ONDS

Ondas Holdings Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential44/ 100

ONDS trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

SHOP

Shopify Inc.

75
Fundamentals81/ 100
Valuation66/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

SHOP has the edge over ONDS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

ONDS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ONDS's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

SHOP Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Strong

SHOP's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ONDS PE Valuation

ONDS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SHOP PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE247x494x742x989x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE247x494x742x989x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward67x$147—
Cheap78x$129-12%
Current89x$147—
Fair107x$177+21%
Expensive338x$557+280%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SHOP's PE is in its cheap range at 89x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 67x next year's earnings.

ONDS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect ONDS's losses to grow, with revenue growing.

SHOP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for SHOP, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ONDS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+82%$9.67
Downside-44%$2.99

Calculated from the latest close: $5.32 on Nov 12.

ONDS trails SHOP on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SHOP Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+62%$237.14
Downside-23%$113.00

Calculated from the latest close: $146.78 on Nov 12.

SHOP has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ONDS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ONDS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.88Q1 2024: $-0.75Q2 2024: $-0.71Q3 2024: $-0.72Q4 2024: $-0.61Q1 2025: $-0.59Q2 2025: $-0.53Q3 2025: $-0.41Q4 2025: $-0.62Q1 2026: $0.09Q2 2026: $-0.02Q3 2026: $-0.09
Q4 2023: $-0.88Q1 2024: $-0.75Q2 2024: $-0.71Q3 2024: $-0.72Q4 2024: $-0.61Q1 2025: $-0.59Q2 2025: $-0.53Q3 2025: $-0.41Q4 2025: $-0.62Q1 2026: $0.09Q2 2026: $-0.02Q3 2026: $-0.09
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.09+$0.32
Q2 2026-$0.02+$0.51
Q1 2026$0.09+$0.68
Q4 2025-$0.62-$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.41+$0.31
Q2 2025-$0.53+$0.18
Q1 2025-$0.59+$0.16
Q4 2024-$0.61+$0.27

ONDS is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.09 per share over the past year, against $1.79 at its worst in early 2023.

SHOP Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.09Q1 2024: $-0.17Q2 2024: $0.98Q3 2024: $1.07Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.24Q2 2025: $1.80Q3 2025: $1.36Q4 2025: $0.94Q1 2026: $1.02Q2 2026: $1.49Q3 2026: $1.65Forward: $2.20
Q4 2023: $0.09Q1 2024: $-0.17Q2 2024: $0.98Q3 2024: $1.07Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.24Q2 2025: $1.80Q3 2025: $1.36Q4 2025: $0.94Q1 2026: $1.02Q2 2026: $1.49Q3 2026: $1.65Forward: $2.20
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.20+33%
Q3 2026$1.65+21%
Q2 2026$1.49-17%
Q1 2026$1.02-18%
Q4 2025$0.94-40%
Q3 2025$1.36+27%
Q2 2025$1.80+84%
Q1 2025$1.24+$1.41
Q4 2024$1.56+1633%

SHOP has the edge over ONDS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ONDS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $625,009Q2 2024: $957,851Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $10MQ4 2025: $30MQ1 2026: $50MQ2 2026: $84MQ3 2026: $167M
Q4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $625,009Q2 2024: $957,851Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $10MQ4 2025: $30MQ1 2026: $50MQ2 2026: $84MQ3 2026: $167M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$167.5M+1559%
Q2 2026$83.8M+1235%
Q1 2026$50.1M+1080%
Q4 2025$30.1M+629%
Q3 2025$10.1M+582%
Q2 2025$6.3M+555%
Q1 2025$4.2M+580%
Q4 2024$4.1M-17%

ONDS's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $167M last quarter, up 1559% from the same quarter a year ago.

SHOP Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $2.8BQ1 2025: $2.4BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3.7BQ1 2026: $3.2BQ2 2026: $3.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $2.8BQ1 2025: $2.4BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3.7BQ1 2026: $3.2BQ2 2026: $3.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+32%
Q2 2026$3.6B+34%
Q1 2026$3.2B+34%
Q4 2025$3.7B+31%
Q3 2025$2.8B+32%
Q2 2025$2.7B+31%
Q1 2025$2.4B+27%
Q4 2024$2.8B+31%

SHOP's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $3.7B last quarter, up 32% from the same quarter a year ago.

