ORCL

Oracle Corporation

65
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation78/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

ORCL has a slight edge over PYPL overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

PYPL

PayPal Holdings, Inc.

65
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation81/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

PYPL has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

ORCL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Weak
Strong

ORCL's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.

PYPL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

PYPL's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like PYPL.

ORCL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x37x56x74x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x37x56x74x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward15x$127—
Cheap19x$119-6.8%
Current20x$127—
Fair30x$189+49%
Expensive39x$247+94%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ORCL has the edge over PYPL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

PYPL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward9.9x$58.30—
Current11x$58.30—
Cheap15x$76.16+31%
Fair26x$136+133%
Expensive67x$351+503%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PYPL's PE is in its cheap range at 11x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.9x next year's earnings.

ORCL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly weakening
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for ORCL, but weaker profitability.

PYPL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
High

Analysts expect PYPL's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

ORCL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+52%$192.98
Downside-19%$102.46

Calculated from the latest close: $127.11 on Nov 12.

ORCL has a better modeled risk to reward balance than PYPL, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

PYPL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$76.35
Downside-16%$49.18

Calculated from the latest close: $58.30 on Nov 12.

PYPL trails ORCL on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ORCL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.63Q1 2024: $3.80Q2 2024: $3.71Q3 2024: $3.88Q4 2024: $4.09Q1 2025: $4.26Q2 2025: $4.34Q3 2025: $4.32Q4 2025: $5.32Q1 2026: $5.57Q2 2026: $5.83Q3 2026: $6.38Forward: $8.53
Q4 2023: $3.63Q1 2024: $3.80Q2 2024: $3.71Q3 2024: $3.88Q4 2024: $4.09Q1 2025: $4.26Q2 2025: $4.34Q3 2025: $4.32Q4 2025: $5.32Q1 2026: $5.57Q2 2026: $5.83Q3 2026: $6.38Forward: $8.53
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$8.53+34%
Q3 2026$6.38+48%
Q2 2026$5.83+34%
Q1 2026$5.57+31%
Q4 2025$5.32+30%
Q3 2025$4.32+11%
Q2 2025$4.34+17%
Q1 2025$4.26+12%
Q4 2024$4.09+13%

ORCL has the edge over PYPL on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

PYPL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.84Q1 2024: $3.97Q2 2024: $4.13Q3 2024: $4.19Q4 2024: $3.99Q1 2025: $4.45Q2 2025: $4.66Q3 2025: $4.97Q4 2025: $5.41Q1 2026: $5.33Q2 2026: $5.29Q3 2026: $5.24Forward: $5.87
Q4 2023: $3.84Q1 2024: $3.97Q2 2024: $4.13Q3 2024: $4.19Q4 2024: $3.99Q1 2025: $4.45Q2 2025: $4.66Q3 2025: $4.97Q4 2025: $5.41Q1 2026: $5.33Q2 2026: $5.29Q3 2026: $5.24Forward: $5.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.87+12%
Q3 2026$5.24+5.4%
Q2 2026$5.29+14%
Q1 2026$5.33+20%
Q4 2025$5.41+36%
Q3 2025$4.97+19%
Q2 2025$4.66+13%
Q1 2025$4.45+12%
Q4 2024$3.99+3.9%

PYPL's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $5.24 over the past year, up 5.4% from the year before, and higher year over year for 14 quarters in a row.

ORCL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $13.3BQ2 2024: $14.3BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.1BQ1 2025: $14.1BQ2 2025: $15.9BQ3 2025: $14.9BQ4 2025: $16.1BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $19.2BQ3 2026: $19.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $13.3BQ2 2024: $14.3BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.1BQ1 2025: $14.1BQ2 2025: $15.9BQ3 2025: $14.9BQ4 2025: $16.1BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $19.2BQ3 2026: $19.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$19.3B+30%
Q2 2026$19.2B+21%
Q1 2026$17.2B+22%
Q4 2025$16.1B+14%
Q3 2025$14.9B+12%
Q2 2025$15.9B+11%
Q1 2025$14.1B+6.4%
Q4 2024$14.1B+8.6%

ORCL has the edge over PYPL on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

PYPL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $8BQ1 2024: $7.7BQ2 2024: $7.9BQ3 2024: $7.8BQ4 2024: $8.4BQ1 2025: $7.8BQ2 2025: $8.3BQ3 2025: $8.4BQ4 2025: $8.7BQ1 2026: $8.4BQ2 2026: $8.7BQ3 2026: $8.6B
Q4 2023: $8BQ1 2024: $7.7BQ2 2024: $7.9BQ3 2024: $7.8BQ4 2024: $8.4BQ1 2025: $7.8BQ2 2025: $8.3BQ3 2025: $8.4BQ4 2025: $8.7BQ1 2026: $8.4BQ2 2026: $8.7BQ3 2026: $8.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$8.6B+2%
Q2 2026$8.7B+4.8%
Q1 2026$8.4B+7.2%
Q4 2025$8.7B+3.7%
Q3 2025$8.4B+7.3%
Q2 2025$8.3B+5.1%
Q1 2025$7.8B+1.2%
Q4 2024$8.4B+4.2%

PYPL's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $8.6B last quarter, up 2% from the same quarter a year ago.

