OPTU

Optimum Communications, Inc.

41
Fundamentals32/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential54/ 100

OPTU trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

TMUS

T-Mobile US, Inc.

69
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation82/ 100
Upside potential82/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

TMUS has the edge over OPTU overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

OPTU Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Weak
Under pressure
Weak

OPTU's revenue is currently stable, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

TMUS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Strong

TMUS's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

OPTU PE Valuation

OPTU has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TMUS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x65x97x130x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x65x97x130x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward13x$171—
Current16x$171—
Cheap21x$218+27%
Fair26x$274+60%
Expensive56x$581+240%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TMUS's PE is in its cheap range at 16x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13x next year's earnings.

OPTU Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Stable
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect OPTU's losses to grow, with revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

TMUS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

TMUS has the edge over OPTU on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

OPTU Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+116%$1.38
Downside-55%$0.29

Calculated from the latest close: $0.64 on Nov 12.

OPTU trails TMUS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TMUS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+41%$240.82
Downside-9%$155.85

Calculated from the latest close: $171.03 on Nov 12.

TMUS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than OPTU, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

OPTU Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.12Q1 2024: $0.01Q2 2024: $-0.13Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.22Q1 2025: $-0.33Q2 2025: $-0.57Q3 2025: $-3.95Q4 2025: $-3.99Q1 2026: $-8.40Q2 2026: $-8.86Q3 2026: $-15.63
Q4 2023: $0.12Q1 2024: $0.01Q2 2024: $-0.13Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.22Q1 2025: $-0.33Q2 2025: $-0.57Q3 2025: $-3.95Q4 2025: $-3.99Q1 2026: $-8.40Q2 2026: $-8.86Q3 2026: $-15.63
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$15.63-$11.68
Q2 2026-$8.86-$8.29
Q1 2026-$8.40-$8.07
Q4 2025-$3.99-$3.77
Q3 2025-$3.95-$3.58
Q2 2025-$0.57-$0.44
Q1 2025-$0.33-3400%
Q4 2024-$0.22-283%

OPTU lost $15.63 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last seven quarters.

TMUS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.93Q1 2024: $7.35Q2 2024: $7.98Q3 2024: $8.77Q4 2024: $9.66Q1 2025: $10.24Q2 2025: $10.59Q3 2025: $10.39Q4 2025: $9.72Q1 2026: $9.41Q2 2026: $9.56Q3 2026: $10.37Forward: $13.49
Q4 2023: $6.93Q1 2024: $7.35Q2 2024: $7.98Q3 2024: $8.77Q4 2024: $9.66Q1 2025: $10.24Q2 2025: $10.59Q3 2025: $10.39Q4 2025: $9.72Q1 2026: $9.41Q2 2026: $9.56Q3 2026: $10.37Forward: $13.49
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.49+30%
Q3 2026$10.37-0.2%
Q2 2026$9.56-9.7%
Q1 2026$9.41-8.1%
Q4 2025$9.72+0.6%
Q3 2025$10.39+18%
Q2 2025$10.59+33%
Q1 2025$10.24+39%
Q4 2024$9.66+39%

TMUS has the edge over OPTU on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

OPTU Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.3BQ1 2024: $2.3BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $2.2BQ1 2025: $2.2BQ2 2025: $2.1BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: $2.2BQ1 2026: $2.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $2B
Q4 2023: $2.3BQ1 2024: $2.3BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $2.2BQ1 2025: $2.2BQ2 2025: $2.1BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: $2.2BQ1 2026: $2.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2B-5.1%
Q2 2026$2B-5.8%
Q1 2026$2.1B-4%
Q4 2025$2.2B-2.3%
Q3 2025$2.1B-5.4%
Q2 2025$2.1B-4.2%
Q1 2025$2.2B-4.4%
Q4 2024$2.2B-2.9%

OPTU's revenue has slid since its 2021 peak: $2B last quarter, down 5.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

TMUS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $20.5BQ1 2024: $19.6BQ2 2024: $19.8BQ3 2024: $20.2BQ4 2024: $21.9BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $21.1BQ3 2025: $22BQ4 2025: $24.3BQ1 2026: $23.1BQ2 2026: $22.8BQ3 2026: $23.6B
Q4 2023: $20.5BQ1 2024: $19.6BQ2 2024: $19.8BQ3 2024: $20.2BQ4 2024: $21.9BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $21.1BQ3 2025: $22BQ4 2025: $24.3BQ1 2026: $23.1BQ2 2026: $22.8BQ3 2026: $23.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$23.6B+7.4%
Q2 2026$22.8B+7.9%
Q1 2026$23.1B+11%
Q4 2025$24.3B+11%
Q3 2025$22B+8.9%
Q2 2025$21.1B+6.9%
Q1 2025$20.9B+6.6%
Q4 2024$21.9B+6.8%

TMUS has the edge over OPTU on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

OPTU Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $201MQ1 2024: $64MQ2 2024: −$41MQ3 2024: $77MQ4 2024: $50MQ1 2025: −$169MQ2 2025: $28MQ3 2025: −$178MQ4 2025: $199MQ1 2026: −$137MQ2 2026: −$92MQ3 2026: −$268M
Q4 2023: $201MQ1 2024: $64MQ2 2024: −$41MQ3 2024: $77MQ4 2024: $50MQ1 2025: −$169MQ2 2025: $28MQ3 2025: −$178MQ4 2025: $199MQ1 2026: −$137MQ2 2026: −$92MQ3 2026: −$268M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$267.9M-$89.8M
Q2 2026-$91.9M-423%
Q1 2026-$137.4M+$31.2M
Q4 2025$199.4M+300%
Q3 2025-$178.1M-332%
Q2 2025$28.4M+$69.4M
Q1 2025-$168.6M-365%
Q4 2024$49.9M-75%

OPTU's free cash flow was −$298M over the past year, against −$268M the year before.

