX on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
STX Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 2.8x | Moderate |
STX's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.6 years a year ago.
ORCL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 23.0 | Neutral |
ORCL's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 23 (neutral).
STX Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 8.3 | Oversold |
STX's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).
ORCL PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | ORCL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20x | 28x | 28% below |
| PE % | 28 | 35 | 7 pts below |
ORCL has the edge over STX on valuation relative to its sector.
STX PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | STX | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 29x | 28x | 2.7% above |
| PE % | 75 | 35 | 40 pts above |
STX is trading at 29x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.
ORCL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $131.1 | 3.1% below |
| 20 week MA | $137.6 | 7.7% below |
| 50 week MA | $160.3 | 21% below |
| 100 week MA | $181.4 | 30% below |
| 200 week MA | $151.9 | 16% below |
ORCL is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 16% below its 200-week average.
STX Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $683.6 | 20% below |
| 20 week MA | $785.0 | 31% below |
| 50 week MA | $630.7 | 14% below |
| 100 week MA | $387.3 | 41% above |
| 200 week MA | $234.4 | 133% above |
STX has the edge over ORCL on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
ORCL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $53.5 | $65.0 | +22% |
| 2021 | $65.0 | $89.7 | +38% |
| 2022 | $89.7 | $80.9 | -9.9% |
| 2023 | $80.9 | $105.4 | +30% |
| 2024 | $105.4 | $169.0 | +60% |
| 2025 | $169.0 | $198.0 | +17% |
| 2026 YTD | $198.0 | $127.1 | -36% |
ORCL is down 36% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in five of the previous six years.
STX Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $59.6 | $63.0 | +5.7% |
| 2021 | $63.0 | $111.4 | +77% |
| 2022 | $111.4 | $50.5 | -55% |
| 2023 | $50.5 | $85.4 | +69% |
| 2024 | $85.4 | $87.4 | +2.4% |
| 2025 | $87.4 | $286.2 | +228% |
| 2026 YTD | $286.2 | $545.1 | +90% |
STX has the edge over ORCL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.