ONDS

Ondas Holdings Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential44/ 100

ONDS offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

TMUS

T-Mobile US, Inc.

69
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation82/ 100
Upside potential82/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

TMUS has the edge over ONDS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

ONDS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ONDS's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

TMUS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Strong

TMUS's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

ONDS PE Valuation

ONDS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TMUS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x65x97x130x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x65x97x130x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward13x$171—
Current16x$171—
Cheap21x$218+27%
Fair26x$274+60%
Expensive56x$581+240%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TMUS's PE is in its cheap range at 16x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13x next year's earnings.

ONDS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect ONDS's losses to grow, with revenue growing.

TMUS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

TMUS has the edge over ONDS on the outlook, with more favorable earnings expectations.

ONDS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+82%$9.67
Downside-44%$2.99

Calculated from the latest close: $5.32 on Nov 12.

ONDS trails TMUS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TMUS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+41%$240.82
Downside-9%$155.85

Calculated from the latest close: $171.03 on Nov 12.

TMUS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ONDS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ONDS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.88Q1 2024: $-0.75Q2 2024: $-0.71Q3 2024: $-0.72Q4 2024: $-0.61Q1 2025: $-0.59Q2 2025: $-0.53Q3 2025: $-0.41Q4 2025: $-0.62Q1 2026: $0.09Q2 2026: $-0.02Q3 2026: $-0.09
Q4 2023: $-0.88Q1 2024: $-0.75Q2 2024: $-0.71Q3 2024: $-0.72Q4 2024: $-0.61Q1 2025: $-0.59Q2 2025: $-0.53Q3 2025: $-0.41Q4 2025: $-0.62Q1 2026: $0.09Q2 2026: $-0.02Q3 2026: $-0.09
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.09+$0.32
Q2 2026-$0.02+$0.51
Q1 2026$0.09+$0.68
Q4 2025-$0.62-$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.41+$0.31
Q2 2025-$0.53+$0.18
Q1 2025-$0.59+$0.16
Q4 2024-$0.61+$0.27

ONDS is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.09 per share over the past year, against $1.79 at its worst in early 2023.

TMUS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.93Q1 2024: $7.35Q2 2024: $7.98Q3 2024: $8.77Q4 2024: $9.66Q1 2025: $10.24Q2 2025: $10.59Q3 2025: $10.39Q4 2025: $9.72Q1 2026: $9.41Q2 2026: $9.56Q3 2026: $10.37Forward: $13.49
Q4 2023: $6.93Q1 2024: $7.35Q2 2024: $7.98Q3 2024: $8.77Q4 2024: $9.66Q1 2025: $10.24Q2 2025: $10.59Q3 2025: $10.39Q4 2025: $9.72Q1 2026: $9.41Q2 2026: $9.56Q3 2026: $10.37Forward: $13.49
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.49+30%
Q3 2026$10.37-0.2%
Q2 2026$9.56-9.7%
Q1 2026$9.41-8.1%
Q4 2025$9.72+0.6%
Q3 2025$10.39+18%
Q2 2025$10.59+33%
Q1 2025$10.24+39%
Q4 2024$9.66+39%

TMUS has the edge over ONDS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ONDS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $625,009Q2 2024: $957,851Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $10MQ4 2025: $30MQ1 2026: $50MQ2 2026: $84MQ3 2026: $167M
Q4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $625,009Q2 2024: $957,851Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $10MQ4 2025: $30MQ1 2026: $50MQ2 2026: $84MQ3 2026: $167M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$167.5M+1559%
Q2 2026$83.8M+1235%
Q1 2026$50.1M+1080%
Q4 2025$30.1M+629%
Q3 2025$10.1M+582%
Q2 2025$6.3M+555%
Q1 2025$4.2M+580%
Q4 2024$4.1M-17%

ONDS's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $167M last quarter, up 1559% from the same quarter a year ago.

TMUS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $20.5BQ1 2024: $19.6BQ2 2024: $19.8BQ3 2024: $20.2BQ4 2024: $21.9BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $21.1BQ3 2025: $22BQ4 2025: $24.3BQ1 2026: $23.1BQ2 2026: $22.8BQ3 2026: $23.6B
Q4 2023: $20.5BQ1 2024: $19.6BQ2 2024: $19.8BQ3 2024: $20.2BQ4 2024: $21.9BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $21.1BQ3 2025: $22BQ4 2025: $24.3BQ1 2026: $23.1BQ2 2026: $22.8BQ3 2026: $23.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$23.6B+7.4%
Q2 2026$22.8B+7.9%
Q1 2026$23.1B+11%
Q4 2025$24.3B+11%
Q3 2025$22B+8.9%
Q2 2025$21.1B+6.9%
Q1 2025$20.9B+6.6%
Q4 2024$21.9B+6.8%

