OPAL

OPAL Fuels Inc.

48
Fundamentals50/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

OPAL has the edge over SMR overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

SMR

NuScale Power Corporation

39
Fundamentals12/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential40/ 100

SMR offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

OPAL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Weak

OPAL's revenue is currently stable, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

SMR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

SMR's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

OPAL PE Valuation

OPAL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SMR PE Valuation

SMR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

OPAL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect OPAL's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

SMR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
High

Analysts expect SMR's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

OPAL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+52%$1.89
Downside-35%$0.81

Calculated from the latest close: $1.24 on Nov 12.

OPAL trails SMR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SMR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+70%$8.20
Downside-40%$2.88

Calculated from the latest close: $4.82 on Nov 12.

SMR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than OPAL, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

OPAL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.69Q1 2024: $0.74Q2 2024: $0.07Q3 2024: $0.17Q2 2026: $-0.01Q3 2026: $-0.09Forward: $0.24
Q4 2023: $0.69Q1 2024: $0.74Q2 2024: $0.07Q3 2024: $0.17Q2 2026: $-0.01Q3 2026: $-0.09Forward: $0.24

OPAL has the edge over SMR in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

SMR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.80Q1 2024: $-0.85Q2 2024: $-1.03Q3 2024: $-0.95Q4 2024: $-1.47Q1 2025: $-1.37Q2 2025: $-1.19Q3 2025: $-2.86Q4 2025: $-2.43Q1 2026: $-2.46Q2 2026: $-2.46Q3 2026: $-0.72
Q4 2023: $-0.80Q1 2024: $-0.85Q2 2024: $-1.03Q3 2024: $-0.95Q4 2024: $-1.47Q1 2025: $-1.37Q2 2025: $-1.19Q3 2025: $-2.86Q4 2025: $-2.43Q1 2026: $-2.46Q2 2026: $-2.46Q3 2026: $-0.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.72+$2.14
Q2 2026-$2.46-$1.27
Q1 2026-$2.46-$1.09
Q4 2025-$2.43-$0.96
Q3 2025-$2.86-$1.91
Q2 2025-$1.19-$0.16
Q1 2025-$1.37-$0.52
Q4 2024-$1.47-$0.67

SMR is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.72 per share over the past year, against $2.86 at its worst in late 2025.

OPAL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $87MQ1 2024: $65MQ2 2024: $71MQ3 2024: $84MQ4 2024: $80MQ1 2025: $85MQ2 2025: $80MQ3 2025: $83MQ4 2025: $100MQ1 2026: $73MQ2 2026: $83MQ3 2026: $79M
Q4 2023: $87MQ1 2024: $65MQ2 2024: $71MQ3 2024: $84MQ4 2024: $80MQ1 2025: $85MQ2 2025: $80MQ3 2025: $83MQ4 2025: $100MQ1 2026: $73MQ2 2026: $83MQ3 2026: $79M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$79.5M-4.6%
Q2 2026$83.4M+3.7%
Q1 2026$73.4M-14%
Q4 2025$99.8M+25%
Q3 2025$83.4M-0.8%
Q2 2025$80.5M+13%
Q1 2025$85.4M+31%
Q4 2024$80M-8%

OPAL's revenue has held roughly level: $79M last quarter, down 4.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

SMR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: $967,000Q3 2024: $475,000Q4 2024: $34MQ1 2025: $13MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $8MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: $565,000Q2 2026: $75,000Q3 2026: $281,000
Q4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: $967,000Q3 2024: $475,000Q4 2024: $34MQ1 2025: $13MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $8MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: $565,000Q2 2026: $75,000Q3 2026: $281,000
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$281K-97%
Q2 2026$75K-99%
Q1 2026$565K-96%
Q4 2025$1.8M-95%
Q3 2025$8.2M+1635%
Q2 2025$8.1M+733%
Q1 2025$13.4M+870%
Q4 2024$34.2M+651%

SMR has the edge over OPAL on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

OPAL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $12MQ1 2024: โˆ’$13MQ2 2024: โˆ’$22MQ3 2024: โˆ’$5MQ4 2024: โˆ’$53MQ1 2025: $18MQ2 2025: โˆ’$30MQ3 2025: โˆ’$9MQ4 2025: โˆ’$13MQ1 2026: โˆ’$11MQ2 2026: โˆ’$18MQ3 2026: โˆ’$2M
Q4 2023: $12MQ1 2024: โˆ’$13MQ2 2024: โˆ’$22MQ3 2024: โˆ’$5MQ4 2024: โˆ’$53MQ1 2025: $18MQ2 2025: โˆ’$30MQ3 2025: โˆ’$9MQ4 2025: โˆ’$13MQ1 2026: โˆ’$11MQ2 2026: โˆ’$18MQ3 2026: โˆ’$2M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$2M+$7.3M
Q2 2026-$17.6M+$12.2M
Q1 2026-$11.5M-163%
Q4 2025-$13.4M+$40M
Q3 2025-$9.3M-$3.9M
Q2 2025-$29.7M-$7.3M
Q1 2025$18.1M+$31.1M
Q4 2024-$53.3M-549%

OPAL has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is up 33% versus its history, compared with SMR at down 161%.