ORCL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$937MQ1 2024: $3.8BQ2 2024: $3.3BQ3 2024: $5.1BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: $71MQ2 2025: −$2.9BQ3 2025: −$362MQ4 2025: −$10BQ1 2026: −$11.5BQ2 2026: −$1.9BQ3 2026: −$5.4B
Q4 2023: −$937MQ1 2024: $3.8BQ2 2024: $3.3BQ3 2024: $5.1BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: $71MQ2 2025: −$2.9BQ3 2025: −$362MQ4 2025: −$10BQ1 2026: −$11.5BQ2 2026: −$1.9BQ3 2026: −$5.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$5.4B-$5B
Q2 2026-$1.9B+$1.1B
Q1 2026-$11.5B-16275%
Q4 2025-$10B-$7.3B
Q3 2025-$362M-107%
Q2 2025-$2.9B-189%
Q1 2025$71M-98%
Q4 2024-$2.7B-$1.7B

ORCL has burned cash in seven of the last eight quarters: −$28.7B over the past year, against −$5.9B the year before.

PYPL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.5BQ1 2024: $1.8BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $2.2BQ1 2025: $964MQ2 2025: $692MQ3 2025: $1.7BQ4 2025: $2.2BQ1 2026: $903MQ2 2026: $1.8BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $2.5BQ1 2024: $1.8BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $2.2BQ1 2025: $964MQ2 2025: $692MQ3 2025: $1.7BQ4 2025: $2.2BQ1 2026: $903MQ2 2026: $1.8BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B-17%
Q2 2026$1.8B+157%
Q1 2026$903M-6.3%
Q4 2025$2.2B0%
Q3 2025$1.7B+19%
Q2 2025$692M-49%
Q1 2025$964M-45%
Q4 2024$2.2B-11%

PYPL has the edge over ORCL on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ORCL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.8BQ1 2024: 2.8BQ2 2024: 2.8BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.9BQ2 2025: 2.9BQ3 2025: 2.9BQ4 2025: 2.9BQ1 2026: 2.9BQ2 2026: 2.9BQ3 2026: 3B
Q4 2023: 2.8BQ1 2024: 2.8BQ2 2024: 2.8BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.9BQ2 2025: 2.9BQ3 2025: 2.9BQ4 2025: 2.9BQ1 2026: 2.9BQ2 2026: 2.9BQ3 2026: 3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3%+86M shares
1 year+3.1%+91M shares
3 years+6.3%+177M shares
5 years+4.9%+139M shares
Available history-9.9%-331M shares

ORCL has 3B diluted shares, up 3.1% from a year ago.

PYPL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.1BQ1 2024: 1.1BQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 999MQ2 2025: 977MQ3 2025: 960MQ4 2025: 968MQ1 2026: 920MQ2 2026: 882MQ3 2026: 858M
Q4 2023: 1.1BQ1 2024: 1.1BQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 999MQ2 2025: 977MQ3 2025: 960MQ4 2025: 968MQ1 2026: 920MQ2 2026: 882MQ3 2026: 858M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.7%-24M shares
1 year-11%-102M shares
3 years-22%-240M shares
5 years-28%-329M shares
Available history-28%-329M shares

PYPL has the edge over ORCL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ORCL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: 4.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.2xQ2 2025: 3.7xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 3.5xQ3 2026: -0.9x
Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: 4.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.2xQ2 2025: 3.7xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 3.5xQ3 2026: -0.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q2 20263.5xElevated
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.3xVery low
Q3 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 20253.7xElevated
Q1 20250.2xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low

ORCL has the edge over PYPL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

PYPL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.6xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.4xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 0.9x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.6xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.4xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 0.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.9xVery low
Q2 20260.7xVery low
Q1 20260.4xVery low
Q4 20250.3xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20250.7xVery low
Q1 20250.6xVery low
Q4 20240.5xVery low

PYPL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like PYPL.

ORCL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.9Neutral
Stochastic23.0Neutral

ORCL's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 23 (neutral).

PYPL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.2Neutral
Stochastic61.9Neutral

PYPL's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 62 (neutral).

ORCL PE vs Technology Sector

MetricORCLSector medianRelative
PE20x28x28% below
PE %28357 pts below

ORCL has the edge over PYPL on valuation relative to its sector.

PYPL PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricPYPLSector medianRelative
PE11x13x15% below
PE %106353 pts below

PYPL is trading at 11x earnings, a 15% discount to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

ORCL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$131.13.1% below
20 week MA$137.67.7% below
50 week MA$160.321% below
100 week MA$181.430% below
200 week MA$151.916% below

ORCL is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 16% below its 200-week average.

PYPL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$56.53.3% above
20 week MA$55.55% above
50 week MA$51.513% above
100 week MA$61.65.4% below
200 week MA$64.59.6% below

PYPL has the edge over ORCL on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ORCL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$53.5$65.0+22%
2021$65.0$89.7+38%
2022$89.7$80.9-9.9%
2023$80.9$105.4+30%
2024$105.4$169.0+60%
2025$169.0$198.0+17%
2026 YTD$198.0$127.1-36%

ORCL is down 36% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in five of the previous six years.

PYPL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$109.4$238.6+118%
2021$238.6$192.0-20%
2022$192.0$69.0-64%
2023$69.0$61.4-11%
2024$61.4$86.9+41%
2025$86.9$60.0-31%
2026 YTD$60.0$58.3-2.8%

PYPL has the edge over ORCL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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