ORCL

Oracle Corporation

65
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation78/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

ORCL has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RDDT

Reddit, Inc.

70
Fundamentals88/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential41/ 100

RDDT has the edge over ORCL overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.

ORCL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Weak
Strong

ORCL's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.

RDDT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

RDDT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ORCL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x37x56x74x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x37x56x74x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward15x$127—
Cheap19x$119-6.8%
Current20x$127—
Fair30x$189+49%
Expensive39x$247+94%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ORCL's PE is in its cheap range at 20x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 15x next year's earnings.

RDDT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x33x49x65x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x33x49x65x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward16x$99.55—
Current20x$99.55—
Cheap35x$171+72%
Fair46x$228+129%
Expensive53x$262+163%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

RDDT has the edge over ORCL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

ORCL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly weakening
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for ORCL, but weaker profitability.

RDDT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

RDDT has the edge over ORCL on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

ORCL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+52%$192.98
Downside-19%$102.46

Calculated from the latest close: $127.11 on Nov 12.

ORCL has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RDDT, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RDDT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+77%$175.99
Downside-41%$58.49

Calculated from the latest close: $99.55 on Nov 12.

RDDT trails ORCL on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ORCL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.63Q1 2024: $3.80Q2 2024: $3.71Q3 2024: $3.88Q4 2024: $4.09Q1 2025: $4.26Q2 2025: $4.34Q3 2025: $4.32Q4 2025: $5.32Q1 2026: $5.57Q2 2026: $5.83Q3 2026: $6.38Forward: $8.53
Q4 2023: $3.63Q1 2024: $3.80Q2 2024: $3.71Q3 2024: $3.88Q4 2024: $4.09Q1 2025: $4.26Q2 2025: $4.34Q3 2025: $4.32Q4 2025: $5.32Q1 2026: $5.57Q2 2026: $5.83Q3 2026: $6.38Forward: $8.53
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$8.53+34%
Q3 2026$6.38+48%
Q2 2026$5.83+34%
Q1 2026$5.57+31%
Q4 2025$5.32+30%
Q3 2025$4.32+11%
Q2 2025$4.34+17%
Q1 2025$4.26+12%
Q4 2024$4.09+13%

ORCL has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is up 48% for ORCL versus RDDT down 39%.

RDDT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.56Q1 2024: $-8.38Q2 2024: $-8.19Q3 2024: $-7.98Q4 2025: $2.62Q1 2026: $3.50Q2 2026: $4.30Q3 2026: $4.90Forward: $6.32
Q4 2023: $-0.56Q1 2024: $-8.38Q2 2024: $-8.19Q3 2024: $-7.98Q4 2025: $2.62Q1 2026: $3.50Q2 2026: $4.30Q3 2026: $4.90Forward: $6.32
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.32+29%
Q3 2024-$7.98-$7.17
Q2 2024-$8.19-$7.15
Q1 2024-$8.38-$7.25
Q4 2023-$0.56+$0.41
Q3 2023-$0.81-$0.02
Q2 2023-$1.04-$0.48
Q1 2023-$1.13-$0.48
Q4 2022-$0.97-$0.19

RDDT has returned to profit: it earned $4.90 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

ORCL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $13.3BQ2 2024: $14.3BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.1BQ1 2025: $14.1BQ2 2025: $15.9BQ3 2025: $14.9BQ4 2025: $16.1BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $19.2BQ3 2026: $19.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $13.3BQ2 2024: $14.3BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.1BQ1 2025: $14.1BQ2 2025: $15.9BQ3 2025: $14.9BQ4 2025: $16.1BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $19.2BQ3 2026: $19.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$19.3B+30%
Q2 2026$19.2B+21%
Q1 2026$17.2B+22%
Q4 2025$16.1B+14%
Q3 2025$14.9B+12%
Q2 2025$15.9B+11%
Q1 2025$14.1B+6.4%
Q4 2024$14.1B+8.6%

ORCL's revenue has grown year over year for 13 quarters in a row: $19.3B last quarter, up 30% from the same quarter a year ago.

RDDT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $250MQ1 2024: $243MQ2 2024: $281MQ3 2024: $348MQ4 2024: $428MQ1 2025: $392MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: $585MQ4 2025: $726MQ1 2026: $663MQ2 2026: $805MQ3 2026: $895M
Q4 2023: $250MQ1 2024: $243MQ2 2024: $281MQ3 2024: $348MQ4 2024: $428MQ1 2025: $392MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: $585MQ4 2025: $726MQ1 2026: $663MQ2 2026: $805MQ3 2026: $895M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$895M+53%
Q2 2026$804.9M+61%
Q1 2026$663.4M+69%
Q4 2025$725.6M+70%
Q3 2025$584.9M+68%
Q2 2025$499.6M+78%
Q1 2025$392.4M+61%
Q4 2024$427.7M+71%

RDDT has the edge over ORCL on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

ORCL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$937MQ1 2024: $3.8BQ2 2024: $3.3BQ3 2024: $5.1BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: $71MQ2 2025: −$2.9BQ3 2025: −$362MQ4 2025: −$10BQ1 2026: −$11.5BQ2 2026: −$1.9BQ3 2026: −$5.4B
Q4 2023: −$937MQ1 2024: $3.8BQ2 2024: $3.3BQ3 2024: $5.1BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: $71MQ2 2025: −$2.9BQ3 2025: −$362MQ4 2025: −$10BQ1 2026: −$11.5BQ2 2026: −$1.9BQ3 2026: −$5.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$5.4B-$5B
Q2 2026-$1.9B+$1.1B
Q1 2026-$11.5B-16275%
Q4 2025-$10B-$7.3B
Q3 2025-$362M-107%
Q2 2025-$2.9B-189%
Q1 2025$71M-98%
Q4 2024-$2.7B-$1.7B

ORCL has burned cash in seven of the last eight quarters: −$28.7B over the past year, against −$5.9B the year before.

