ONEW

OneWater Marine Inc.

48
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

ONEW offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

TSLA

Tesla, Inc.

52
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

TSLA has the edge over ONEW overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

ONEW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Under pressure
Under pressure
Weak

ONEW's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently under pressure.

TSLA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

ONEW PE Valuation

ONEW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TSLA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap60x$54.70-86%
Fair174x$158-60%
Forward196x$397—
Expensive415x$378-4.9%
Current437x$397—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

ONEW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect ONEW's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

TSLA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TSLA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ONEW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$15.31
Downside-35%$6.36

Calculated from the latest close: $9.85 on Nov 12.

ONEW has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TSLA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TSLA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$515.78
Downside-34%$263.05

Calculated from the latest close: $397.45 on Nov 12.

TSLA trails ONEW on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ONEW Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-2.76Q4 2023: $-3.86Q1 2024: $-5.69Q2 2024: $-6.65Q3 2024: $-0.40Q4 2024: $-0.72Q1 2025: $-0.47Q2 2025: $-0.81Q3 2025: $-7.08Q4 2025: $-6.74Q1 2026: $-7.50Q2 2026: $-7.46Forward: $1.12
Q3 2023: $-2.76Q4 2023: $-3.86Q1 2024: $-5.69Q2 2024: $-6.65Q3 2024: $-0.40Q4 2024: $-0.72Q1 2025: $-0.47Q2 2025: $-0.81Q3 2025: $-7.08Q4 2025: $-6.74Q1 2026: $-7.50Q2 2026: $-7.46Forward: $1.12
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.12—
Q2 2026-$7.46-$6.65
Q1 2026-$7.50-$7.03
Q4 2025-$6.74-$6.02
Q3 2025-$7.08-$6.68
Q2 2025-$0.81+$5.84
Q1 2025-$0.47+$5.22
Q4 2024-$0.72+$3.14
Q3 2024-$0.40+$2.36

ONEW lost $7.46 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.

TSLA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.03+123%
Q3 2026$0.91-39%
Q2 2026$1.08-38%
Q1 2026$1.09-40%
Q4 2025$1.08-47%
Q3 2025$1.50-59%
Q2 2025$1.73-51%
Q1 2025$1.82-53%
Q4 2024$2.04-53%

TSLA has the edge over ONEW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ONEW Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $451MQ4 2023: $364MQ1 2024: $488MQ2 2024: $542MQ3 2024: $378MQ4 2024: $376MQ1 2025: $484MQ2 2025: $553MQ3 2025: $460MQ4 2025: $381MQ1 2026: $442MQ2 2026: $531M
Q3 2023: $451MQ4 2023: $364MQ1 2024: $488MQ2 2024: $542MQ3 2024: $378MQ4 2024: $376MQ1 2025: $484MQ2 2025: $553MQ3 2025: $460MQ4 2025: $381MQ1 2026: $442MQ2 2026: $531M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$530.7M-4%
Q1 2026$442.3M-8.5%
Q4 2025$380.6M+1.3%
Q3 2025$460.1M+22%
Q2 2025$552.9M+1.9%
Q1 2025$483.5M-1%
Q4 2024$375.8M+3.2%
Q3 2024$377.9M-16%

ONEW's revenue grew through 2022 and has held roughly level since: $531M last quarter, down 4% from the same quarter a year ago.

TSLA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$28B-0.2%
Q2 2026$28.2B+26%
Q1 2026$22.4B+16%
Q4 2025$24.9B-3.1%
Q3 2025$28.1B+12%
Q2 2025$22.5B-12%
Q1 2025$19.3B-9.2%
Q4 2024$25.7B+2.1%

TSLA has the edge over ONEW on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