TMUS's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $23.6B last quarter, up 7.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

ONDS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$6MQ1 2024: −$9MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$8MQ4 2024: −$8MQ1 2025: −$7MQ2 2025: −$8MQ3 2025: −$11MQ4 2025: −$14MQ1 2026: −$53MQ2 2026: −$94MQ3 2026: −$151M
Q4 2023: −$6MQ1 2024: −$9MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$8MQ4 2024: −$8MQ1 2025: −$7MQ2 2025: −$8MQ3 2025: −$11MQ4 2025: −$14MQ1 2026: −$53MQ2 2026: −$94MQ3 2026: −$151M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$150.8M-$139.6M
Q2 2026-$93.8M-$85.3M
Q1 2026-$52.6M-$45.8M
Q4 2025-$14.3M-$6.2M
Q3 2025-$11.1M-$2.7M
Q2 2025-$8.5M+$1.4M
Q1 2025-$6.8M+$1.8M
Q4 2024-$8.1M-$2.1M

ONDS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$312M over the past year, against −$35M the year before.

TMUS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: $2.5BQ2 2024: $3.5BQ3 2024: $4.2BQ4 2024: $3.3BQ1 2025: $4.4BQ2 2025: $4.6BQ3 2025: $4.8BQ4 2025: $4.2BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.8BQ3 2026: $5.1B
Q4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: $2.5BQ2 2024: $3.5BQ3 2024: $4.2BQ4 2024: $3.3BQ1 2025: $4.4BQ2 2025: $4.6BQ3 2025: $4.8BQ4 2025: $4.2BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.8BQ3 2026: $5.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$5.1B+5.3%
Q2 2026$4.8B+4.4%
Q1 2026$4.6B+4.6%
Q4 2025$4.2B+25%
Q3 2025$4.8B+15%
Q2 2025$4.6B+32%
Q1 2025$4.4B+79%
Q4 2024$3.3B+2%

TMUS has the edge over ONDS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ONDS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 53MQ1 2024: 63MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 71MQ1 2025: 105MQ2 2025: 151MQ3 2025: 260MQ2 2026: 504MQ3 2026: 618M
Q4 2023: 53MQ1 2024: 63MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 71MQ1 2025: 105MQ2 2025: 151MQ3 2025: 260MQ2 2026: 504MQ3 2026: 618M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+23%+114M shares
1 year+489%+513M shares
3 years+1363%+576M shares
5 years+2983%+598M shares

ONDS has 618M diluted shares, up 489% from a year ago.

TMUS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.2BQ1 2024: 1.2BQ2 2024: 1.2BQ3 2024: 1.2BQ4 2024: 1.2BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
Q4 2023: 1.2BQ1 2024: 1.2BQ2 2024: 1.2BQ3 2024: 1.2BQ4 2024: 1.2BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1%-10.8M shares
1 year-4.9%-55M shares
3 years-8.8%-103M shares
5 years-15%-182M shares
Available history+24%+207M shares

TMUS has the edge over ONDS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ONDS Net Leverage

ONDS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

TMUS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.0x
Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.0xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 20252.5xModerate
Q3 20250.1xVery low
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 20242.4xModerate

TMUS's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

ONDS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI36.4Neutral
Stochastic15.5Oversold

ONDS's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).

TMUS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.9Neutral
Stochastic42.1Neutral

TMUS's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 42 (neutral).

ONDS PE vs Technology Sector

MetricONDSSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

ONDS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TMUS PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricTMUSSector medianRelative
PE16x16xSame PE
PE %12625 pts below

TMUS is trading at 16x earnings, in line with the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

ONDS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.3516% below
20 week MA$7.2326% below
50 week MA$8.9240% below
100 week MA$6.0812% below
200 week MA$3.5749% above

ONDS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 49% above its 200-week average.

TMUS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$159.17.5% above
20 week MA$172.00.5% below
50 week MA$187.88.9% below
100 week MA$212.920% below
200 week MA$188.79.4% below

TMUS has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 9.4% below its 200-week average.

ONDS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2019$18.0$18.00%
2020$18.0$7.65-57%
2021$7.65$7.16-6.4%
2022$7.16$1.69-76%
2023$1.69$1.53-9.5%
2024$1.53$2.59+69%
2025$2.59$8.48+227%
2026 YTD$8.48$5.32-37%

ONDS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +227% in 2025 to −76% in 2022. It's down 37% so far in 2026.

TMUS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$77.2$132.9+72%
2021$132.9$119.9-9.8%
2022$119.9$140.0+17%
2023$140.0$160.3+15%
2024$160.3$223.0+39%
2025$223.0$201.0-9.9%
2026 YTD$201.0$171.0-15%

TMUS has the edge over ONDS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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