TMUS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: $2.5BQ2 2024: $3.5BQ3 2024: $4.2BQ4 2024: $3.3BQ1 2025: $4.4BQ2 2025: $4.6BQ3 2025: $4.8BQ4 2025: $4.2BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.8BQ3 2026: $5.1B
Q4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: $2.5BQ2 2024: $3.5BQ3 2024: $4.2BQ4 2024: $3.3BQ1 2025: $4.4BQ2 2025: $4.6BQ3 2025: $4.8BQ4 2025: $4.2BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.8BQ3 2026: $5.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$5.1B+5.3%
Q2 2026$4.8B+4.4%
Q1 2026$4.6B+4.6%
Q4 2025$4.2B+25%
Q3 2025$4.8B+15%
Q2 2025$4.6B+32%
Q1 2025$4.4B+79%
Q4 2024$3.3B+2%

TMUS has the edge over OPTU on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

OPTU Total Shares

Q4 2023: 455MQ1 2024: 457MQ2 2024: 460MQ3 2024: 461MQ4 2024: 460MQ1 2025: 465MQ2 2025: 468MQ3 2025: 469MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 472MQ2 2026: 446MQ3 2026: 282M
Q4 2023: 455MQ1 2024: 457MQ2 2024: 460MQ3 2024: 461MQ4 2024: 460MQ1 2025: 465MQ2 2025: 468MQ3 2025: 469MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 472MQ2 2026: 446MQ3 2026: 282M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-37%-164M shares
1 year-40%-187M shares
3 years-38%-173M shares
5 years-38%-175M shares
Available history-57%-381M shares

OPTU has the edge over TMUS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TMUS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.2BQ1 2024: 1.2BQ2 2024: 1.2BQ3 2024: 1.2BQ4 2024: 1.2BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
Q4 2023: 1.2BQ1 2024: 1.2BQ2 2024: 1.2BQ3 2024: 1.2BQ4 2024: 1.2BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1%-10.8M shares
1 year-4.9%-55M shares
3 years-8.8%-103M shares
5 years-15%-182M shares
Available history+24%+207M shares

TMUS has 1.1B diluted shares, down 4.9% from a year ago, with $12B in buybacks over the past year.

OPTU Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 7.4xQ1 2024: 7.5xQ2 2024: 7.6xQ3 2024: 7.7xQ4 2024: 7.5xQ1 2025: 7.6xQ2 2025: 8.0xQ3 2025: 16.4xQ4 2025: 15.9x
Q4 2023: 7.4xQ1 2024: 7.5xQ2 2024: 7.6xQ3 2024: 7.7xQ4 2024: 7.5xQ1 2025: 7.6xQ2 2025: 8.0xQ3 2025: 16.4xQ4 2025: 15.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 202515.9xHigh
Q3 202516.4xHigh
Q2 20258.0xHigh
Q1 20257.6xHigh
Q4 20247.5xHigh
Q3 20247.7xHigh
Q2 20247.6xHigh
Q1 20247.5xHigh

OPTU's net debt is about 16 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 7.5 years a year ago.

TMUS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.0x
Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.0xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 20252.5xModerate
Q3 20250.1xVery low
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 20242.4xModerate

TMUS's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

OPTU Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.2Neutral
Stochastic33.9Neutral

OPTU's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 34 (neutral).

TMUS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.9Neutral
Stochastic42.1Neutral

TMUS's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 42 (neutral).

OPTU PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricOPTUSector medianRelative
PEN/A16x—

OPTU has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TMUS PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricTMUSSector medianRelative
PE16x16xSame PE
PE %12625 pts below

TMUS is trading at 16x earnings, in line with the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

OPTU Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$0.8222% below
20 week MA$0.9029% below
50 week MA$1.2348% below
100 week MA$1.8365% below
200 week MA$2.2872% below

OPTU is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 72% below its 200-week average.

TMUS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$159.17.5% above
20 week MA$172.00.5% below
50 week MA$187.88.9% below
100 week MA$212.920% below
200 week MA$188.79.4% below

TMUS has the edge over OPTU on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

OPTU Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$27.2$36.0+33%
2021$36.0$16.1-55%
2022$16.1$4.39-73%
2023$4.39$3.25-26%
2024$3.25$2.41-26%
2025$2.41$1.66-31%
2026 YTD$1.66$0.64-61%

OPTU has finished five years in a row lower, and it's down 61% so far in 2026.

TMUS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$77.2$132.9+72%
2021$132.9$119.9-9.8%
2022$119.9$140.0+17%
2023$140.0$160.3+15%
2024$160.3$223.0+39%
2025$223.0$201.0-9.9%
2026 YTD$201.0$171.0-15%

TMUS has the edge over OPTU on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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