ONEW Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$1MQ4 2023: −$115MQ1 2024: $14MQ2 2024: $87MQ3 2024: $23MQ4 2024: −$40MQ1 2025: $24MQ2 2025: $89MQ3 2025: $7MQ4 2025: −$78MQ1 2026: $50MQ2 2026: $78M
Q3 2023: −$1MQ4 2023: −$115MQ1 2024: $14MQ2 2024: $87MQ3 2024: $23MQ4 2024: −$40MQ1 2025: $24MQ2 2025: $89MQ3 2025: $7MQ4 2025: −$78MQ1 2026: $50MQ2 2026: $78M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$77.9M-12%
Q1 2026$50M+110%
Q4 2025-$78.4M-$38M
Q3 2025$7.2M-69%
Q2 2025$88.6M+2.1%
Q1 2025$23.8M+75%
Q4 2024-$40.4M+$75M
Q3 2024$23M+$24.2M

ONEW has the edge over TSLA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B-62%
Q2 2026-$1.1B-848%
Q1 2026$1.4B+117%
Q4 2025$1.4B-30%
Q3 2025$4B+46%
Q2 2025$146M-89%
Q1 2025$664M+$3.2B
Q4 2024$2B-1.6%

TSLA still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $3.3B over the past year.

ONEW Total Shares

Q3 2023: 14MQ4 2023: 15MQ1 2024: 15MQ2 2024: 15MQ3 2024: 15MQ4 2024: 15MQ1 2025: 16MQ2 2025: 16MQ3 2025: 16MQ4 2025: 17MQ1 2026: 17MQ2 2026: 17M
Q3 2023: 14MQ4 2023: 15MQ1 2024: 15MQ2 2024: 15MQ3 2024: 15MQ4 2024: 15MQ1 2025: 16MQ2 2025: 16MQ3 2025: 16MQ4 2025: 17MQ1 2026: 17MQ2 2026: 17M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2%+340K shares
1 year+3.1%+510K shares
3 years+16%+2.3M shares
5 years+49%+5.6M shares
Available history+214%+11.6M shares

ONEW has 17M diluted shares, up 3.1% from a year ago.

TSLA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+1M shares
1 year+0.4%+15M shares
3 years+1.4%+48M shares
5 years+5.1%+172M shares
Available history+33%+886M shares

TSLA has the edge over ONEW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ONEW Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 5.3xQ4 2023: 6.5xQ1 2024: 7.5xQ2 2024: 8.1xQ3 2024: 9.5xQ4 2024: 10.4xQ1 2025: 11.4xQ2 2025: 11.7x
Q3 2023: 5.3xQ4 2023: 6.5xQ1 2024: 7.5xQ2 2024: 8.1xQ3 2024: 9.5xQ4 2024: 10.4xQ1 2025: 11.4xQ2 2025: 11.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 202511.7xHigh
Q1 202511.4xHigh
Q4 202410.4xHigh
Q3 20249.5xHigh
Q2 20248.1xHigh
Q1 20247.5xHigh
Q4 20236.5xHigh
Q3 20235.3xHigh

ONEW's net debt is about 12 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 8.1 years a year ago.

TSLA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

TSLA has more cash than debt.

ONEW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.3Neutral
Stochastic21.7Neutral

ONEW's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 22 (neutral).

TSLA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.3Neutral
Stochastic72.6Neutral

TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

ONEW PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricONEWSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

ONEW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTSLASector medianRelative
PE437x18x2,324% above
PE %844737 pts above

TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

ONEW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.622.4% above
20 week MA$10.99.6% below
50 week MA$11.111% below
100 week MA$13.326% below
200 week MA$20.051% below

ONEW has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 51% below its 200-week average.

TSLA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$376.05.7% above
20 week MA$364.09.2% above
50 week MA$393.61% above
100 week MA$372.16.8% above
200 week MA$296.934% above

TSLA has the edge over ONEW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ONEW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$15.1$29.8+97%
2021$29.8$53.2+79%
2022$53.2$28.2-47%
2023$28.2$33.8+20%
2024$33.8$17.7-47%
2025$17.7$10.6-41%
2026 YTD$10.6$9.85-6.6%

ONEW has the edge over TSLA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TSLA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.7$220.6+669%
2021$220.6$355.7+61%
2022$355.7$123.2-65%
2023$123.2$248.5+102%
2024$248.5$431.7+74%
2025$431.7$475.2+10%
2026 YTD$475.2$397.5-16%

TSLA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +669% in 2020 to −65% in 2022. It's down 16% so far in 2026.

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