ONDS
Ondas Holdings Inc.
ONDS offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
STX
Seagate Technology Holdings plc
STX has the edge over ONDS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.
ONDS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
ONDS's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
STX Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
STX's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.
ONDS PE Valuation
ONDS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
STX PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 9.9x | $188 | -65% |
| Forward | 12x | $545 | — |
| Fair | 17x | $318 | -42% |
| Current | 29x | $545 | — |
| Expensive | 43x | $823 | +51% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
STX's PE is in its expensive range at 29x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
ONDS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses growing | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect ONDS's losses to grow, with revenue growing.
STX Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
STX has the edge over ONDS on the outlook, with more favorable earnings expectations.
ONDS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$0.09 | +$0.32 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.02 | +$0.51 |
| Q1 2026 | $0.09 | +$0.68 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.62 | -$0.01 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.41 | +$0.31 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.53 | +$0.18 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.59 | +$0.16 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.61 | +$0.27 |
ONDS is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.09 per share over the past year, against $1.79 at its worst in early 2023.
STX Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $46.99 | +147% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.06 | +145% |
| Q2 2026 | $13.90 | +105% |
| Q1 2026 | $10.54 | +51% |
| Q4 2025 | $8.84 | +60% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.79 | +101% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.77 | +328% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.96 | +$8.26 |
| Q4 2024 | $5.51 | +$9.02 |
STX has the edge over ONDS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
ONDS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $167.5M | +1559% |
| Q2 2026 | $83.8M | +1235% |
| Q1 2026 | $50.1M | +1080% |
| Q4 2025 | $30.1M | +629% |
| Q3 2025 | $10.1M | +582% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.3M | +555% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.2M | +580% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.1M | -17% |
ONDS's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $167M last quarter, up 1559% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -113% | +40 points |
| Q2 2026 | -195% | -47 points |
| Q1 2026 | -85% | +158 points |
| Q4 2025 | -77% | +129 points |
| Q3 2025 | -154% | +431 points |
| Q2 2025 | -147% | +720 points |
| Q1 2025 | -243% | +1218 points |
| Q4 2024 | -206% | +49 points |
ONDS's operating margin was −113% last quarter, up 40 points from the same quarter a year ago.
STX Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.2B | +61% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.6B | +48% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.1B | +44% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.8B | +22% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.6B | +21% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.4B | +30% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.2B | +31% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.3B | +50% |
STX's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $4.2B last quarter, up 61% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 49% | +22 points |
| Q2 2026 | 43% | +20 points |
| Q1 2026 | 32% | +12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 30% | +8.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 26% | +7.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 23% | +6.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 20% | +11 points |
| Q4 2024 | 21% | +13 points |
STX has the edge over ONDS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ONDS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$150.8M | -$139.6M |
| Q2 2026 | -$93.8M | -$85.3M |
| Q1 2026 | -$52.6M | -$45.8M |
| Q4 2025 | -$14.3M | -$6.2M |
| Q3 2025 | -$11.1M | -$2.7M |
| Q2 2025 | -$8.5M | +$1.4M |
| Q1 2025 | -$6.8M | +$1.8M |
| Q4 2024 | -$8.1M | -$2.1M |
ONDS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$312M over the past year, against −$35M the year before.
STX Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.5B | +246% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.1B | +163% |
| Q1 2026 | $953M | +341% |
| Q4 2025 | $607M | +305% |
| Q3 2025 | $427M | +1481% |
| Q2 2025 | $425M | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $216M | +69% |
| Q4 2024 | $150M | +52% |
STX has the edge over ONDS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
ONDS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +23% | +114M shares |
| 1 year | +489% | +513M shares |
| 3 years | +1363% | +576M shares |
| 5 years | +2983% | +598M shares |
ONDS has 618M diluted shares, up 489% from a year ago.
STX Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1.3% | +3M shares |
| 1 year | +2.7% | +6M shares |
| 3 years | +12% | +24M shares |
| 5 years | +0.4% | +1M shares |
| Available history | -12% | -33M shares |
STX has the edge over ONDS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $400M |
| Q2 2026 | $117M |
| Q1 2026 | $30M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $29M |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
STX spent $547M buying back its own shares over the past year.
ONDS Net Leverage
ONDS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
STX Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 2.8x | Moderate |
STX's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.6 years a year ago.
ONDS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 36.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 15.5 | Oversold |
ONDS's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).
STX Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 8.3 | Oversold |
STX's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).
ONDS PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | ONDS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
ONDS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
STX PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | STX | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 29x | 28x | 2.7% above |
| PE % | 75 | 35 | 40 pts above |
STX is trading at 29x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.
ONDS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $6.35 | 16% below |
| 20 week MA | $7.23 | 26% below |
| 50 week MA | $8.92 | 40% below |
| 100 week MA | $6.08 | 12% below |
| 200 week MA | $3.57 | 49% above |
ONDS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 49% above its 200-week average.
STX Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $683.6 | 20% below |
| 20 week MA | $785.0 | 31% below |
| 50 week MA | $630.7 | 14% below |
| 100 week MA | $387.3 | 41% above |
| 200 week MA | $234.4 | 133% above |
STX has the edge over ONDS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
ONDS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | $18.0 | $18.0 | 0% |
| 2020 | $18.0 | $7.65 | -57% |
| 2021 | $7.65 | $7.16 | -6.4% |
| 2022 | $7.16 | $1.69 | -76% |
| 2023 | $1.69 | $1.53 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $1.53 | $2.59 | +69% |
| 2025 | $2.59 | $8.48 | +227% |
| 2026 YTD | $8.48 | $5.32 | -37% |
ONDS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +227% in 2025 to −76% in 2022. It's down 37% so far in 2026.
STX Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $59.6 | $63.0 | +5.7% |
| 2021 | $63.0 | $111.4 | +77% |
| 2022 | $111.4 | $50.5 | -55% |
| 2023 | $50.5 | $85.4 | +69% |
| 2024 | $85.4 | $87.4 | +2.4% |
| 2025 | $87.4 | $286.2 | +228% |
| 2026 YTD | $286.2 | $545.1 | +90% |
STX has the edge over ONDS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.