ONDS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$6MQ1 2024: −$9MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$8MQ4 2024: −$8MQ1 2025: −$7MQ2 2025: −$8MQ3 2025: −$11MQ4 2025: −$14MQ1 2026: −$53MQ2 2026: −$94MQ3 2026: −$151M
Q4 2023: −$6MQ1 2024: −$9MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$8MQ4 2024: −$8MQ1 2025: −$7MQ2 2025: −$8MQ3 2025: −$11MQ4 2025: −$14MQ1 2026: −$53MQ2 2026: −$94MQ3 2026: −$151M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$150.8M-$139.6M
Q2 2026-$93.8M-$85.3M
Q1 2026-$52.6M-$45.8M
Q4 2025-$14.3M-$6.2M
Q3 2025-$11.1M-$2.7M
Q2 2025-$8.5M+$1.4M
Q1 2025-$6.8M+$1.8M
Q4 2024-$8.1M-$2.1M

ONDS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$312M over the past year, against −$35M the year before.

SHOP Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $446MQ1 2024: $232MQ2 2024: $333MQ3 2024: $421MQ4 2024: $611MQ1 2025: $363MQ2 2025: $422MQ3 2025: $507MQ4 2025: $715MQ1 2026: $476MQ2 2026: $654MQ3 2026: $816M
Q4 2023: $446MQ1 2024: $232MQ2 2024: $333MQ3 2024: $421MQ4 2024: $611MQ1 2025: $363MQ2 2025: $422MQ3 2025: $507MQ4 2025: $715MQ1 2026: $476MQ2 2026: $654MQ3 2026: $816M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$816M+61%
Q2 2026$654M+55%
Q1 2026$476M+31%
Q4 2025$715M+17%
Q3 2025$507M+20%
Q2 2025$422M+27%
Q1 2025$363M+56%
Q4 2024$611M+37%

SHOP has the edge over ONDS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ONDS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 53MQ1 2024: 63MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 71MQ1 2025: 105MQ2 2025: 151MQ3 2025: 260MQ2 2026: 504MQ3 2026: 618M
Q4 2023: 53MQ1 2024: 63MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 71MQ1 2025: 105MQ2 2025: 151MQ3 2025: 260MQ2 2026: 504MQ3 2026: 618M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+23%+114M shares
1 year+489%+513M shares
3 years+1363%+576M shares
5 years+2983%+598M shares

ONDS has 618M diluted shares, up 489% from a year ago.

SHOP Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.3BQ1 2024: 1.3BQ2 2024: 1.3BQ3 2024: 1.3BQ4 2024: 1.3BQ1 2025: 1.3BQ2 2025: 1.3BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.3BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.3B
Q4 2023: 1.3BQ1 2024: 1.3BQ2 2024: 1.3BQ3 2024: 1.3BQ4 2024: 1.3BQ1 2025: 1.3BQ2 2025: 1.3BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.3BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.6%-7.2M shares
1 year-1.7%-22.1M shares
3 years-0.4%-5.1M shares
5 years+1.1%+14.5M shares
Available history+11%+130M shares

SHOP has the edge over ONDS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ONDS Net Leverage

ONDS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

SHOP Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.2xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.9xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.7xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -0.9xQ3 2026: -0.9x
Q4 2023: -0.2xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.9xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.7xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -0.9xQ3 2026: -0.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.7xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.4xNet Cash

SHOP has more cash than debt.

ONDS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI36.4Neutral
Stochastic15.5Oversold

ONDS's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).

SHOP Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.4Neutral
Stochastic51.5Neutral

SHOP's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 52 (neutral).

ONDS PE vs Technology Sector

MetricONDSSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

ONDS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SHOP PE vs Technology Sector

MetricSHOPSector medianRelative
PE89x28x219% above
PE %29356 pts below

SHOP is trading at 89x earnings, a 219% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ONDS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.3516% below
20 week MA$7.2326% below
50 week MA$8.9240% below
100 week MA$6.0812% below
200 week MA$3.5749% above

ONDS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 49% above its 200-week average.

SHOP Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$157.06.5% below
20 week MA$143.12.5% above
50 week MA$134.49.2% above
100 week MA$128.115% above
200 week MA$97.750% above

SHOP has the edge over ONDS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ONDS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2019$18.0$18.00%
2020$18.0$7.65-57%
2021$7.65$7.16-6.4%
2022$7.16$1.69-76%
2023$1.69$1.53-9.5%
2024$1.53$2.59+69%
2025$2.59$8.48+227%
2026 YTD$8.48$5.32-37%

ONDS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +227% in 2025 to −76% in 2022. It's down 37% so far in 2026.

SHOP Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$40.8$122.6+200%
2021$122.6$143.9+17%
2022$143.9$33.7-77%
2023$33.7$77.9+131%
2024$77.9$108.2+39%
2025$108.2$170.8+58%
2026 YTD$170.8$146.8-14%

SHOP has the edge over ONDS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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