SMR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$73MQ1 2024: โˆ’$33MQ2 2024: โˆ’$36MQ3 2024: โˆ’$13MQ4 2024: โˆ’$26MQ1 2025: โˆ’$23MQ2 2025: โˆ’$33MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: โˆ’$204MQ1 2026: โˆ’$316MQ2 2026: โˆ’$59MQ3 2026: โˆ’$29M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$73MQ1 2024: โˆ’$33MQ2 2024: โˆ’$36MQ3 2024: โˆ’$13MQ4 2024: โˆ’$26MQ1 2025: โˆ’$23MQ2 2025: โˆ’$33MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: โˆ’$204MQ1 2026: โˆ’$316MQ2 2026: โˆ’$59MQ3 2026: โˆ’$29M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$58.6M-$25.3M
Q1 2026-$316.2M-$293.3M
Q4 2025-$204.1M-$177.6M
Q2 2025-$33.3M+$2.7M
Q1 2025-$22.9M+$10.6M
Q4 2024-$26.5M+$46.8M
Q3 2024-$12.7M+$15M
Q2 2024-$36M+$4.5M

SMR has burned cash in almost every quarter: โˆ’$608M over the past year, against โˆ’$95M the year before.

OPAL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 27MQ1 2024: 27MQ2 2024: 28MQ3 2024: 28MQ4 2024: 28MQ1 2025: 28MQ3 2025: 30MQ4 2025: 29MQ1 2026: 28MQ2 2026: 30MQ3 2026: 30M
Q4 2023: 27MQ1 2024: 27MQ2 2024: 28MQ3 2024: 28MQ4 2024: 28MQ1 2025: 28MQ3 2025: 30MQ4 2025: 29MQ1 2026: 28MQ2 2026: 30MQ3 2026: 30M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year+0.2%+48.4K shares
3 years+8.8%+2.4M shares

OPAL has the edge over SMR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SMR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 73MQ1 2024: 80MQ2 2024: 90MQ3 2024: 95MQ4 2024: 93MQ1 2025: 128MQ2 2025: 133MQ3 2025: 148MQ4 2025: 164MQ1 2026: 320MQ2 2026: 365MQ3 2026: 410M
Q4 2023: 73MQ1 2024: 80MQ2 2024: 90MQ3 2024: 95MQ4 2024: 93MQ1 2025: 128MQ2 2025: 133MQ3 2025: 148MQ4 2025: 164MQ1 2026: 320MQ2 2026: 365MQ3 2026: 410M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+45.9M shares
1 year+178%+263M shares
3 years+448%+336M shares

SMR has 410M diluted shares, up 178% from a year ago.

OPAL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 7.3xQ1 2024: 4.6xQ2 2024: 4.0xQ3 2024: 3.5xQ4 2024: 6.7xQ1 2025: 7.0xQ2 2025: 9.4xQ3 2025: 13.4xQ4 2025: 11.3xQ1 2026: 12.1xQ2 2026: 14.3xQ3 2026: 11.3x
Q4 2023: 7.3xQ1 2024: 4.6xQ2 2024: 4.0xQ3 2024: 3.5xQ4 2024: 6.7xQ1 2025: 7.0xQ2 2025: 9.4xQ3 2025: 13.4xQ4 2025: 11.3xQ1 2026: 12.1xQ2 2026: 14.3xQ3 2026: 11.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202611.3xHigh
Q2 202614.3xHigh
Q1 202612.1xHigh
Q4 202511.3xHigh
Q3 202513.4xHigh
Q2 20259.4xHigh
Q1 20257.0xHigh
Q4 20246.7xHigh

OPAL's net debt is about 11 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 13 years a year ago.

SMR Net Leverage

SMR's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

OPAL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI27.9Oversold
Stochastic4.0Oversold

OPAL's weekly RSI is 28 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 4 (oversold).

SMR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI29.5Oversold
Stochastic8.6Oversold

SMR's weekly RSI is 30 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 9 (oversold).

OPAL PE vs Utilities Sector

MetricOPALSector medianRelative
PEN/A20xโ€”

OPAL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SMR PE vs Utilities Sector

SMR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

OPAL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1.5822% below
20 week MA$1.9235% below
50 week MA$2.1442% below
100 week MA$2.3247% below
200 week MA$3.9669% below

OPAL is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 69% below its 200-week average.

SMR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.2623% below
20 week MA$7.8839% below
50 week MA$11.458% below
100 week MA$20.276% below
200 week MA$14.467% below

SMR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 67% below its 200-week average.

OPAL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$9.75$9.97+2.3%
2022$9.97$6.87-31%
2023$6.87$5.52-20%
2024$5.52$3.31-40%
2025$3.31$2.69-19%
2026 YTD$2.69$1.24-54%

OPAL has the edge over SMR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SMR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.1$10.3+1.2%
2021$10.3$10.1-1.9%
2022$10.1$10.1+0.5%
2023$10.1$3.29-67%
2024$3.29$19.5+493%
2025$19.5$14.9-24%
2026 YTD$14.9$4.82-68%

SMR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +493% in 2024 to โˆ’67% in 2023. It's down 68% so far in 2026.

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