OPLN

OPENLANE, Inc.

64
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

OPLN has the edge over TSLA overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

TSLA

Tesla, Inc.

52
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

TSLA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

OPLN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Strong
Healthy

OPLN's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.

TSLA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

OPLN PE Valuation

OPLN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TSLA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap60x$54.70-86%
Fair174x$158-60%
Forward196x$397—
Expensive415x$378-4.9%
Current437x$397—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

OPLN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for OPLN, with profitability holding steady.

TSLA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TSLA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

OPLN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$45.32
Downside-22%$27.03

Calculated from the latest close: $34.74 on Nov 12.

OPLN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TSLA, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

TSLA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$515.78
Downside-34%$263.05

Calculated from the latest close: $397.45 on Nov 12.

TSLA trails OPLN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

OPLN Earnings Per Share

Q2 2025: $0.74Q3 2025: $0.87Q4 2025: $-1.19Q1 2026: $-1.02Q2 2026: $-0.85Q3 2026: $-0.74Forward: $1.66
Q2 2025: $0.74Q3 2025: $0.87Q4 2025: $-1.19Q1 2026: $-1.02Q2 2026: $-0.85Q3 2026: $-0.74Forward: $1.66
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.66—
Q3 2026-$0.74-185%
Q2 2026-$0.85-215%
Q4 2021$0.12+$0.35
Q3 2021-$0.05-136%
Q2 2021$0.28+56%
Q1 2021$0.00-100%
Q4 2020-$0.23-122%

OPLN has swung to a loss: it lost $0.74 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

TSLA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.03+123%
Q3 2026$0.91-39%
Q2 2026$1.08-38%
Q1 2026$1.09-40%
Q4 2025$1.08-47%
Q3 2025$1.50-59%
Q2 2025$1.73-51%
Q1 2025$1.82-53%
Q4 2024$2.04-53%

TSLA has the edge over OPLN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

OPLN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $391MQ1 2024: $416MQ2 2024: $432MQ3 2024: $448MQ4 2024: $455MQ1 2025: $460MQ2 2025: $482MQ3 2025: $498MQ4 2025: $494MQ1 2026: $528MQ2 2026: $555MQ3 2026: $561M
Q4 2023: $391MQ1 2024: $416MQ2 2024: $432MQ3 2024: $448MQ4 2024: $455MQ1 2025: $460MQ2 2025: $482MQ3 2025: $498MQ4 2025: $494MQ1 2026: $528MQ2 2026: $555MQ3 2026: $561M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$561.2M+13%
Q2 2026$554.6M+15%
Q1 2026$527.9M+15%
Q4 2025$494.3M+8.6%
Q3 2025$498.4M+11%
Q2 2025$481.7M+12%
Q1 2025$460.1M+11%
Q4 2024$455M+16%

OPLN has the edge over TSLA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$28B-0.2%
Q2 2026$28.2B+26%
Q1 2026$22.4B+16%
Q4 2025$24.9B-3.1%
Q3 2025$28.1B+12%
Q2 2025$22.5B-12%
Q1 2025$19.3B-9.2%
Q4 2024$25.7B+2.1%

TSLA's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $28B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

OPLN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9MQ1 2024: $87MQ2 2024: $25MQ3 2024: $109MQ4 2024: $19MQ1 2025: $111MQ2 2025: $57MQ3 2025: $58MQ4 2025: $111MQ1 2026: $147MQ2 2026: $39MQ3 2026: $83M
Q4 2023: $9MQ1 2024: $87MQ2 2024: $25MQ3 2024: $109MQ4 2024: $19MQ1 2025: $111MQ2 2025: $57MQ3 2025: $58MQ4 2025: $111MQ1 2026: $147MQ2 2026: $39MQ3 2026: $83M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$83.3M+45%
Q2 2026$39M-32%
Q1 2026$146.5M+32%
Q4 2025$110.8M+493%
Q3 2025$57.6M-47%
Q2 2025$57.4M+134%
Q1 2025$110.7M+27%
Q4 2024$18.7M+117%

OPLN has the edge over TSLA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B-62%
Q2 2026-$1.1B-848%
Q1 2026$1.4B+117%
Q4 2025$1.4B-30%
Q3 2025$4B+46%
Q2 2025$146M-89%
Q1 2025$664M+$3.2B
Q4 2024$2B-1.6%

TSLA still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $3.3B over the past year.

OPLN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 109MQ1 2024: 109MQ3 2024: 109MQ4 2024: 109MQ1 2025: 109MQ2 2025: 109MQ3 2025: 108MQ4 2025: 107MQ1 2026: 108MQ2 2026: 117MQ3 2026: 125M
Q4 2023: 109MQ1 2024: 109MQ3 2024: 109MQ4 2024: 109MQ1 2025: 109MQ2 2025: 109MQ3 2025: 108MQ4 2025: 107MQ1 2026: 108MQ2 2026: 117MQ3 2026: 125M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7%+8.2M shares
1 year+16%+17.1M shares
3 years+7.8%+9.1M shares
5 years-3%-3.9M shares
Available history-5.6%-7.5M shares

OPLN has 125M diluted shares, up 16% from a year ago, despite $101M in buybacks over the past year.

TSLA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+1M shares
1 year+0.4%+15M shares
3 years+1.4%+48M shares
5 years+5.1%+172M shares
Available history+33%+886M shares

TSLA has the edge over OPLN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

OPLN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.7xQ1 2024: 2.1xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.0xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.3xQ4 2025: 1.4xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.1xQ3 2026: 0.8x
Q4 2023: 2.7xQ1 2024: 2.1xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.0xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.3xQ4 2025: 1.4xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.1xQ3 2026: 0.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.8xVery low
Q2 20261.1xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.4xHealthy
Q3 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 20250.0xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low

OPLN's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

TSLA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

TSLA has the edge over OPLN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

OPLN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.6Neutral
Stochastic32.5Neutral

OPLN's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).

TSLA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.3Neutral
Stochastic72.6Neutral

TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

OPLN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricOPLNSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

OPLN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTSLASector medianRelative
PE437x18x2,324% above
PE %844737 pts above

TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

OPLN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.24.1% below
20 week MA$36.75.4% below
50 week MA$33.63.3% above
100 week MA$28.522% above
200 week MA$22.257% above

OPLN has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 57% above its 200-week average.

TSLA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$376.05.7% above
20 week MA$364.09.2% above
50 week MA$393.61% above
100 week MA$372.16.8% above
200 week MA$296.934% above

TSLA has the edge over OPLN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

OPLN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$21.6$18.2-16%
2021$18.2$15.5-15%
2022$15.5$12.8-18%
2023$12.8$14.8+16%
2024$14.8$20.1+36%
2025$20.1$31.0+54%
2026 YTD$31.0$34.7+12%

OPLN has the edge over TSLA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TSLA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.7$220.6+669%
2021$220.6$355.7+61%
2022$355.7$123.2-65%
2023$123.2$248.5+102%
2024$248.5$431.7+74%
2025$431.7$475.2+10%
2026 YTD$475.2$397.5-16%

TSLA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +669% in 2020 to −65% in 2022. It's down 16% so far in 2026.

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