ONEW

OneWater Marine Inc.

48
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

ONEW's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN has the edge over ONEW overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

ONEW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Under pressure
Under pressure
Weak

ONEW's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently under pressure.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ONEW PE Valuation

ONEW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ONEW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect ONEW's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

RIVN has the edge over ONEW on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

ONEW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$15.31
Downside-35%$6.36

Calculated from the latest close: $9.85 on Nov 12.

ONEW trails RIVN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ONEW, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ONEW Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-2.76Q4 2023: $-3.86Q1 2024: $-5.69Q2 2024: $-6.65Q3 2024: $-0.40Q4 2024: $-0.72Q1 2025: $-0.47Q2 2025: $-0.81Q3 2025: $-7.08Q4 2025: $-6.74Q1 2026: $-7.50Q2 2026: $-7.46Forward: $1.12
Q3 2023: $-2.76Q4 2023: $-3.86Q1 2024: $-5.69Q2 2024: $-6.65Q3 2024: $-0.40Q4 2024: $-0.72Q1 2025: $-0.47Q2 2025: $-0.81Q3 2025: $-7.08Q4 2025: $-6.74Q1 2026: $-7.50Q2 2026: $-7.46Forward: $1.12
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.12—
Q2 2026-$7.46-$6.65
Q1 2026-$7.50-$7.03
Q4 2025-$6.74-$6.02
Q3 2025-$7.08-$6.68
Q2 2025-$0.81+$5.84
Q1 2025-$0.47+$5.22
Q4 2024-$0.72+$3.14
Q3 2024-$0.40+$2.36

ONEW lost $7.46 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN has the edge over ONEW on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ONEW Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $451MQ4 2023: $364MQ1 2024: $488MQ2 2024: $542MQ3 2024: $378MQ4 2024: $376MQ1 2025: $484MQ2 2025: $553MQ3 2025: $460MQ4 2025: $381MQ1 2026: $442MQ2 2026: $531M
Q3 2023: $451MQ4 2023: $364MQ1 2024: $488MQ2 2024: $542MQ3 2024: $378MQ4 2024: $376MQ1 2025: $484MQ2 2025: $553MQ3 2025: $460MQ4 2025: $381MQ1 2026: $442MQ2 2026: $531M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$530.7M-4%
Q1 2026$442.3M-8.5%
Q4 2025$380.6M+1.3%
Q3 2025$460.1M+22%
Q2 2025$552.9M+1.9%
Q1 2025$483.5M-1%
Q4 2024$375.8M+3.2%
Q3 2024$377.9M-16%

ONEW's revenue grew through 2022 and has held roughly level since: $531M last quarter, down 4% from the same quarter a year ago.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN has the edge over ONEW on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ONEW Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$1MQ4 2023: −$115MQ1 2024: $14MQ2 2024: $87MQ3 2024: $23MQ4 2024: −$40MQ1 2025: $24MQ2 2025: $89MQ3 2025: $7MQ4 2025: −$78MQ1 2026: $50MQ2 2026: $78M
Q3 2023: −$1MQ4 2023: −$115MQ1 2024: $14MQ2 2024: $87MQ3 2024: $23MQ4 2024: −$40MQ1 2025: $24MQ2 2025: $89MQ3 2025: $7MQ4 2025: −$78MQ1 2026: $50MQ2 2026: $78M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$77.9M-12%
Q1 2026$50M+110%
Q4 2025-$78.4M-$38M
Q3 2025$7.2M-69%
Q2 2025$88.6M+2.1%
Q1 2025$23.8M+75%
Q4 2024-$40.4M+$75M
Q3 2024$23M+$24.2M

ONEW has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.

ONEW Total Shares

Q3 2023: 14MQ4 2023: 15MQ1 2024: 15MQ2 2024: 15MQ3 2024: 15MQ4 2024: 15MQ1 2025: 16MQ2 2025: 16MQ3 2025: 16MQ4 2025: 17MQ1 2026: 17MQ2 2026: 17M
Q3 2023: 14MQ4 2023: 15MQ1 2024: 15MQ2 2024: 15MQ3 2024: 15MQ4 2024: 15MQ1 2025: 16MQ2 2025: 16MQ3 2025: 16MQ4 2025: 17MQ1 2026: 17MQ2 2026: 17M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2%+340K shares
1 year+3.1%+510K shares
3 years+16%+2.3M shares
5 years+49%+5.6M shares
Available history+214%+11.6M shares

ONEW has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

ONEW Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 5.3xQ4 2023: 6.5xQ1 2024: 7.5xQ2 2024: 8.1xQ3 2024: 9.5xQ4 2024: 10.4xQ1 2025: 11.4xQ2 2025: 11.7x
Q3 2023: 5.3xQ4 2023: 6.5xQ1 2024: 7.5xQ2 2024: 8.1xQ3 2024: 9.5xQ4 2024: 10.4xQ1 2025: 11.4xQ2 2025: 11.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 202511.7xHigh
Q1 202511.4xHigh
Q4 202410.4xHigh
Q3 20249.5xHigh
Q2 20248.1xHigh
Q1 20247.5xHigh
Q4 20236.5xHigh
Q3 20235.3xHigh

ONEW's net debt is about 12 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 8.1 years a year ago.

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ONEW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.3Neutral
Stochastic21.7Neutral

ONEW's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 22 (neutral).

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

ONEW PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricONEWSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

ONEW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ONEW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.622.4% above
20 week MA$10.99.6% below
50 week MA$11.111% below
100 week MA$13.326% below
200 week MA$20.051% below

ONEW has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

ONEW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$15.1$29.8+97%
2021$29.8$53.2+79%
2022$53.2$28.2-47%
2023$28.2$33.8+20%
2024$33.8$17.7-47%
2025$17.7$10.6-41%
2026 YTD$10.6$9.85-6.6%

ONEW has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.

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