RDDT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$22MQ1 2024: $29MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $70MQ4 2024: $89MQ1 2025: $127MQ2 2025: $111MQ3 2025: $183MQ4 2025: $264MQ1 2026: $311MQ2 2026: $261MQ3 2026: $363M
Q4 2023: −$22MQ1 2024: $29MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $70MQ4 2024: $89MQ1 2025: $127MQ2 2025: $111MQ3 2025: $183MQ4 2025: $264MQ1 2026: $311MQ2 2026: $261MQ3 2026: $363M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$362.6M+98%
Q2 2026$260.7M+135%
Q1 2026$311.2M+146%
Q4 2025$263.6M+196%
Q3 2025$183.1M+161%
Q2 2025$110.8M+308%
Q1 2025$126.6M+333%
Q4 2024$89.2M+$111.2M

RDDT has the edge over ORCL on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ORCL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.8BQ1 2024: 2.8BQ2 2024: 2.8BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.9BQ2 2025: 2.9BQ3 2025: 2.9BQ4 2025: 2.9BQ1 2026: 2.9BQ2 2026: 2.9BQ3 2026: 3B
Q4 2023: 2.8BQ1 2024: 2.8BQ2 2024: 2.8BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.9BQ2 2025: 2.9BQ3 2025: 2.9BQ4 2025: 2.9BQ1 2026: 2.9BQ2 2026: 2.9BQ3 2026: 3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3%+86M shares
1 year+3.1%+91M shares
3 years+6.3%+177M shares
5 years+4.9%+139M shares
Available history-9.9%-331M shares

ORCL has 3B diluted shares, up 3.1% from a year ago.

RDDT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 163MQ1 2024: 70MQ2 2024: 164MQ3 2024: 192MQ1 2025: 201MQ2 2025: 200MQ3 2025: 203MQ4 2025: 202MQ1 2026: 203MQ2 2026: 202MQ3 2026: 202M
Q4 2023: 163MQ1 2024: 70MQ2 2024: 164MQ3 2024: 192MQ1 2025: 201MQ2 2025: 200MQ3 2025: 203MQ4 2025: 202MQ1 2026: 203MQ2 2026: 202MQ3 2026: 202M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-169K shares
1 year-0.4%-868K shares
3 years+24%+38.5M shares
5 years+24%+38.5M shares

RDDT has the edge over ORCL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ORCL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: 4.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.2xQ2 2025: 3.7xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 3.5xQ3 2026: -0.9x
Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: 4.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.2xQ2 2025: 3.7xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 3.5xQ3 2026: -0.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q2 20263.5xElevated
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.3xVery low
Q3 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 20253.7xElevated
Q1 20250.2xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low

ORCL has more cash than debt.

RDDT Net Leverage

Q1 2025: -13.1xQ2 2025: -5.0xQ3 2025: -3.3xQ4 2025: -2.1xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -1.9xQ3 2026: -1.5x
Q1 2025: -13.1xQ2 2025: -5.0xQ3 2025: -3.3xQ4 2025: -2.1xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -1.9xQ3 2026: -1.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.3xNet Cash
Q2 2025-5.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-13.1xNet Cash

RDDT has the edge over ORCL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

ORCL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.9Neutral
Stochastic23.0Neutral

ORCL's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 23 (neutral).

RDDT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.8Neutral
Stochastic6.5Oversold

RDDT's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

ORCL PE vs Technology Sector

MetricORCLSector medianRelative
PE20x28x28% below
PE %28357 pts below

ORCL has the edge over RDDT on valuation relative to its sector.

RDDT PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricRDDTSector medianRelative
PE20x16x23% above
PE %52318 pts below

RDDT is trading at 20x earnings, a 23% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x, though its earnings don't support one.

ORCL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$131.13.1% below
20 week MA$137.67.7% below
50 week MA$160.321% below
100 week MA$181.430% below
200 week MA$151.916% below

RDDT has stronger trend alignment. ORCL is above 0 of 5 weekly averages versus RDDT above 0 of 4.

RDDT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$130.624% below
20 week MA$151.734% below
50 week MA$165.040% below
100 week MA$167.140% below

RDDT is in a downtrend: it's below all four of its weekly moving averages, and 40% below its 100-week average.

ORCL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$53.5$65.0+22%
2021$65.0$89.7+38%
2022$89.7$80.9-9.9%
2023$80.9$105.4+30%
2024$105.4$169.0+60%
2025$169.0$198.0+17%
2026 YTD$198.0$127.1-36%

ORCL has the edge over RDDT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RDDT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$46.0$173.5+277%
2025$173.5$225.8+30%
2026 YTD$225.8$99.6-56%

RDDT has finished every year since 2024 higher, and it's down 56% so far in 2026.

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